Wurzburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Wurzburg will host Bayern on 8 November 2026 in the BBL, with the two clubs arriving on starkly different runs: Wurzburg has gone undefeated in its last five outings, while Bayern has lost three of its five most recent games. Across the season, Wurzburg has a 4-2 record, averaging 82.8 points scored and 80.2 points allowed, and sits fifth in the league; at home they are 2-1, 83.0 points for and 80.3 against. Bayern, meanwhile, is 6-1 overall, 96.3 points for and 69.7 against, and leads the standings; on the road they are 1-1, 77.0 points for and 76.0 against. In their ten previous meetings Bayern has won every encounter, most recently defeating Wurzburg 90-81 on 23 April 2026. Pythia rates Bayern as the favourite with a 63% chance of winning against Wurzburg's 37%, projecting a final score of 80-84 and a total of 163.4 points. The home team's line is 9.5, with a 66% probability of covering, and the over/under line is 160.5 with a 56% chance of the over; the game has a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost

36.8%fair 2.71

Best odds5.50

Implied18.7%

Edge+18.1pp

Bayern winWon

63.2%fair 1.58

Best odds1.20

Implied81.3%

Edge-18.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wurzburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormWurzburg

Date

Competition

Ulm

#12

90-67

+23

75avg 72

A27/09

BBL

Bonn

83-76

76avg 72

H02/10

BBL

AEK Larnaca

#25

65-73

-8

46avg 72

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Rostock

62-101

101

-39

38avg 72

A10/10

BBL

Iraklis

#11

73-90

-17

56avg 72

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

MZT Skopje

#47

87-73

+14

80avg 72

H20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Chemnitz

#15

98-88

+10

90avg 72

H26/10

BBL

Dziki Warszawa

91-62

+29

79avg 72

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Basketball Braunschweig

#14

96-72

+24

92avg 72

A31/10

BBL

Tartu Ulikool

#37

113-79

113

+34

no box

H02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

16-24

25-9

21-22

28-12

21-17

15-19

21-19

26-21

17-22

23-18

19-15

6-18

21-19

14-21

6-35

21-26

20-22

17-17

12-27

24-24

21-21

28-22

20-15

18-15

27-17

23-25

27-15

21-31

30-16

16-14

27-11

18-21

29-19

29-11

21-22

17-20

23-20

31-19

33-17

26-23

163.9Avg total

85.8Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.8	80.2	163.0	+2.7	67%
Season at home (3)	83.0	80.3	163.3	+2.7	67%
Season away (3)	82.7	80.0	162.7	+2.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	78.1	163.9	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.0	74.8	171.8	+22.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	77.5	89.5	167.0	-12.0	25%
vs Similar (15)	82.1	77.1	159.3	+5.0	60%
vs Weaker (10)	82.8	76.7	159.5	+6.1	60%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBayern

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

#15

87-83

77avg 81

A10/10

BBL

Anadolu Efes

#12

101-93

101

96avg 81

A14/10

Euroleague

Besiktas

#13

87-95

-8

88avg 81

A16/10

Euroleague

Dubai

91-107

107

-16

86avg 81

H22/10

Euroleague

Hamburg

#16

96-77

+19

102avg 81

H25/10

BBL

Barcelona

84-88

-4

75avg 81

H27/10

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

73-103

103

-30

65avg 81

A29/10

Euroleague

Rostock

67-69

-2

59avg 81

A01/11

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#14

108-66

108

+42

no box

H03/11

BBL

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

99-95

no box

A05/11

Euroleague

21-25

24-25

22-12

20-21

26-22

28-24

21-22

26-25

17-26

18-27

23-16

29-26

14-29

22-34

31-19

24-25

27-23

15-18

29-12

25-24

17-21

25-20

19-23

23-24

15-19

16-29

23-31

19-24

15-24

25-14

13-12

14-19

22-18

35-20

28-17

23-11

20-21

25-24

28-21

26-29

176.9Avg total

89.3Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	96.3	69.7	166.0	+26.6	86%
Season at home (5)	104.0	67.2	171.2	+36.8	100%
Season away (2)	77.0	76.0	153.0	+1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	87.6	176.9	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	84.2	170.4	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	85.2	94.5	179.8	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (2)	93.0	94.5	187.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.7	73.1	162.8	+16.6	80%

This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 163 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%). The market's main line is 160.5.

