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Bayern vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 96-77
27-23 15-18 29-12 25-24
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game69.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Hamburg
Germany
Position#17
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game88.2
GermanyBBLRound 6· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Hamburg
25 Oct 2026
BAY96
HAM77
05 Oct 2025
BAY96
HAM79
29 Sep 2024
BAY81
HAM80
08 Oct 2023
BAY90
HAM79
14 Feb 2023
BAY70
HAM89
02 Mar 2022
BAY86
HAM75
17 Jan 2021
BAY85
HAM71
30 Sep 2019
BAY111
HAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.05
Implied92.2%
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best odds16.00
Implied7.8%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 81
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 81
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
70avg 81
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#11
W
113-60
113
60
+53
119avg 81
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
74avg 81
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#13
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 81
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 81
H22/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
28-18
24-18
18-27
22-12
18-12
26-18
29-19
15-31
16-19
20-25
25-25
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
177.0Avg total
90.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)100.869.0169.8+31.8100%
Season at home (3)105.364.3169.7+41.0100%
Season away (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.786.3177.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)90.694.4185.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.494.1181.6-6.729%
vs Similar (1)69.095.0164.0-26.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.974.6164.5+15.386%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
86avg 73
H22/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 73
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 73
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
59avg 73
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 73
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 73
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 73
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 73
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 73
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 73
A11/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
24-18
13-20
24-24
20-29
12-13
19-19
21-20
15-29
27-18
17-22
12-16
14-22
21-26
21-20
17-22
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
166.6Avg total
78.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
Season at home (2)89.090.5179.5-1.550%
Season away (3)74.786.7161.3-12.00%
Last 10 (10)78.088.6166.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)83.891.2175.0-7.435%
vs Similar (10)87.380.6167.9+6.760%
vs Weaker (3)87.791.0178.7-3.333%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under 164.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Be
1.49
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.11
Marathon Be
2.11
Over/Under 169.5 · main lineActual: Over 169.5
Over 169.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under 169.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.98
Marathon Be
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.91
Over/Under 174.5Actual: Under 174.5
Over 174.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 174.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Marathon Be
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
Marathon Be
1.52
1xBet
1.51

📊 3. Team Totals

Bayern total 89.5Actual: Bayern over 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 2.82
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.33
Under
Betano
2.82
Bet365
2.80
Bayern total 93.5 · main lineActual: Bayern over 93.5
Over 93.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 93.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Be
1.71
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bayern total 97.5Actual: Bayern under 97.5
Over 97.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under 97.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathon Be
2.00
Under
Marathon Be
1.72
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Hamburg total 70.5Actual: Hamburg over 70.5
Over 70.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
Under 70.5
no forecast
@ 2.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.34
Under
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.77
Hamburg total 74.5 · main lineActual: Hamburg over 74.5
Over 74.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under 74.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Hamburg total 78.5Actual: Hamburg under 78.5
Over 78.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 78.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bayern -22Actual: Hamburg +22
BAY -22
no forecast
@ 2.42
HAM +22
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
BAY
Pinnacle
2.42
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19
SBO
1.88
HAM
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Be
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Spread Bayern -19 · main linePush
BAY -19
no forecast
@ 1.90
HAM +19
no forecast
@ 1.97
Best 5 market prices
BAY
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.78
HAM
1xBet
1.97
SBO
1.93
Marathon Be
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Spread Bayern -16Actual: Bayern -16
BAY -16
no forecast
@ 1.52
HAM +16
no forecast
@ 2.40
Best 5 market prices
BAY
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.49
1xBet
1.49
HAM
Bet365
2.40
Marathon Be
2.38
1xBet
2.38

