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Bayern vs Ludwigsburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.2
GermanyBBLRound 14· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Ludwigsburg
28 Dec 2026
BAY v LUD
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
BAY93
LUD59
11 May 2025
BAY73
LUD72
20 May 2024
BAY83
LUD67
18 May 2024
BAY98
LUD102
19 Nov 2023
BAY92
LUD84
02 Apr 2023
BAY89
LUD72
19 Dec 2021
BAY79
LUD78
04 Jun 2021
BAY82
LUD73
02 Jun 2021
BAY81
LUD78
22 Nov 2020
BAY93
LUD70
17 Jun 2020
BAY83
LUD87
07 Apr 2020
BAY v LUD
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
BAY92
LUD74
09 Dec 2017
BAY91
LUD71
18 Dec 2016
BAY94
LUD65
19 May 2016
BAY87
LUD76
14 May 2016
BAY79
LUD68
07 May 2016
BAY97
LUD80
20 Dec 2015
BAY95
LUD92
14 Feb 2015
BAY102
LUD76
15 May 2014
BAY104
LUD82
10 May 2014
BAY101
LUD57
24 Apr 2014
BAY92
LUD67
20 Oct 2012
BAY81
LUD69
05 Nov 2011
BAY61
LUD55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 83
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
91-61
91
61
+30
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
25-15
17-16
24-16
25-14
173.1Avg total
89.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)95.469.1164.6+26.389%
Season at home (6)101.866.2168.0+35.7100%
Season away (3)82.775.0157.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)89.084.1173.1+4.950%
Last 5 (5)95.879.4175.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.372.2162.4+18.179%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 72
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 72
A20/09
BBL
Rostock
#3
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 72
H24/09
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
103-96
103
96
+7
102avg 72
A26/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 72
H04/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
107-98 OT
107
98
+9
105avg 72
A11/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 72
H24/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#13
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A31/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H08/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A13/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-21
9-25
24-24
15-18
12-17
30-23
20-28
10-20
31-24
16-20
24-14
27-21
24-29
23-24
29-22
13-29
14-18
33-23
20-24
27-23
17-19
25-24
20-23
17-14
26-15
19-25
22-14
23-18
25-25
10-24
20-27
19-22
20-22
20-15
13-15
21-18
24-29
22-18
26-14
170.4Avg total
84.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.185.2171.3+0.956%
Season at home (4)79.278.5157.8+0.850%
Season away (5)91.690.6182.2+1.060%
Last 10 (10)84.685.8170.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)86.882.6169.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.091.1170.1-12.122%
vs Similar (14)81.282.5163.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (7)88.979.9168.7+9.071%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
BayernLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H15/11
BBL
86.1Avg total
42.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.484.9+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.238.284.4+8.081%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.686.1-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.087.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.735.682.3+11.189%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/09
BBL
Rostock
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H24/09
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A26/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H24/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/11
BBL
82.6Avg total
40.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.782.6-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.979.9+0.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.045.185.1-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.382.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.084.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.746.385.0-7.711%-
vs Similar (14)40.740.981.6-0.264%-
vs Weaker (7)40.141.481.6-1.329%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
73.4%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.6%
55.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.8
33.8%
33.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.317.4
71.6%
73.4%17.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLLLWL
Ludwigsburg
WLLWWLWWLL
#1
League position
#7
+2.0
Net rating
-3.7
101.7
Offensive rating
90.2
99.7
Defensive rating
93.9
55.8%
Effective FG%
50.1%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
33.8%
66.1%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 90.2Defence99.7 · 93.9Shooting55.8% · 50.1%3-point %36.5% · 33.8%Ball care15.5% · 16.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bayern wins
2
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
07/05/26Ludwigsburg v Bayern78-86
14/04/26Bayern v Ludwigsburg93-59
11/05/25Bayern v Ludwigsburg73-72
22/09/24Ludwigsburg v Bayern78-70
24/05/24Ludwigsburg v Bayern69-76
22/05/24Ludwigsburg v Bayern73-84
20/05/24Bayern v Ludwigsburg83-67
18/05/24Bayern v Ludwigsburg98-102 OT
08/05/24Ludwigsburg v Bayern80-85
19/11/23Bayern v Ludwigsburg92-84
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSyntainics MBC91-61
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APhoenix Hagen93-79
08/11/26HOldenburg72-74
31/10/26AChemnitz78-94
24/10/26HBonn84-68
11/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig107-98 OT
04/10/26HTrier80-94
26/09/26ABamberg103-96
24/09/26HRostock81-78
20/09/26AUlm77-86
12/05/26ARostock71-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game95.4101.882.7
Allowed / game69.166.275.0
Point differential+26.3+35.7+7.7
Avg total164.6168.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game86.179.291.6
Allowed / game85.278.590.6
Point differential+0.9+0.8+1.0
Avg total171.3157.8182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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