Bonn vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 May 2018

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 72-83

22-26 14-23 24-14 12-20

Position#6

Record21-12

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game78.3

Bonn

Bayern 🏆

Position#1

Record30-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game75.8

BBLRound 34

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Bonn v Bayern

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayern winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bonn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

#12

102-80

102

+22

H11/03

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#14

87-61

+26

A18/03

BBL

Frankfurt

75-79

-4

H25/03

BBL

Ulm

#10

94-87 OT

A01/04

BBL

Alba Berlin

76-84

-8

H08/04

BBL

Giessen

#11

86-80

A14/04

BBL

Gottingen

#15

82-70

+12

H20/04

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

78-80

-2

A22/04

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

87-56

+31

H27/04

BBL

Gotha

#17

93-70

+23

A29/04

BBL

13-13

30-24

29-20

30-23

16-15

25-19

26-16

20-11

24-11

16-16

14-29

21-23

24-16

18-25

23-21

18-21

18-14

17-15

19-22

22-33

23-24

20-27

17-14

26-15

19-23

11-11

25-20

27-16

23-18

18-21

14-23

23-18

25-15

14-13

28-11

20-17

24-14

25-19

23-20

21-17

160.7Avg total

86.0Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	83.1	78.3	161.4	+4.8	64%
Season at home (16)	86.4	78.4	164.8	+8.0	69%
Season away (17)	80.1	78.2	158.3	+1.8	59%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	74.7	160.7	+11.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	71.2	156.4	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	84.5	93.8	178.2	-9.2	0%
vs Similar (12)	84.1	78.6	162.7	+5.5	58%
vs Weaker (14)	87.0	73.6	160.6	+13.4	86%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

83-87

-4

H23/03

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

72-91

-19

H25/03

BBL

Oldenburg

77-100

100

-23

A31/03

BBL

Ulm

#10

100-95

100

H04/04

BBL

Giessen

#11

107-83

107

+24

H07/04

BBL

Frankfurt

87-83

A15/04

BBL

Gotha

#17

102-80

102

+22

H20/04

BBL

Jena

#12

101-78

101

+23

H22/04

BBL

Tubingen

#18

87-72

+15

A27/04

BBL

Bremerhaven

#16

98-95

H29/04

BBL

22-17

22-24

20-25

19-21

26-13

13-21

17-29

16-28

22-23

15-27

22-28

18-22

29-18

19-25

24-24

28-28

25-18

29-18

26-27

27-20

22-19

15-22

14-24

36-18

21-21

27-24

31-15

23-20

33-17

26-20

20-23

22-18

23-18

30-16

15-17

19-21

19-26

27-24

24-22

28-23

177.8Avg total

91.4Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	88.7	75.8	164.5	+12.9	91%
Season at home (17)	91.9	77.1	168.9	+14.8	88%
Season away (16)	85.4	74.4	159.8	+10.9	94%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	86.4	177.8	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	81.6	176.6	+13.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	79.8	81.8	161.5	-2.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	89.9	81.5	171.4	+8.4	85%

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BonnBayern

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.6	40.8	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	17.4	39.1	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.3	37.2	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.1	18.4	41.4	+4.7	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.8	42.8	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	20.5	45.2	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.0	43.2	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.5	13.5	36.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	17.7	38.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.4	20.2	41.7	+1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.2	46.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	58%	-

BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

#12

43-37

H11/03

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#14

41-34

A18/03

BBL

Frankfurt

40-27

+13

H25/03

BBL

Ulm

#10

42-41

A01/04

BBL

Alba Berlin

35-29

H08/04

BBL

Giessen

#11

43-51

-8

A14/04

BBL

Gottingen

#15

30-34

-4

H20/04

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

41-39

A22/04

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

39-28

+11

H27/04

BBL

Gotha

#17

49-33

+16

A29/04

BBL

75.6Avg total

40.3Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	35.1	78.0	+7.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	41.6	84.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.3	75.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.2	39.0	82.2	+4.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.6	37.6	81.1	+6.0	71%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

44-41

H23/03

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

39-34

H25/03

BBL

Oldenburg

37-50

-13

A31/03

BBL

Ulm

#10

48-43

H04/04

BBL

Giessen

#11

54-36

+18

H07/04

BBL

Frankfurt

37-41

-4

A15/04

BBL

Gotha

#17

48-45

H20/04

BBL

Jena

#12

59-37

+22

H22/04

BBL

Tubingen

#18

53-34

+19

A27/04

BBL

Bremerhaven

#16

46-50

-4

H29/04

BBL

87.6Avg total

46.5Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	39.5	83.6	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	41.3	87.9	+5.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	37.7	79.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	41.1	87.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	41.4	90.0	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	43.2	34.2	77.5	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.3	40.3	84.6	+4.0	73%	-

