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Bauru vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 113-95
28-24 24-19 33-26 28-26
Position#5
Record20-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.5
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record8-24
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game87.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bauru v Botafogo
13 Nov 2025
BAUR73
BOTA71
19 Apr 2025
BAUR84
BOTA85
21 Mar 2024
BAUR113
BOTA95
30 Nov 2019
BAUR71
BOTA78
25 Oct 2018
BAUR82
BOTA63
25 Mar 2018
BAUR103
BOTA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
64avg 69
A28/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 69
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 69
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 69
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
69avg 69
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
no box
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 69
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 69
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 69
H19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
12-30
21-12
15-19
18-27
23-17
15-12
15-14
21-23
15-15
19-18
21-28
27-15
20-18
18-23
24-23
27-20
23-24
11-24
15-13
22-24
26-19
14-16
12-15
26-24
17-26
19-15
16-13
23-22
15-21
15-24
26-8
25-21
19-18
9-25
14-14
19-29
17-15
21-11
17-17
158.0Avg total
78.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.978.5158.3+1.465%
Season at home (15)83.575.5159.0+8.187%
Season away (16)76.481.2157.7-4.844%
Last 10 (10)78.279.8158.0-1.660%
Last 5 (5)80.679.6160.2+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.886.5162.3-10.733%
vs Similar (13)77.277.5154.8-0.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.576.8162.3+8.780%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 64
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 64
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 64
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 64
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 64
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 64
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 64
A19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
21-18
28-30
20-26
17-24
15-16
16-20
23-30
21-18
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
176.8Avg total
82.9Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.587.4165.9-8.925%
Season at home (15)78.985.9164.8-6.927%
Season away (17)78.288.8166.9-10.624%
Last 10 (10)82.993.9176.8-11.020%
Last 5 (5)87.692.4180.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.588.6166.1-11.027%
vs Similar (6)77.281.5158.7-4.30%
vs Weaker (2)98.592.0190.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
BauruBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A28/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/03
NBB
84.7Avg total
41.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.781.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.239.683.8+4.677%-
Last 30 away (17)38.041.579.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.384.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.885.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.244.584.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (13)41.138.479.5+2.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.539.981.4+1.650%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
87.2Avg total
40.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.182.3-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.843.084.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)37.243.280.4-5.941%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.387.2-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.344.682.9-6.332%-
vs Similar (6)38.837.876.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.8
48.8%
51.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.312.8
74.0%
72.6%12.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.5
47.4%
51.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.0
69.9%
72.6%13.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLWWWLWLWL
Botafogo
LWWLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#15
-2.1
Net rating
-17.5
105.4
Offensive rating
98.9
107.5
Defensive rating
116.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
33.5%
68.8%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 98.9Defence107.5 · 116.4Shooting49.8% · 48.6%3-point %34.1% · 33.5%Ball care15.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 24.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Bauru   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bauru wins
2
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Botafogo v Bauru83-80
30/11/19Bauru v Botafogo71-78
11/01/19Botafogo v Bauru74-80
25/10/18Bauru v Botafogo82-63
25/03/18Bauru v Botafogo103-78
04/01/18Botafogo v Bauru60-77
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HFlamengo74-72
12/03/24HFranca67-78
09/03/24ACaxias do Sul79-75
07/03/24AUniao Corinthians97-89 OT
02/03/24HMinas86-84 OT
17/02/24HVasco76-81
15/02/24HPato89-79
08/02/24APinheiros76-84
06/02/24ACorinthians Paulista71-70
28/01/24AFlamengo67-86
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
08/03/24ACerrado82-79
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
14/02/24ACearense75-84
09/02/24AVasco86-98
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLWLW87%
AwayWWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %65%87%44%
Points / game79.983.576.4
Allowed / game78.575.581.2
Point differential+1.4+8.1-4.8
Avg total158.3159.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)86% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %16%13%19%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLWWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %25%27%24%
Points / game78.578.978.2
Allowed / game87.485.988.8
Point differential-8.9-6.9-10.6
Avg total165.9164.8166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %9%13%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2824486%87.975.6+12.3
2 Flamengo2924583%84.873.8+11.1
3 Minas2922776%86.074.0+12.0
4 Vasco2922776%77.072.1+4.9
5 Bauru31201165%79.978.5+1.4
6 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
7 Unifacisa31191261%83.678.9+4.7
8 Corinthians Paulista29161355%80.478.3+2.1
9 Sao Jose30161453%79.376.9+2.4
10 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
11 Sao Paulo28141450%78.680.0-1.4
12 Pinheiros29131645%75.377.7-2.3
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians30102033%75.083.8-8.8
15 Cerrado2982128%75.476.7-1.3
16 Caxias do Sul3082227%71.979.6-7.7
17 Botafogo3282425%78.587.4-8.9
18 Mogi3072323%74.179.9-5.8
19 Brasilia2942514%72.187.3-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru28243328113
Botafogo2419262695
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