Over/Under 155.5Actual: Over 155.5

Over 155.5

67.5%

@ 1.53-3.8pp

Under 155.5

32.5%

@ 3.30+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.53

Marathon Be

1.33

Betano

1.29

Bet365

1.29

Under

Bet365

3.30

Betano

3.20

1xBet

2.33

Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Over 160.5

Over 160.5

56.2%

@ 1.85-3.7pp

Under 160.5

43.8%

@ 2.40+3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Marathon Be

1.52

1xBet

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.37

Marathon Be

2.27

1xBet

2.27

WilliamHill

1.85

Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5

Over 165.5

44.5%

@ 1.96-4.5pp

Under 165.5

55.5%

@ 1.91+4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.96

1xBet

1.93

Marathon Be

1.91

WilliamHill

1.91

Betano

1.88

Under

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.86

Betano

1.85

📊 3. Team Totals

Wurzburg total 73.5Actual: Wurzburg under 73.5

Over 73.5

70.9%

@ 1.59+8.4pp

Under 73.5

29.1%

@ 2.50-8.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.59

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.42

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.31

Wurzburg total 77.5 · main lineActual: Wurzburg under 77.5

Over 77.5

57.3%

@ 1.90+8.2pp

Under 77.5

42.7%

@ 1.83-8.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.90

Betano

1.87

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.77

Wurzburg total 81.5Actual: Wurzburg under 81.5

Over 81.5

42.8%

@ 2.70+7.9pp

Under 81.5

57.2%

@ 1.41-7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.55

Under

Bet365

1.41

Betano

1.40

Bayern total 81.5Actual: Bayern over 81.5

Over 81.5

58.6%

@ 1.40-10.6pp

Under 81.5

41.4%

@ 3.25+10.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.26

Under

Betano

3.25

Bet365

2.75

Bayern total 85.5 · main lineActual: Bayern over 85.5

Over 85.5

43.8%

@ 1.83-12.1pp

Under 85.5

56.2%

@ 2.25+12.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.73

1xBet

1.61

Betano

1.53

Under

1xBet

2.25

Betano

2.20

Marathon Be

1.99

Bet365

1.83

Bayern total 89.5Actual: Bayern over 89.5

Over 89.5

29.8%

@ 2.30-15.0pp

Under 89.5

70.2%

@ 1.73+15.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.07

1xBet

2.00

Marathon Be

1.99

Under

Marathon Be

1.73

1xBet

1.66

Betano

1.65

Bet365

1.55

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Wurzburg's side (positive = Wurzburg win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.2; Wurzburg win by 1+ in 32% of simulations.

Spread Wurzburg +7.5Actual: Bayern -7.5

WUR +7.5

59.9%

@ 2.35+19.0pp

BAY -7.5

40.1%

@ 1.60-19.0pp

Best 5 market prices

WUR

Betano

2.35

Pinnacle

2.32

Marathon Be

2.31

1xBet

2.31

Bet365

2.30

BAY

Pinnacle

1.60

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.53

Spread Wurzburg +10.5 · main lineActual: Bayern -10.5

WUR +10.5

69.0%

@ 1.95+19.8pp

BAY -10.5

31.0%

@ 1.89-19.8pp

Best 5 market prices

WUR

1xBet

1.95

Pinnacle

1.94

Marathon Be

1.93

Bet365

1.90

Betano

1.88

BAY

1xBet

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.85

Spread Wurzburg +13.5Actual: Bayern -13.5

WUR +13.5

76.9%

@ 1.57+17.9pp

BAY -13.5

23.1%

@ 2.30-17.9pp

Best 5 market prices

WUR

Marathon Be

1.57

1xBet

1.57

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.55

BAY

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.30

Marathon Be

2.22

1xBet

2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WurzburgBayern

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.8	43%	29%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	18.6	44.6	+7.4	80%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	22.8	41.5	-4.0	50%	25%
vs Similar (15)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	53%	47%
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	40%	40%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.6	47%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	23.9	42.2	-5.5	25%	62%
vs Similar (2)	20.5	28.0	48.5	-7.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	55%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.8	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.7	62%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	16.1	35.0	+2.9	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.6	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.2	43.6	+7.2	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	25%	25%
vs Similar (15)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	53%	47%
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	17.2	39.9	+5.5	80%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	23.3	18.3	41.6	+5.0	70%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	24.2	17.5	41.6	+6.7	76%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	62%	54%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.5	46.8	-0.2	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.4	46.6	+3.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.6	24.4	46.0	-2.8	38%	88%
vs Similar (2)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	100%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.0	15.7	39.6	+8.3	80%	35%

WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

#12

41-33

A27/09

BBL

Bonn

36-36

H02/10

BBL

AEK Larnaca

#25

40-40

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Rostock

35-40

-5

A10/10

BBL

Iraklis

#11

37-39

-2

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

MZT Skopje

#47

49-43

H20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Chemnitz

#15

50-42

H26/10

BBL

Dziki Warszawa

46-30

+16

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Basketball Braunschweig

#14

58-30

+28

A31/10

BBL

Tartu Ulikool

#37

54-39

+15

H02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

81.8Avg total

44.6Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.8	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	38.7	81.6	+4.2	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	37.2	75.5	+1.1	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	44.6	37.2	81.8	+7.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	51.4	36.8	88.2	+14.6	100%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.8	40.5	78.2	-2.8	25%	50%
vs Similar (15)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	67%	40%
vs Weaker (10)	42.0	37.9	79.9	+4.1	60%	50%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

#15

45-50

-5

A10/10

BBL

Anadolu Efes

#12

54-46

A14/10

Euroleague

Besiktas

#13

35-53

-18

A16/10

Euroleague

Dubai

36-63

-27

H22/10

Euroleague

Hamburg

#16

42-41

H25/10

BBL

Barcelona

42-41

H27/10

Euroleague

Crvena zvezda

31-48

-17

A29/10

Euroleague

Rostock

40-38

A01/11

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#14

57-38

+19

H03/11

BBL

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

45-45

A05/11

Euroleague

89.0Avg total

42.7Scored

46.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	44.7	40.3	85.0	+4.5	73%	73%
Last 30 at home (17)	46.1	38.8	84.9	+7.3	82%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	42.9	42.2	85.1	+0.8	62%	77%
Last 10 (10)	42.7	46.3	89.0	-3.6	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.0	48.2	88.2	-8.2	50%	88%
vs Similar (2)	44.0	48.5	92.5	-4.5	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.7	36.2	83.0	+10.5	90%	65%

This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bayern win

WUR win

42.4%

@ 3.78+17.1pp

BAY win

57.6%

@ 1.32-17.1pp

1st half Spread Wurzburg +6 · main lineActual: Bayern -6

WUR +6

68.2%

@ 1.88+17.3pp

BAY -6

31.8%

@ 1.95-17.3pp

1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5

Over

54.0%

@ 1.91+2.5pp

Under

46.0%

@ 2.27-2.5pp

Wurzburg 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Wurzburg over 38.5

Over

58.3%

@ 1.90+8.7pp

Under

41.7%

@ 1.87-8.7pp

Bayern 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Bayern over 43.5

Over

39.2%

@ 1.83-14.0pp

Under

60.8%

@ 2.12+14.0pp

1st half: WUR + total 80.5

WUR & over

22.3%

@ 6.00+7.9pp

WUR & under

18.4%

@ 6.25+4.5pp

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

2.1%

@ 29.00-0.9pp

Draw & under

2.0%

@ 29.00-1.0pp

1st half: BAY + total 80.5

BAY & over

29.6%

@ 2.60-3.6pp

BAY & under

25.7%

@ 2.65-6.9pp

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

48.1%

@ 1.81-4.7pp

Under

51.9%

@ 2.03+4.7pp

1st half Spread Wurzburg +5Actual: Bayern -5

WUR +5

64.1%

@ 2.06+17.6pp

BAY -5

35.9%

@ 1.79-17.6pp

1st half Spread Wurzburg +7Actual: Bayern -7

WUR +7

71.8%

@ 1.77+15.6pp

BAY -7

28.2%

@ 2.16-15.6pp

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

61.4%

@ 1.63+3.5pp

Under

38.6%

@ 2.30-3.5pp

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

42.4%

@ 2.12-4.4pp

Under

57.6%

@ 1.91+4.4pp

1st half Spread Wurzburg +4Actual: Bayern -4

WUR +4

59.7%

@ 2.16+16.0pp

BAY -4

40.3%

@ 1.80-16.0pp

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

68.6%

@ 1.44+4.0pp

Under

31.4%

@ 2.62-4.0pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bayern (regulation)

