Bauru vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2016

Tip-off: 00:15

Final 85-79

22-14 20-26 23-14 20-25

Position#2

Record26-8

FormWLWWW

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game77.3

Bauru 🏆

Brasilia

Position#6

Record24-14

FormLWWLL

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game82.5

NBBNBB - Semi-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Bauru v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

86-90

-4

A17/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

90-71

+19

H23/03

NBB

Paulistano

78-63

+15

H26/03

NBB

Franca

103-78

103

+25

H29/03

NBB

Pinheiros

95-85

+10

A19/04

NBB

Pinheiros

109-83

109

+26

H22/04

NBB

Pinheiros

88-92

-4

H24/04

NBB

Pinheiros

89-86

A27/04

NBB

Brasilia

89-72

+17

A04/05

NBB

Brasilia

100-80

100

+20

H07/05

NBB

31-20

23-22

12-24

20-24

30-24

22-20

25-6

13-21

15-16

18-15

18-12

27-20

27-12

24-20

24-27

28-19

29-23

17-25

25-15

24-22

30-21

20-23

31-15

28-24

27-30

24-19

18-24

19-19

26-30

14-18

25-22

24-16

17-14

24-16

27-23

21-19

26-17

19-23

27-12

28-28

172.7Avg total

92.7Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	87.8	77.3	165.1	+10.5	76%
Season at home (17)	89.5	74.0	163.5	+15.5	88%
Season away (17)	86.1	80.6	166.7	+5.5	65%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	80.0	172.7	+12.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	82.6	177.6	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	76.2	76.5	152.8	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	90.7	79.0	169.7	+11.8	82%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-101

101

-23

A03/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

95-67

+28

H06/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

93-73

+20

H09/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

86-80

A11/04

NBB

Paulistano

88-83

H16/04

NBB

Paulistano

78-99

-21

A20/04

NBB

Paulistano

100-88

100

+12

A23/04

NBB

Paulistano

83-78

H26/04

NBB

Bauru

72-89

-17

H04/05

NBB

Bauru

80-100

100

-20

A07/05

NBB

18-26

11-20

26-22

23-33

25-17

19-16

30-18

21-16

22-21

23-23

19-12

29-17

27-19

19-19

14-25

26-17

12-24

16-16

28-21

32-22

6-21

21-20

24-31

27-27

20-19

21-18

27-22

32-29

20-15

15-22

12-21

36-20

14-17

16-24

23-27

19-21

17-26

23-19

12-27

28-28

171.1Avg total

85.3Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	86.0	82.5	168.5	+3.5	63%
Season at home (19)	87.3	81.1	168.3	+6.2	68%
Season away (19)	84.7	83.9	168.6	+0.7	58%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	85.8	171.1	-0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	90.8	173.4	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	79.8	89.0	168.8	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (12)	84.9	84.9	169.8	+0.0	58%
vs Weaker (14)	88.4	77.6	166.0	+10.9	79%

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BauruBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.7	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	20.7	46.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.4	47.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	19.8	16.9	36.6	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.2	19.7	43.9	+4.5	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.0	39.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	19.6	35.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.9	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	16.8	19.5	36.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.5	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.9	40.3	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	50%	-

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

54-42

+12

A17/03

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

52-44

H23/03

NBB

Paulistano

33-31

H26/03

NBB

Franca

51-32

+19

H29/03

NBB

Pinheiros

46-48

-2

A19/04

NBB

Pinheiros

50-44

H22/04

NBB

Pinheiros

51-49

H24/04

NBB

Pinheiros

40-48

-8

A27/04

NBB

Brasilia

41-30

+11

A04/05

NBB

Brasilia

45-40

H07/05

NBB

87.1Avg total

46.3Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.1	79.4	+5.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	37.5	80.3	+5.4	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.8	36.9	78.6	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	40.8	87.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.2	87.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	36.5	36.4	72.9	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.3	37.4	81.7	+6.9	82%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