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
BayernHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#10
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#11
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
88.6Avg total
43.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)44.739.684.3+5.173%47%
Last 30 at home (17)45.638.083.6+7.682%41%
Last 30 away (13)43.541.785.2+1.862%54%
Last 10 (10)43.245.488.6-2.250%70%
Last 5 (5)42.652.895.4-10.220%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.449.991.3-8.443%71%
vs Similar (1)31.042.073.0-11.00%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.336.282.5+10.186%41%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
80.9Avg total
38.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)42.444.687.0-2.243%47%
Last 30 at home (16)43.845.989.6-2.150%50%
Last 30 away (14)40.843.183.9-2.436%43%
Last 10 (10)38.242.780.9-4.530%20%
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.440%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.745.886.5-5.135%35%
vs Similar (10)44.341.085.3+3.360%50%
vs Weaker (3)45.350.095.3-4.733%100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Bayern win
BAY win
no forecast
@ 1.11
HAM win
no forecast
@ 7.40
1st half Spread Bayern -11 · main lineActual: Hamburg +11
BAY -11
no forecast
@ 1.97
HAM +11
no forecast
@ 1.96
1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Under 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Bayern 1st half total 48.5 · main lineActual: Bayern under 48.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Hamburg 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Hamburg over 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: BAY + total 85.5
BAY & over
no forecast
@ 2.15
BAY & under
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half: Draw + total 85.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 41.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 41.00
1st half: HAM + total 85.5
HAM & over
no forecast
@ 12.00
HAM & under
no forecast
@ 12.00
1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Under 85
Over
no forecast
@ 2.03
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Spread Bayern -12Actual: Hamburg +12
BAY -12
no forecast
@ 2.16
HAM +12
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Spread Bayern -10Actual: Hamburg +10
BAY -10
no forecast
@ 1.88
HAM +10
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.60
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Spread Bayern -13Actual: Hamburg +13
BAY -13
no forecast
@ 2.02
HAM +13
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Bayern -9Actual: Hamburg +9
BAY -9
no forecast
@ 1.78
HAM +9
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bayern (regulation)
BAY
no forecast
@ 1.12
Draw
no forecast
@ 25.00
HAM
no forecast
@ 7.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BAY win + total 169.5
🔒 Pro
HAM win + total 169.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BAY leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HAM leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (BAY:HAM): BAY wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.9
58.7%
55.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.318.1
81.2%
73.4%18.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.6
50.4%
55.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.0
25.8%
33.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
73.4%15.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWWLWLLWW
Hamburg
LLLWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#17
+5.3
Net rating
-11.6
104.6
Offensive rating
83.4
99.3
Defensive rating
95.0
56.7%
Effective FG%
44.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
25.8%
63.2%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 83.4Defence99.3 · 95.0Shooting56.7% · 44.9%3-point %35.7% · 25.8%Ball care15.3% · 14.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bayern   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Hamburg v Bayern96-81
05/10/25Bayern v Hamburg96-79
20/04/25Hamburg v Bayern74-70
29/09/24Bayern v Hamburg81-80
24/03/24Hamburg v Bayern80-81 OT
08/10/23Bayern v Hamburg90-79
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86
29/09/26AFenerbahce76-100
26/09/26HAlba Berlin95-61
24/09/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-84
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
07/05/26HWurzburg73-90
03/05/26ABamberg71-85
25/04/26AUlm72-81
22/04/26HRostock91-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.8105.387.0
Allowed / game69.064.383.0
Point differential+31.8+41.0+4.0
Avg total169.8169.7170.0
Over 169.575%67%100%
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game80.489.074.7
Allowed / game88.290.586.7
Point differential-7.8-1.5-12.0
Avg total168.6179.5161.3
Over 169.540%100%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern440100%100.869.0+31.8
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt43175%89.585.2+4.2
4 Syntainics MBC64267%84.579.8+4.7
5 Ludwigsburg64267%88.786.7+2.0
6 Basketball Braunschweig53260%92.694.2-1.6
7 Rostock63350%92.084.2+7.8
8 Bonn63350%85.380.8+4.5
9 Bamberg63350%88.086.0+2.0
10 Wurzburg42250%75.880.2-4.5
11 Oldenburg63350%76.083.8-7.8
12 Ulm52340%82.086.2-4.2
13 Alba Berlin52340%80.490.6-10.2
14 Jena52340%75.287.4-12.2
15 Phoenix Hagen62433%87.788.8-1.2
16 Chemnitz51420%85.089.0-4.0
17 Hamburg51420%80.488.2-7.8
18 Vechta61517%81.893.7-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2715292596
Hamburg2318122477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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