WUR

40.6%

@ 3.65+15.5pp

Draw

4.1%

@ 18.50-1.2pp

BAY

55.3%

@ 1.35-14.3pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.2	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.9	39.1	+3.2	62%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.9	42.6	-3.3	36%	71%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	25.6	16.0	41.6	+9.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	25.0	43.8	-6.2	50%	75%
vs Similar (15)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	47%	53%
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	60%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.8	60%	70%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	19.6	43.1	+3.9	65%	82%
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	54%	54%
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.5	42.2	+5.2	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	50%	75%
vs Similar (2)	26.5	22.0	48.5	+4.5	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.8	18.8	40.5	+3.0	60%	65%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.0	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	44%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	36%	64%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.6	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	25%	100%
vs Similar (15)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	33%	80%
vs Weaker (10)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	50%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	57%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	20.1	42.9	+2.8	65%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.9	25.6	48.5	-2.8	25%	100%
vs Similar (2)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.2	18.1	39.4	+3.1	75%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.5	81.2	+0.1	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	39.3	81.1	+2.5	75%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.9	81.3	-2.6	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	41.2	40.9	82.1	+0.3	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	45.6	38.0	83.6	+7.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.8	49.0	88.8	-9.2	50%	100%
vs Similar (15)	41.1	40.0	81.1	+1.1	67%	47%
vs Weaker (10)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	50%	30%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.0	84.0	+4.0	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	46.4	39.6	86.0	+6.7	71%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	40.9	40.4	81.3	+0.5	46%	54%
Last 10 (10)	46.6	41.3	87.9	+5.3	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	43.2	42.2	85.4	+1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	45.2	46.2	91.5	-1.0	25%	88%
vs Similar (2)	49.0	46.0	95.0	+3.0	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.0	36.9	79.8	+6.1	70%	40%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

