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Bayern vs Unics Kazan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-75
19-15 14-17 22-20 28-23
Position#3
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game76.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Unics Kazan
Position#4
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Quarter-finals
European cup2017
Meetings · Bayern v Unics Kazan
14 Mar 2018
BAY91
UKA81
06 Mar 2018
BAY83
UKA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unics Kazan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#12
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H10/01
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H17/01
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A24/01
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A26/01
BBL
Torino
#13
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H31/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#7
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H03/02
BBL
Rytas
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A07/02
Eurocup
Bamberg
#4
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-13
20-13
19-20
29-26
26-26
25-15
15-11
19-22
19-15
14-25
28-16
23-14
17-23
25-8
15-29
27-23
17-17
37-14
26-27
28-22
15-20
25-23
28-23
16-19
27-19
16-21
28-26
11-25
18-10
26-19
16-9
17-20
31-18
19-20
24-19
17-13
26-19
27-21
20-20
164.3Avg total
87.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.976.8164.8+11.188%
Season at home (8)92.673.4166.0+19.2100%
Season away (8)83.280.2163.5+3.075%
Last 10 (10)87.876.5164.3+11.3100%
Last 5 (5)87.077.2164.2+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.071.3158.3+15.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)86.374.9161.1+11.493%
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Unics KazanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A14/01
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/01
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#9
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A21/01
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A24/01
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A31/01
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H04/02
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H07/02
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A12/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H03/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-20
19-24
33-21
12-21
24-16
16-18
17-16
16-16
24-16
24-16
17-21
30-17
15-21
15-12
15-26
25-12
21-21
19-25
19-12
9-17
20-11
23-23
17-18
25-4
28-21
20-16
14-21
21-18
22-28
22-19
23-13
23-16
12-16
22-20
18-15
22-17
26-19
20-17
25-12
155.0Avg total
82.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.175.8154.9+3.469%
Season at home (8)83.076.8159.8+6.275%
Season away (8)75.274.8150.0+0.562%
Last 10 (10)82.672.4155.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)85.269.8155.0+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.081.7154.7-8.70%
vs Similar (6)80.873.3154.2+7.567%
vs Weaker (21)83.774.1157.9+9.695%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
BayernUnics Kazan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/01
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H17/01
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/01
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/01
BBL
Torino
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H03/02
BBL
Rytas
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/02
Eurocup
Bamberg
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/03
BBL
81.1Avg total
42.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.380.6+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.237.182.4+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)41.637.479.0+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.681.1+3.990%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.738.385.0+8.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.937.280.1+5.774%-
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Unics KazanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/01
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/01
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/01
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/01
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H04/02
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/02
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H03/03
VTB United League
76.5Avg total
41.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.477.3+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.337.981.2+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.234.772.9+3.571%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.176.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.475.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.738.077.7+1.767%-
vs Similar (6)39.836.876.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (21)41.436.077.5+5.467%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.7
64.2%
55.2%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
34.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.3
77.3%
77.0%19.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unics Kazantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unics Kazan: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.5
45.7%
55.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.3
37.2%
34.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.8
80.5%
77.0%12.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWWWWWWW
Unics Kazan
WWWWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#4
+5.3
Net rating
-7.8
118.2
Offensive rating
103.7
112.9
Defensive rating
111.5
58.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
22.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.5%
3-point %
37.2%
69.5%
Assist %
61.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 103.7Defence112.9 · 111.5Shooting58.1% · 49.0%3-point %30.5% · 37.2%Ball care22.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds41.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Unics Kazan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
0
Unics Kazan wins
No previous meetings.
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/18ALudwigsburg90-73
14/02/18HGottingen91-77
11/02/18ABamberg71-63
07/02/18ARytas87-85
03/02/18HBayreuth96-88
31/01/18HTorino107-81
26/01/18As.Oliver Wurzburg80-74
24/01/18AZenit Petersburg80-78
17/01/18HZenit Petersburg95-78
10/01/18HRytas81-68
Unics Kazanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/18HLokomotiv Kuban93-65
12/02/18ABC Kalev/Cramo75-67
07/02/18HLimoges88-78
04/02/18HMinsk87-62
31/01/18ALyon-Villeurbanne83-77 OT
28/01/18HParma Perm84-70
24/01/18AReggiana75-76
21/01/18AVEF Riga81-69
16/01/18HReggiana69-71
14/01/18ANizhny Novgorod91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.992.683.2
Allowed / game76.873.480.2
Point differential+11.1+19.2+3.0
Avg total164.8166.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Unics Kazan
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game79.183.075.2
Allowed / game75.876.874.8
Point differential+3.4+6.2+0.5
Avg total154.9159.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban17170100%83.169.4+13.6
2 Bayern1614288%87.976.8+11.1
3 Darussafaka1714382%79.470.3+9.1
4 Unics Kazan1611569%79.175.8+3.4
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1610662%85.981.5+4.4
6 Zenit Petersburg1610662%88.287.0+1.2
7 Reggiana169756%74.673.4+1.2
8 Gran Canaria179853%88.684.8+3.8
9 Buducnost179853%76.875.1+1.7
10 Alba Berlin168850%83.081.4+1.6
11 Trento168850%81.681.4+0.2
12 Rytas167944%86.683.6+3.0
13 Torino167944%79.586.6-7.1
14 Tofas104640%82.686.1-3.5
15 Lietkabelis104640%77.482.2-4.8
16 Galatasaray1661038%78.181.7-3.6
17 Limoges1661038%75.281.1-5.9
18 Cedevita1651131%77.179.5-2.4
19 MoraBanc Andorra103730%78.481.0-2.6
20 Bilbao102820%82.189.9-7.8
21 Levallois102820%75.583.9-8.4
22 Ulm102820%83.091.5-8.5
23 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%76.786.5-9.8
24 Partizan101910%81.195.1-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1914222883
Unics Kazan1517202375
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