Bayern vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 102-91

25-22 25-17 29-27 23-25

Position#1

Record3-0

FormWLWWL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game68.0

Bayern 🏆

Bonn

Position#7

Record3-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game77.3

BBLRound 4

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Bayern v Bonn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bonn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

72-66

H10/06

BBL

Alba Berlin

68-72

-4

A13/06

BBL

Alba Berlin

106-85

106

+21

H16/06

BBL

Ulm

83-77

A28/09

BBL

Vechta

79-66

+13

H03/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

106-92

106

+14

H07/10

German Cup

Anadolu Efes

71-90

-19

H11/10

Euroleague

Basketball Braunschweig

87-61

+26

A14/10

BBL

Panathinaikos

80-79

H16/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

73-83

-10

A18/10

Euroleague

25-16

21-13

15-19

11-18

14-12

20-17

19-22

15-21

32-19

26-20

28-22

20-24

27-19

19-19

16-19

21-20

21-13

17-13

18-18

23-22

28-17

32-16

22-27

24-32

19-18

18-26

14-28

20-18

19-9

17-19

27-19

24-14

20-20

20-21

16-17

24-21

17-26

19-18

18-21

19-18

159.6Avg total

82.5Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	83.0	68.0	151.0	+15.0	100%
Season at home (1)	79.0	66.0	145.0	+13.0	100%
Season away (2)	85.0	69.0	154.0	+16.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	77.1	159.6	+5.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	81.0	164.4	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	71.0	90.0	161.0	-19.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	84.3	80.0	164.3	+4.3	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	87.9	76.7	164.6	+11.1	81%

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bonn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern

72-83

-11

H01/05

BBL

Bamberg

74-87

-13

A06/05

BBL

Bamberg

82-90

-8

H09/05

BBL

Bamberg

70-75

-5

A12/05

BBL

Gottingen

#14

86-79

A30/09

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

75-69

H03/10

BBL

Bremerhaven

#16

89-69

+20

A06/10

German Cup

Tenerife

68-87

-19

A09/10

Champions League

Bayreuth

#12

94-84

+10

H14/10

BBL

PAOK

#14

100-95

100

A16/10

Champions League

22-26

14-23

24-14

12-20

21-22

20-26

19-17

14-22

24-27

26-19

20-17

12-27

16-18

20-20

16-18

18-19

23-21

26-26

19-16

18-16

23-18

19-16

14-19

20-23

25-17

27-15

17-14

13-29

23-17

14-25

18-16

31-18

23-28

18-12

22-26

33-23

24-30

25-23

18-19

162.8Avg total

81.0Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	85.0	77.3	162.3	+7.7	100%
Season at home (2)	84.5	76.5	161.0	+8.0	100%
Season away (1)	86.0	79.0	165.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	81.8	162.8	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	80.8	166.0	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	83.3	92.2	175.5	-8.8	17%
vs Similar (13)	83.1	81.4	164.5	+1.7	46%
vs Weaker (10)	88.5	71.6	160.1	+16.9	100%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayernBonn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.6	40.4	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	18.6	41.4	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	18.5	39.2	+2.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	16.9	39.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	17.4	39.6	+4.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.6	19.0	40.7	+2.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	18.4	41.6	+4.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.5	45.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.9	19.8	43.8	+4.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.9	42.5	+4.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+0.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	26.0	44.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	70%	-

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

46-29

+17

H10/06

BBL

Alba Berlin

34-29

A13/06

BBL

Alba Berlin

58-39

+19

H16/06

BBL

Ulm

46-38

A28/09

BBL

Vechta

38-26

+12

H03/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

60-33

+27

H07/10

German Cup

Anadolu Efes

37-44

-7

H11/10

Euroleague

Basketball Braunschweig

36-28

A14/10

BBL

Panathinaikos

40-41

-1

H16/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

36-44

-8

A18/10

Euroleague

78.2Avg total

43.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	37.5	81.2	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.2	37.6	83.8	+8.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	37.3	77.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	35.1	78.2	+8.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.0	79.8	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.8	37.6	81.4	+6.2	71%	-