WUR win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

BAY win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: WUR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BAY leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (WUR:BAY): WUR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Wurzburg +11	71.0%	1.83	Marathon Bet 1.87	1xBet 1.87	Pinnacle 1.86	Bet365 1.80	SBO 1.75	+19.7pp	Lost
Wurzburg +12	73.7%	1.72	Pinnacle 1.74	Marathon Bet 1.73	1xBet 1.73	Bet365 1.68	-	+18.9pp	Lost
Wurzburg +11.5	71.8%	1.78	Marathon Bet 1.80	1xBet 1.80	Betfair 1.80	Pinnacle 1.79	Betano 1.75	+18.5pp	Lost
Wurzburg +14	78.7%	1.52	Marathon Bet 1.52	1xBet 1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	+18.5pp	Lost
Bayern under 90	72.5%	1.71	Marathon Bet 1.71	1xBet 1.71	-	-	-	+18.3pp	Lost
1st half: Bayern under 45.5	71.3%	1.70	Marathon Bet 1.77	1xBet 1.77	Betano 1.72	Bet365 1.54	-	+18.3pp	Lost
Wurzburg +13	76.3%	1.61	Pinnacle 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.62	1xBet 1.62	Bet365 1.58	-	+18.2pp	Lost
Wurzburg +13.5	76.9%	1.56	Marathon Bet 1.57	1xBet 1.57	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.55	-	+17.9pp	Lost
Wurzburg +12.5	74.4%	1.67	Marathon Bet 1.68	1xBet 1.68	Pinnacle 1.68	Betano 1.65	Bet365 1.64	+17.8pp	Lost
1st half: Wurzburg +7.5	72.8%	1.67	Betano 1.67	-	-	-	-	+17.5pp	Lost
1st half: Wurzburg +9.5	79.4%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+17.2pp	Lost
Wurzburg +14.5	79.2%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.48	1xBet 1.48	Betano 1.47	-	+17.2pp	Lost
Wurzburg +15	80.9%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.43	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Lost
Wurzburg +15.5	81.3%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Marathon Bet 1.41	Bet365 1.41	-	-	+15.9pp	Lost
1st half: Wurzburg +7	71.8%	1.73	Marathon Bet 1.77	Pinnacle 1.68	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Lost
1st half: Bayern under 46.5	75.9%	1.52	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Lost
Wurzburg +16	82.9%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Lost
Bayern under 89.5	70.2%	1.65	Marathon Bet 1.73	1xBet 1.66	Betano 1.65	Bet365 1.55	-	+15.0pp	Lost
Q1: Bayern under 24.5	76.7%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Lost
Bayern under 90.5	73.3%	1.57	1xBet 1.58	Bet365 1.58	Betano 1.55	-	-	+14.9pp	Lost
Wurzburg +16.5	83.3%	1.35	Betano 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	+14.9pp	Lost
1st half: Wurzburg +8.5	76.3%	1.50	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Lost
Wurzburg +17	84.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.31	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
1st half: Bayern under 47.5	79.9%	1.41	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
Wurzburg +17.5	85.1%	1.30	Betano 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+14.1pp	Lost
Bayern under 92.5	79.1%	1.40	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Lost
Q1: Wurzburg +5.5	74.6%	1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
Wurzburg +18	86.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	Marathon Bet 1.26	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Lost
Wurzburg +18.5	86.7%	1.26	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	+13.1pp	Lost
Wurzburg +19.5	88.3%	1.22	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Lost
1st half: Bayern under 48.5	83.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Lost
Bayern under 94.5	84.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Bayern under 98.5	92.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
Bayern under 91.5	76.3%	1.43	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
Bayern under 96.5	88.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
1st half: Bayern under 50.5	89.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Wurzburg +20.5	89.6%	1.19	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Bayern under 93.5	81.7%	1.31	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Lost
1st half: Wurzburg over 35.5	73.4%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg +10.5	82.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Wurzburg +21.5	90.9%	1.16	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Bayern under 95.5	86.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg +6.5	78.9%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
1st half: Bayern under 49.5	86.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Bayern under 100.5	94.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 33.5	81.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Bayern under 97.5	90.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg +8.5	85.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Wurzburg over 68.5	86.1%	1.20	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg +12.5	87.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 16.5	76.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 31.5	88.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
1st half: Bayern under 52.5	93.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Bayern under 102.5	96.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Wurzburg over 69.5	83.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.25	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg +14.5	91.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
1st half: Bayern under 51.5	91.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Bayern under 104.5	97.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Wurzburg over 67.5	88.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Bayern under 99.5	93.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Wurzburg over 73.5	70.9%	1.50	1xBet 1.59	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.42	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Wurzburg +25.5	95.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Bayern under 101.5	95.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Bayern under 54.5	96.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Bayern under 106.5	98.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Wurzburg over 70.5	81.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.26	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Q1: Bayern under 25.5	82.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Bayern under 103.5	97.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 14.5	86.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Bayern under 108.5	99.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Wurzburg over 65.5	91.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Wurzburg +30.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 29.5	93.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Bayern under 105.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Wurzburg over 71.5	76.9%	1.32	Bet365 1.35	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Bayern under 53.5	95.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 15.5	81.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 27.5	96.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Q1: Bayern under 27.5	90.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 34.5	77.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Wurzburg over 63.5	94.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Wurzburg over 72.5	74.0%	1.36	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q1: Bayern under 29.5	95.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 87.5	72.0%	1.42	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Wurzburg over 66.5	89.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Bayern under 107.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Wurzburg over 59.5	97.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 32.5	85.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Wurzburg over 61.5	95.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Wurzburg over 64.5	92.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 153	73.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 10.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 11.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Wurzburg over 57.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q1: Bayern under 31.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Under 173	72.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.35	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 28.5	94.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg over 30.5	90.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Wurzburg over 62.5	94.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Wurzburg over 60.5	96.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 12.5	93.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 172	70.2%	1.43	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.42	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Wurzburg over 58.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Wurzburg over 54.5	99.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 135.5	95.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 13.5	90.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Wurzburg over 55.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
