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Bauru vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-73
16-21 17-23 19-21 30-8
Position#5
Record6-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.9
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game85.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bauru v Brasilia
29 Dec 2025
BAUR66
BRAS71
15 Oct 2024
BAUR93
BRAS91
09 Dec 2023
BAUR82
BRAS73
16 Jan 2023
BAUR72
BRAS70
02 Feb 2022
BAUR96
BRAS74
16 Nov 2020
BAUR93
BRAS70
05 Mar 2020
BAUR79
BRAS83
22 Jan 2019
BAUR75
BRAS76
30 Apr 2017
BAUR80
BRAS78
20 Apr 2017
BAUR87
BRAS88
22 Dec 2016
BAUR62
BRAS79
10 May 2016
BAUR85
BRAS79
07 May 2016
BAUR100
BRAS80
31 Jan 2016
BAUR94
BRAS92
11 Nov 2014
BAUR95
BRAS87
04 Nov 2014
BAUR83
BRAS86
23 Oct 2014
BAUR88
BRAS78
27 Mar 2014
BAUR93
BRAS85
18 Feb 2013
BAUR79
BRAS90
04 May 2012
BAUR76
BRAS80
10 Apr 2012
BAUR96
BRAS80
27 Feb 2011
BAUR92
BRAS85
27 Mar 2009
BAUR100
BRAS97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
39avg 68
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 68
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 68
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 68
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
74avg 68
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 68
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 68
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 68
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 68
A02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
13-18
8-26
18-20
26-22
20-22
22-18
12-12
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
16-26
25-25
20-26
19-22
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
153.2Avg total
76.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.075.9152.9+1.146%
Season at home (6)84.267.8152.0+16.3100%
Season away (7)70.982.9153.7-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.277.0153.2-0.840%
Last 5 (5)80.073.0153.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.788.4166.1-10.714%
vs Similar (9)73.474.7148.1-1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.070.5151.5+10.571%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 57
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 57
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 57
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 57
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 57
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 57
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 57
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
66-92
66
92
-26
43avg 57
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
55avg 57
A07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-25
12-17
26-21
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
24-19
20-20
14-18
23-23
21-17
11-24
18-30
16-21
20-32
26-19
11-28
20-21
155.8Avg total
69.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.885.2157.0-13.525%
Season at home (6)77.383.5160.8-6.233%
Season away (6)66.287.0153.2-20.817%
Last 10 (10)69.586.3155.8-16.820%
Last 5 (5)66.287.0153.2-20.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.190.9166.0-15.812%
vs Similar (5)76.679.2155.8-2.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
BauruBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
78.1Avg total
39.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.578.3+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.136.777.8+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.678.9-2.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.478.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.144.783.9-5.614%-
vs Similar (9)36.939.776.6-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.134.676.7+7.464%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A07/12
NBB
77.9Avg total
35.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.845.283.0-7.523%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.343.283.5-2.935%-
Last 30 away (13)34.547.982.4-13.58%-
Last 10 (10)35.042.977.9-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.675.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.346.683.8-9.316%-
vs Similar (5)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.7
49.6%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
33.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.110.5
74.5%
72.6%10.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.115.2
41.0%
51.8%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.8
33.1%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.611.7
66.5%
72.6%11.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LLLWWLLWWL
Brasilia
LLWLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#19
-2.2
Net rating
-22.9
101.1
Offensive rating
91.5
103.3
Defensive rating
114.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
44.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.0%
3-point %
33.1%
60.3%
Assist %
50.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 91.5Defence103.3 · 114.4Shooting50.8% · 44.6%3-point %35.0% · 33.1%Ball care17.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 23.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Bauru   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bauru wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
16/01/23Bauru v Brasilia72-70
26/10/22Brasilia v Bauru66-86
02/02/22Bauru v Brasilia96-74
06/11/21Brasilia v Bauru49-60
12/03/21Brasilia v Bauru70-99
16/11/20Bauru v Brasilia93-70
05/03/20Bauru v Brasilia79-83
17/11/19Brasilia v Bauru62-96
22/01/19Bauru v Brasilia75-76
01/11/18Brasilia v Bauru105-113 OT
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AVasco58-67
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67
16/11/23AMinas80-99
14/11/23APato70-73
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70
09/11/23HCorinthians Paulista80-74
02/11/23AUnifacisa58-89
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23AFranca77-100
04/12/23HSao Jose66-92
30/11/23HMogi81-80
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
19/11/23AVasco54-79
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
03/11/23APato80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%100%0%
Points / game77.084.270.9
Allowed / game75.967.882.9
Point differential+1.1+16.3-12.0
Avg total152.9152.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game71.877.366.2
Allowed / game85.283.587.0
Point differential-13.5-6.2-20.8
Avg total157.0160.8153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1210283%82.974.0+8.9
3 Franca129375%87.675.4+12.2
4 Vasco139469%72.568.0+4.5
5 Paulistano139469%72.469.8+2.6
6 Sao Jose128467%81.472.7+8.8
7 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
10 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
11 Corinthians Paulista104640%77.278.3-1.1
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
15 Pinheiros114736%77.179.5-2.4
16 Cerrado124833%72.272.2+0.1
17 Brasilia123925%71.885.2-13.5
18 Botafogo1431121%75.483.1-7.8
19 Mogi1321115%73.379.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1617193082
Brasilia212321873
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