PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-73
26-17 18-19 21-18 18-19
Position#5
Record0-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game91.0
Barcelona 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · Barcelona v Bayern
06 Apr 2027
BAR v BAY
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
BAR95
BAY69
25 Mar 2025
BAR101
BAY102
20 Oct 2023
BAR98
BAY59
02 Feb 2023
BAR72
BAY70
03 May 2022
BAR81
BAY72
21 Apr 2022
BAR75
BAY90
19 Apr 2022
BAR77
BAY67
01 Feb 2022
BAR71
BAY66
09 Apr 2021
BAR72
BAY82
18 Oct 2018
BAR83
BAY73
17 Oct 2014
BAR83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A06/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H08/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
H10/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A04/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H07/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A11/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H13/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-20
17-29
14-18
18-19
13-14
16-12
20-20
16-21
18-23
19-15
23-17
21-22
13-27
22-17
20-13
29-17
20-15
22-31
27-15
21-11
26-26
13-22
28-19
13-17
20-15
22-18
12-13
17-21
12-30
29-18
17-26
25-9
27-12
26-14
21-20
26-18
18-26
25-20
17-23
159.0Avg total
81.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.591.0171.5-10.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.591.0171.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)81.777.3159.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)83.075.6158.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.180.3154.4-6.143%
vs Weaker (21)91.079.1170.1+11.971%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A07/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A13/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H16/06
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A28/09
BBL
Vechta
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H07/10
German Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H11/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A14/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
18-20
26-23
26-17
25-16
21-13
15-19
11-18
14-12
20-17
19-22
15-21
32-19
26-20
28-22
20-24
27-19
19-19
16-19
21-20
21-13
17-13
18-18
23-22
28-17
32-16
22-27
24-32
19-18
18-26
14-28
20-18
19-9
17-19
27-19
24-14
20-20
20-21
16-17
24-21
160.5Avg total
84.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.584.5160.0-9.050%
Season at home (2)75.584.5160.0-9.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.875.7160.5+9.180%
Last 5 (5)84.677.6162.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.181.1165.3+3.057%
vs Weaker (21)87.976.7164.6+11.181%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
BarcelonaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A06/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H08/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H10/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H07/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A11/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H13/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/10
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
40.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.881.1+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.881.7+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.880.5-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.178.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.078.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.051.080.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.440.979.3-2.429%-
vs Weaker (21)43.238.581.7+4.852%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A07/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A13/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H16/06
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A28/09
BBL
Vechta
#4
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H07/10
German Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A14/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H16/10
Euroleague
77.5Avg total
43.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.181.0+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.837.483.2+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)40.936.877.7+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.933.677.5+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.476.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.735.378.0+7.471%-
vs Weaker (21)43.837.681.4+6.271%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.1
49.1%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
37.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.8
69.3%
76.7%13.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.224.2
60.2%
52.7%48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
37.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
76.7%17.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWLWWWLLWL
Bayern
WWLWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#12
+6.7
Net rating
-1.4
107.4
Offensive rating
114.6
100.7
Defensive rating
115.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.2%
3-point %
30.5%
63.6%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 114.6Defence100.7 · 115.9Shooting52.3% · 55.4%3-point %38.2% · 30.5%Ball care18.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds32.7% · 35.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Barcelona   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Barcelona wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
20/11/14Bayern v Barcelona77-99
17/10/14Barcelona v Bayern83-81
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/18AGran Canaria86-87
13/10/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza99-55
11/10/18ACSKA Moscow75-95
07/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra67-63
04/10/18AManresa88-78
27/09/18HGran Canaria98-78
21/09/18HBaskonia76-79
10/06/18HBaskonia82-88 OT
08/06/18HBaskonia67-65
06/06/18ABaskonia79-85
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/18HPanathinaikos80-79
14/10/18ABasketball Braunschweig87-61
11/10/18HAnadolu Efes71-90
07/10/18HGiessen106-92
03/10/18HVechta79-66
28/09/18AUlm83-77
16/06/18HAlba Berlin106-85
13/06/18AAlba Berlin68-72
10/06/18HAlba Berlin72-66
07/06/18AAlba Berlin96-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game80.5-80.5
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-10.5--10.5
Avg total171.5-171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game84.584.5-
Point differential-9.0-9.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce220100%95.078.5+16.5
2 Olympiacos220100%86.073.0+13.0
3 Real Madrid220100%100.089.0+11.0
4 CSKA Moscow330100%87.778.7+9.0
5 Panathinaikos32167%90.083.7+6.3
6 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%86.083.0+3.0
7 Anadolu Efes21150%84.582.0+2.5
8 Olimpia Milano21150%83.581.0+2.5
9 Baskonia21150%83.582.0+1.5
10 Bayern21150%75.584.5-9.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%82.782.0+0.7
12 Darussafaka31233%79.783.7-4.0
13 Gran Canaria31233%82.095.0-13.0
14 Buducnost3030%67.377.0-9.7
15 Barcelona2020%80.591.0-10.5
16 Khimki M.2020%75.590.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona2618211883
Bayern1719181973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.