29-46

-17

A03/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

44-33

+11

H06/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

45-44

H09/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

46-38

A11/04

NBB

Paulistano

28-40

-12

H16/04

NBB

Paulistano

27-41

-14

A20/04

NBB

Paulistano

41-37

A23/04

NBB

Paulistano

35-37

-2

H26/04

NBB

Bauru

30-41

-11

H04/05

NBB

Bauru

40-45

-5

A07/05

NBB

76.7Avg total

36.5Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.8	77.6	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	36.6	76.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	38.9	78.3	+0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	40.2	76.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	40.2	74.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.0	42.2	79.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.3	37.1	74.4	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.7	37.1	79.8	+5.6	86%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.1	18.9	42.0	+4.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.2	44.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.6	19.2	42.9	+4.4	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.6	45.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	24.5	44.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	21.7	45.2	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	20.6	41.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.4	46.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	21.0	45.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	23.7	47.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.3	23.0	50.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	25.0	53.4	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	25.5	24.8	50.3	+0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	40.7	84.9	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.6	40.6	87.2	+6.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.4	40.8	83.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	39.2	85.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	40.4	90.0	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	39.8	40.1	79.9	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.8	40.9	86.7	+4.9	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	44.3	90.3	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	46.9	93.7	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.8	45.6	94.4	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	50.6	98.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	42.8	46.8	89.5	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	47.6	47.8	95.4	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	45.7	40.5	86.2	+5.2	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bauru wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/16	Bauru v Brasilia	100-80
04/05/16	Brasilia v Bauru	72-89
31/01/16	Bauru v Brasilia	94-92
27/11/15	Brasilia v Bauru	111-114
20/01/15	Brasilia v Bauru	74-85
11/11/14	Bauru v Brasilia	95-87
04/11/14	Bauru v Brasilia	83-86
23/10/14	Bauru v Brasilia	88-78
27/03/14	Bauru v Brasilia	93-85
16/01/14	Brasilia v Bauru	82-72

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	H	Brasilia	100-80
04/05/16	A	Brasilia	89-72
27/04/16	A	Pinheiros	89-86
24/04/16	H	Pinheiros	88-92
22/04/16	H	Pinheiros	109-83
19/04/16	A	Pinheiros	95-85
29/03/16	H	Franca	103-78
26/03/16	H	Paulistano	78-63
23/03/16	H	Sorocabana	90-71
17/03/16	A	Cearense	86-90

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	A	Bauru	80-100
04/05/16	H	Bauru	72-89
26/04/16	H	Paulistano	83-78
23/04/16	A	Paulistano	100-88
20/04/16	A	Paulistano	78-99
16/04/16	H	Paulistano	88-83
11/04/16	A	Caxias do Sul	86-80
09/04/16	H	Caxias do Sul	93-73
06/04/16	H	Caxias do Sul	95-67
03/04/16	A	Caxias do Sul	78-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru

NBB 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	76%
Home	WWWLW	88%
Away	LLWWW	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	76%	88%	65%
Points / game	87.8	89.5	86.1
Allowed / game	77.3	74.0	80.6
Point differential	+10.5	+15.5	+5.5
Avg total	165.1	163.5	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	76%	35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (3)	50% (8)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Brasilia

NBB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	63%
Home	WWWWL	68%
Away	LWLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	63%	68%	58%
Points / game	86.0	87.3	84.7
Allowed / game	82.5	81.1	83.9
Point differential	+3.5	+6.2	+0.7
Avg total	168.5	168.3	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	53%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	60% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	34	27	7	79%	84.6	72.0	+12.6
2	Bauru	34	26	8	76%	87.8	77.3	+10.5
3	Mogi	38	27	11	71%	80.2	76.6	+3.6
4	Paulistano	32	21	11	66%	81.3	75.3	+6.0
5	Brasilia	38	24	14	63%	86.0	82.5	+3.5
6	Cearense	32	20	12	62%	78.5	73.3	+5.2
7	Pinheiros	37	18	19	49%	81.6	80.5	+1.1
8	Franca	33	15	18	45%	76.8	80.8	-4.0
9	Rio Claro	36	16	20	44%	74.5	75.4	-0.8
10	Minas	33	14	19	42%	72.9	74.9	-2.0
11	Caxias do Sul	32	10	22	31%	71.6	78.9	-7.3
12	Sorocabana	28	8	20	29%	68.6	76.6	-8.0
13	Universo/Vitoria	31	8	23	26%	71.1	80.7	-9.5
14	Sao Jose	28	7	21	25%	74.9	82.6	-7.8
15	Macae	28	6	22	21%	75.2	84.5	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bauru	22	20	23	20	85
Brasilia	14	26	14	25	79

← all games of the day

Bauru vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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