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	24.2	43.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	20.3	44.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.0	25.8	45.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.5	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.6	40.0	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	26.5	28.8	55.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	18.1	39.2	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	21.7	45.3	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.1	42.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	20.0	45.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	16.5	21.8	38.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+1.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.1	80.9	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	38.3	79.5	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	39.0	83.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	34.2	79.0	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	45.5	53.0	98.5	-7.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.6	34.6	76.3	+7.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	42.0	86.5	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.9	41.9	89.8	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	42.1	83.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	45.3	90.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.2	86.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	36.5	47.5	84.0	-11.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	45.7	41.2	86.8	+4.5	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀21%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	25.0	61.0%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	6.0	30.0%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	24.2	19.2	79.4%	73.5%	19.2

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	20.0	58.4%	54.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	11.0	37.9%	33.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	73.1%	73.5%	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	20.0	58.4%	54.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	11.0	37.9%	33.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	73.1%	73.5%	12.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bonn wins

Bayern wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/17	Bayern v Bonn	78-50
13/04/17	Bayern v Bonn	84-72
22/01/17	Bayern v Bonn	87-72
06/12/16	Bonn v Bayern	95-83
28/03/16	Bonn v Bayern	81-95
11/10/15	Bayern v Bonn	84-91
24/04/15	Bonn v Bayern	88-84
30/11/14	Bayern v Bonn	112-107 OT
16/02/14	Bayern v Bonn	96-84
03/10/13	Bonn v Bayern	82-87

Bonnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/18	A	Gotha	93-70
27/04/18	H	Basketball Braunschweig	87-56
22/04/18	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	78-80
20/04/18	H	Gottingen	82-70
14/04/18	A	Giessen	86-80
08/04/18	H	Alba Berlin	76-84
01/04/18	A	Ulm	94-87 OT
25/03/18	H	Frankfurt	75-79
18/03/18	A	Mitteldeutscher	87-61
11/03/18	H	Jena	102-80

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/18	H	Bremerhaven	98-95
27/04/18	A	Tubingen	87-72
22/04/18	H	Jena	101-78
20/04/18	H	Gotha	102-80
15/04/18	A	Frankfurt	87-83
07/04/18	H	Giessen	107-83
04/04/18	H	Ulm	100-95
31/03/18	A	Oldenburg	77-100
25/03/18	H	Alba Berlin	72-91
23/03/18	H	Darussafaka	83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn

BBL 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	WLLWW	69%
Away	WWWLW	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	64%	69%	59%
Points / game	83.1	86.4	80.1
Allowed / game	78.3	78.4	78.2
Point differential	+4.8	+8.0	+1.8
Avg total	161.4	164.8	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	38%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	60% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Bayern

BBL 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	91%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WWLWW	94%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	91%	88%	94%
Points / game	88.7	91.9	85.4
Allowed / game	75.8	77.1	74.4
Point differential	+12.9	+14.8	+10.9
Avg total	164.5	168.9	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	65%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	33	30	3	91%	88.7	75.8	+12.9
2	Alba Berlin	33	28	5	85%	89.2	74.8	+14.4
3	Ludwigsburg	33	25	8	76%	86.2	75.6	+10.6
4	Bamberg	33	21	12	64%	82.2	76.4	+5.8
5	Bonn	33	21	12	64%	83.1	78.3	+4.8
6	Oldenburg	33	21	12	64%	86.3	82.8	+3.5
7	Bayreuth	33	21	12	64%	84.3	81.0	+3.2
8	Frankfurt	33	19	14	58%	77.5	77.0	+0.6
9	s.Oliver Wurzburg	33	18	15	55%	79.0	76.1	+3.0
10	Ulm	33	16	17	48%	81.1	81.0	+0.1
11	Giessen	33	16	17	48%	87.1	88.8	-1.6
12	Jena	33	13	20	39%	78.5	82.1	-3.5
13	Basketball Braunschweig	33	13	20	39%	73.8	80.5	-6.6
14	Mitteldeutscher	33	10	23	30%	81.0	87.3	-6.3
15	Gottingen	33	10	23	30%	78.7	87.5	-8.8
16	Bremerhaven	33	7	26	21%	77.6	84.3	-6.8
17	Gotha	33	7	26	21%	75.3	85.7	-10.4
18	Tubingen	33	1	32	3%	74.1	89.0	-14.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bonn	22	14	24	12	72
Bayern	26	23	14	20	83

← all games of the day

Bonn vs Bayern Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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