1st half: Over 70.5	85.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Wurzburg over 56.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
1st half: Over 74.5	75.4%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 173.5	72.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.34	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 172.5	70.8%	1.40	Marathon Bet 1.41	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.39	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 72.5	81.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 136.5	95.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Under 180.5	84.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg over 9.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Under 174.5	74.7%	1.33	Marathon Bet 1.35	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 175.5	76.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 190.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Bayern over 64.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Over 154	71.1%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.34	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Under 185.5	90.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Over 152.5	73.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Q1: Bayern over 11.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
1st half: Under 91.5	83.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Bayern over 65.5	96.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Over 146.5	83.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.4%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Over 151.5	75.6%	1.28	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg or Bayern	94.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 89.5	77.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Q1: Bayern over 13.5	93.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 141.5	90.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 71.5	83.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Under 188.5	92.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Over 34.5	81.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Bayern over 66.5	95.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Over 138.5	93.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Wurzburg under 98.5	95.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	78.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Under 176.5	78.2%	1.22	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Q1: Over 36.5	73.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
1st half: Over 73.5	78.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg under 28.5	95.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg under 27.5	93.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
1st half: Bayern over 32.5	90.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Wurzburg under 96.5	93.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Under 178.5	81.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Wurzburg under 97.5	94.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
1st half: Over 75.5	72.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Over 150.5	77.4%	1.21	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Under 183.5	88.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Under 186.5	91.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Bayern over 67.5	93.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Q2: Wurzburg or Bayern	94.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 90.5	80.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Bayern over 68.5	92.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Over 140.5	91.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Over 143.5	88.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Wurzburg under 95.5	92.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Wurzburg under 94.5	90.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg under 48.5	88.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Over 148.5	80.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg under 26.5	90.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
1st half: Bayern over 33.5	87.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Over 153.5	71.7%	1.30	Marathon Bet 1.33	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Bayern over 69.5	90.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Q1: Bayern over 15.5	85.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Wurzburg under 93.5	89.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 88.5	75.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Bayern over 70.5	89.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Wurzburg under 92.5	87.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Under 181.5	85.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Over 145.5	85.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg under 46.5	82.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg under 25.5	86.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Bayern +14.5	92.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
1st half: Bayern over 35.5	80.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Bayern over 71.5	87.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
1st half: Bayern over 34.5	84.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Wurzburg under 90.5	83.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Wurzburg under 88.5	79.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg under 47.5	85.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Wurzburg under 91.5	85.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Q1: Bayern over 17.5	74.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Bayern over 72.5	85.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg under 44.5	74.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg under 23.5	75.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
1st half: Bayern over 37.5	72.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Wurzburg under 89.5	81.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Wurzburg under 86.5	73.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Won
Bayern over 73.5	83.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
1st half: Bayern over 36.5	77.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Q1: Wurzburg under 24.5	81.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
Wurzburg under 87.5	76.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-5.0pp	Won
Bayern +9.5	85.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-5.3pp	Won
1st half: Wurzburg under 45.5	78.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-5.3pp	Won
Bayern over 74.5	80.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Bayern over 76.5	75.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-6.2pp	Won
Bayern over 75.5	78.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-6.3pp	Won
Q1: Bayern +3.5	73.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.3pp	Won
Wurzburg under 85.5	70.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-7.2pp	Won
Bayern over 77.5	72.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-7.3pp	Won
1st half: Bayern +5.5	77.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-7.6pp	Won
1st half: Bayern +3.5	70.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-8.7pp	Won
Bayern +4.5	74.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-13.2pp	Won
Under 174	74.2%	1.36	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	19.2	48.5%	55.6%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.6	33.1%	33.7%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.6	76.4%	73.4%	13.6

