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Bauru vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 93-91
28-19 22-20 20-24 23-28
Position#4
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Brasilia
Brazil
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game74.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Brasilia
29 Dec 2025
BAUR66
BRAS71
15 Oct 2024
BAUR93
BRAS91
09 Dec 2023
BAUR82
BRAS73
16 Jan 2023
BAUR72
BRAS70
02 Feb 2022
BAUR96
BRAS74
16 Nov 2020
BAUR93
BRAS70
05 Mar 2020
BAUR79
BRAS83
22 Jan 2019
BAUR75
BRAS76
30 Apr 2017
BAUR80
BRAS78
20 Apr 2017
BAUR87
BRAS88
22 Dec 2016
BAUR62
BRAS79
10 May 2016
BAUR85
BRAS79
07 May 2016
BAUR100
BRAS80
31 Jan 2016
BAUR94
BRAS92
11 Nov 2014
BAUR95
BRAS87
04 Nov 2014
BAUR83
BRAS86
23 Oct 2014
BAUR88
BRAS78
27 Mar 2014
BAUR93
BRAS85
18 Feb 2013
BAUR79
BRAS90
04 May 2012
BAUR76
BRAS80
10 Apr 2012
BAUR96
BRAS80
27 Feb 2011
BAUR92
BRAS85
27 Mar 2009
BAUR100
BRAS97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
95avg 73
A21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
64avg 73
H27/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
67-59
67
59
+8
63avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
74avg 73
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 73
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
61-92
61
92
-31
59avg 73
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 73
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-110
72
110
-38
92avg 73
H23/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-20
26-18
28-13
19-19
20-12
19-18
13-13
25-15
13-19
19-16
15-22
18-17
22-14
25-13
15-22
25-17
11-10
17-18
14-14
22-20
23-17
16-27
20-17
16-20
16-11
24-26
20-16
20-28
13-19
17-22
11-23
17-19
17-26
8-24
23-19
21-37
14-37
19-13
18-23
155.3Avg total
75.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.080.3155.3-5.350%
Last 5 (5)72.291.6163.8-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.488.7160.1-17.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.577.1158.5+4.473%
vs Weaker (7)90.680.6171.1+10.086%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
no box
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-104
61
104
-43
44avg 58
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 58
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-103
84
103
-19
66avg 58
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
50-95
50
95
-45
29avg 58
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 58
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 58
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 58
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 58
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
40avg 58
A12/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
24-21
18-21
31-27
16-24
11-27
16-23
18-30
16-30
28-14
24-34
17-25
19-29
27-20
10-32
28-22
11-27
13-21
8-23
18-24
29-23
11-27
22-20
22-23
20-26
26-36
27-20
27-23
27-24
13-22
18-29
25-27
14-27
16-23
14-11
25-7
15-16
18-18
13-17
20-23
174.3Avg total
78.8Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.895.5174.3-16.710%
Last 5 (5)80.488.4168.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)72.889.6162.3-16.810%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
BauruBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H27/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-74
35
74
-39
H23/05
NBB
77.1Avg total
37.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.280.9+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.982.6+2.780%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.077.1-2.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.846.882.6-11.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.948.986.7-11.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.135.876.9+5.380%-
vs Weaker (7)43.939.082.9+4.957%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/10
NBB
85.9Avg total
37.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.345.081.3-8.710%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.045.684.6-6.614%-
Last 30 away (16)33.944.478.4-10.56%-
Last 10 (10)37.748.285.9-10.50%-
Last 5 (5)37.848.486.2-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)36.345.081.3-8.710%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.5
55.7%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.4
28.0%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.115.0
78.5%
72.7%15.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.315.0
46.4%
50.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.8
34.0%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
72.7%13.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LLLWLWWLWW
Brasilia
LWLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#6
-6.8
Net rating
-22.0
98.2
Offensive rating
99.3
105.0
Defensive rating
121.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
62.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
18.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.0%
3-point %
34.0%
63.7%
Assist %
58.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 99.3Defence105.0 · 121.3Shooting49.7% · 48.7%3-point %28.0% · 34.0%Ball care19.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds21.6% · 18.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Bauru   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bauru wins
1
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Brasilia v Bauru84-103
09/12/23Bauru v Brasilia82-73
16/01/23Bauru v Brasilia72-70
26/10/22Brasilia v Bauru66-86
02/02/22Bauru v Brasilia96-74
06/11/21Brasilia v Bauru49-60
12/03/21Brasilia v Bauru70-99
16/11/20Bauru v Brasilia93-70
05/03/20Bauru v Brasilia79-83
17/11/19Brasilia v Bauru62-96
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24HFlamengo72-110
21/05/24HFlamengo65-88
18/05/24AFlamengo61-92
14/05/24AVasco76-73
12/05/24AVasco87-95 OT
09/05/24HVasco67-59
07/05/24HVasco80-66
04/05/24AVasco78-84 OT
27/04/24HPato71-62
21/04/24APato93-74
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AMinas66-74
11/04/24HCearense69-68
08/04/24HUnifacisa83-102
06/04/24HFranca100-105
02/04/24ASao Paulo84-93
31/03/24APaulistano50-95
28/03/24HBauru84-103
22/03/24ASao Jose85-103
20/03/24AMogi61-104
10/03/24HBotafogo106-108 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
2 Minas110100%74.066.0+8.0
3 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
4 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
5 Mogi21150%71.069.5+1.5
6 Pato21150%78.077.0+1.0
7 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
8 Corinthians Paulista1010%86.089.0-3.0
9 Brasilia1010%66.074.0-8.0
10 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
11 Sao Jose1010%70.081.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2822202393
Brasilia1920242891
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