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern

36-49

-13

H01/05

BBL

Bamberg

41-48

-7

A06/05

BBL

Bamberg

50-46

H09/05

BBL

Bamberg

36-38

-2

A12/05

BBL

Gottingen

#14

49-47

A30/09

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

42-34

H03/10

BBL

Bremerhaven

#16

45-40

A06/10

German Cup

Tenerife

36-46

-10

A09/10

Champions League

Bayreuth

#12

54-46

H14/10

BBL

PAOK

#14

57-53

A16/10

Champions League

89.3Avg total

44.6Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.4	84.4	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	37.2	80.6	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	43.2	87.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	44.7	89.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	43.8	90.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	41.7	44.2	85.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	45.5	41.5	87.0	+3.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.3	36.7	80.0	+6.6	80%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	28.0	42.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	20.3	41.1	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.0	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.3	22.8	43.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	19.8	38.8	-0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.3	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	22.1	44.9	+0.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	16.5	36.2	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.0	19.0	40.9	+3.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.8	36.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.3	25.2	46.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	16.7	38.7	+5.3	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	40.3	83.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.6	42.6	88.2	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.7	37.4	77.1	+2.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.0	81.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	43.0	84.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	46.0	80.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	40.6	81.4	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.0	39.1	83.1	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.3	80.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	40.4	82.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	38.4	77.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.1	73.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.0	75.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	41.7	48.0	89.7	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.6	39.8	77.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	34.5	78.6	+9.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.3 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	23.1	58.9%	54.1%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.6	6.4	32.8%	33.9%	19.3
🏀 Free throws	20.1	16.0	79.4%	73.5%	16.0

They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	21.6	60.2%	54.1%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.3	37.1%	33.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.0	13.1	77.3%	73.5%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	21.6	60.2%	54.1%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.3	37.1%	33.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.0	13.1	77.3%	73.5%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayern wins

Bonn wins

Date	Game	Score
01/05/18	Bonn v Bayern	72-83
01/12/17	Bayern v Bonn	78-50
13/04/17	Bayern v Bonn	84-72
22/01/17	Bayern v Bonn	87-72
06/12/16	Bonn v Bayern	95-83
28/03/16	Bonn v Bayern	81-95
11/10/15	Bayern v Bonn	84-91
24/04/15	Bonn v Bayern	88-84
30/11/14	Bayern v Bonn	112-107 OT
16/02/14	Bayern v Bonn	96-84

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/18	A	Barcelona	73-83
16/10/18	H	Panathinaikos	80-79
14/10/18	A	Basketball Braunschweig	87-61
11/10/18	H	Anadolu Efes	71-90
07/10/18	H	Giessen	106-92
03/10/18	H	Vechta	79-66
28/09/18	A	Ulm	83-77
16/06/18	H	Alba Berlin	106-85
13/06/18	A	Alba Berlin	68-72
10/06/18	H	Alba Berlin	72-66

Bonnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/10/18	A	PAOK	100-95
14/10/18	H	Bayreuth	94-84
09/10/18	A	Tenerife	68-87
06/10/18	A	Bremerhaven	89-69
03/10/18	H	Basketball Braunschweig	75-69
30/09/18	A	Gottingen	86-79
12/05/18	A	Bamberg	70-75
09/05/18	H	Bamberg	82-90
06/05/18	A	Bamberg	74-87
01/05/18	H	Bayern	72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	83.0	79.0	85.0
Allowed / game	68.0	66.0	69.0
Point differential	+15.0	+13.0	+16.0
Avg total	151.0	145.0	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bonn

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.0	84.5	86.0
Allowed / game	77.3	76.5	79.0
Point differential	+7.7	+8.0	+7.0
Avg total	162.3	161.0	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alba Berlin	3	3	0	100%	106.3	68.3	+38.0
2	Oldenburg	3	3	0	100%	96.0	76.7	+19.3
3	Bayern	3	3	0	100%	83.0	68.0	+15.0
4	Bonn	3	3	0	100%	85.0	77.3	+7.7
5	Bamberg	3	3	0	100%	90.0	86.3	+3.7
6	Gottingen	4	3	1	75%	86.8	75.0	+11.8
7	Giessen	4	3	1	75%	88.8	86.0	+2.8
8	Bayreuth	3	2	1	67%	81.7	79.3	+2.3
9	Ludwigsburg	4	2	2	50%	79.0	78.0	+1.0
10	Bremerhaven	4	2	2	50%	82.0	83.8	-1.8
11	Frankfurt	3	1	2	33%	76.0	79.3	-3.3
12	Jena	3	1	2	33%	71.3	92.3	-21.0
13	Vechta	4	1	3	25%	80.5	87.5	-7.0
14	Crailsheim Merlins	4	1	3	25%	86.8	94.5	-7.8
15	s.Oliver Wurzburg	3	0	3	0%	82.7	86.7	-4.0
16	Ulm	3	0	3	0%	83.3	92.7	-9.3
17	Basketball Braunschweig	4	0	4	0%	67.8	85.0	-17.2
18	Mitteldeutscher	4	0	4	0%	77.8	95.8	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayern	25	25	29	23	102
Bonn	22	17	27	25	91

← all games of the day

Bayern vs Bonn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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