They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.3	56.5%	55.6%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.6	36.5%	33.7%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.2	80.0%	73.4%	15.2

They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	19.3	55.8%	55.6%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	7.2	30.5%	33.7%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	24.3	17.0	70.0%	73.4%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	20.3	57.5%	55.6%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.5	36.3%	33.7%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.8	76.7%	73.4%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.1	50.3%	55.6%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.5	33.7%	33.7%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.6	74.4%	73.4%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	21.7	57.4%	55.6%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.7	35.5%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	19.5	15.0	77.0%	73.4%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	18.5	54.6%	55.6%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.1	31.9%	33.7%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	23.1	16.6	71.6%	73.4%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	19.1	54.1%	55.6%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	9.8	33.5%	33.7%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.7	73.9%	73.4%	12.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Wurzburg

WWWWWLLLWW

Bayern

WWLLLWLLWW

League position

+4.1

Net rating

+2.0

92.6

Offensive rating

101.7

88.5

Defensive rating

99.7

49.0%

Effective FG%

55.8%

51.7%

Opp. effective FG%

56.2%

14.2%

Turnover %

15.5%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.29

33.1%

3-point %

36.5%

54.9%

Assist %

66.1%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Wurzburg ■ Bayern

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Wurzburg wins

Bayern wins

Date	Game	Score
23/04/26	Wurzburg v Bayern	81-90
25/01/26	Bayern v Wurzburg	98-79
29/03/25	Wurzburg v Bayern	75-81
27/10/24	Bayern v Wurzburg	70-69
02/06/24	Wurzburg v Bayern	61-75
31/05/24	Bayern v Wurzburg	99-75
29/05/24	Bayern v Wurzburg	91-76
14/04/24	Wurzburg v Bayern	82-90
29/10/23	Bayern v Wurzburg	87-64
10/04/23	Wurzburg v Bayern	49-67

Wurzburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/26	H	Tartu Ulikool	113-79
31/10/26	A	Basketball Braunschweig	96-72
28/10/26	H	Dziki Warszawa	91-62
26/10/26	H	Chemnitz	98-88
20/10/26	H	MZT Skopje	87-73
14/10/26	A	Iraklis	73-90
10/10/26	A	Rostock	62-101
07/10/26	A	AEK Larnaca	65-73
02/10/26	H	Bonn	83-76
27/09/26	A	Ulm	90-67

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	99-95
03/11/26	H	Basketball Braunschweig	108-66
01/11/26	A	Rostock	67-69
29/10/26	A	Crvena zvezda	73-103
27/10/26	H	Barcelona	84-88
25/10/26	H	Hamburg	96-77
22/10/26	H	Dubai	91-107
16/10/26	A	Besiktas	87-95
14/10/26	A	Anadolu Efes	101-93
10/10/26	A	Chemnitz	87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg

BBL 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	82.8	83.0	82.7
Allowed / game	80.2	80.3	80.0
Point differential	+2.7	+2.7	+2.7
Avg total	163.0	163.3	162.7
Over 160.5	50%	33%	67%
Win by 10+	50%	33%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bayern

BBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	86%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	86%	100%	50%
Points / game	96.3	104.0	77.0
Allowed / game	69.7	67.2	76.0
Point differential	+26.6	+36.8	+1.0
Avg total	166.0	171.2	153.0
Over 160.5	71%	80%	50%
Win by 10+	71%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	7	6	1	86%	96.3	69.7	+26.6
2	Trier	7	6	1	86%	98.4	86.1	+12.3
3	Syntainics MBC	8	6	2	75%	86.6	80.1	+6.5
4	Frankfurt	6	4	2	67%	87.3	83.3	+4.0
5	Wurzburg	6	4	2	67%	82.8	80.2	+2.7
6	Rostock	8	5	3	62%	89.8	82.4	+7.4
7	Bonn	8	5	3	62%	88.0	82.5	+5.5
8	Bamberg	8	4	4	50%	86.9	85.8	+1.1
9	Ludwigsburg	8	4	4	50%	85.2	86.0	-0.8
10	Alba Berlin	8	4	4	50%	86.2	87.8	-1.5
11	Oldenburg	8	4	4	50%	74.4	82.0	-7.6
12	Ulm	8	3	5	38%	82.5	86.4	-3.9
13	Vechta	8	3	5	38%	86.2	90.8	-4.5
14	Basketball Braunschweig	8	3	5	38%	86.0	96.5	-10.5
15	Jena	7	2	5	29%	76.6	88.3	-11.7
16	Chemnitz	8	2	6	25%	87.1	90.0	-2.9
17	Phoenix Hagen	8	2	6	25%	84.0	91.9	-7.9
18	Hamburg	7	1	6	14%	81.1	92.3	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Wurzburg	21	18	7	27	73
Bayern	26	23	33	12	94

← all games of the day

Wurzburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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