Bayern face Syntainics MBC on 15 November 2026 in the BBL, with the model favouring Bayern at 83% versus 17% for Syntainics MBC, reflecting Bayern's 7-1 record, 96.0 points per game and 70.1 allowed per game, the best in the league. Bayern have gone 5-0 at home, scoring 104.0 points per game and allowing 67.2, while Syntainics MBC finish 6-2 overall, 86.6 points per game and 80.1 allowed, and are unbeaten in their last five games, winning 5-0. Bayern's last five games include a 94-73 win over Wurzburg, a 99-95 win over Lyon-Villeurbanne and a 102-87 loss to Valencia, whereas Syntainics MBC's recent victories are 107-87 over Kapfenberg Bulls, 109-89 over Hamburg and 77-73 over Frankfurt. Historically, Bayern lead the series 7-3, though Syntainics MBC last defeated them 91-79 on 4 April 2026. Pythia projects a 92-80 score for Bayern, a total of 171.3 points, and a 37% chance that Bayern will cover the home line of -16.5; the over on the 167.5 line has a 58% probability. The game carries a 3% overtime likelihood, and Bayern's recent form suggests a decisive win.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bayern win
83.4%fair 1.20
Best odds1.08
Implied89.2%
Edge-5.9pp
Syntainics MBC win
16.6%fair 6.01
Best odds11.00
Implied10.8%
Edge+5.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 171 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 169.5.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
65.3%
@ 1.62+6.9pp
Under 164.5
34.7%
@ 2.25-6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Be
1.56
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.19
Marathon Be
2.19
Bet365
2.15
Over/Under 169.5 · main line
Over 169.5
53.7%
@ 2.05+4.2pp
Under 169.5
46.3%
@ 1.91-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Marathon Be
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.78
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
41.9%
@ 2.70+6.5pp
Under 174.5
58.1%
@ 1.46-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.52
Under
Marathon Be
1.46
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.41
📊 3. Team Totals
Bayern total 87.5
Over 87.5
65.8%
@ 1.36-0.7pp
Under 87.5
34.2%
@ 2.70+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
Bayern total 91.5 · main line
Over 91.5
51.1%
@ 1.85-0.9pp
Under 91.5
48.9%
@ 1.94+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathon Be
1.79
Betano
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.94
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bayern total 95.5
Over 95.5
36.3%
@ 2.35-3.5pp
Under 95.5
63.7%
@ 1.54+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.21
Under
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.47
Syntainics MBC total 71.5
Over 71.5
77.0%
@ 1.36+10.5pp
Under 71.5
23.0%
@ 2.70-10.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
Syntainics MBC total 75.5 · main line
Over 75.5
64.1%
@ 1.85+11.6pp
Under 75.5
35.9%
@ 2.01-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.01
Marathon Be
1.98
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Syntainics MBC total 79.5
Over 79.5
49.4%
@ 2.37+9.7pp
Under 79.5
50.6%
@ 1.54-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.21
Under
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.47
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Bayern's side (positive = Bayern win). Pythia's expected margin is +12.2; Bayern win by 1+ in 78% of simulations.
Spread Bayern -18.5
BAY -18.5
30.8%
@ 2.26-10.3pp
SMB +18.5
69.2%
@ 1.64+10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
2.26
Marathon Be
2.26
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.12
SMB
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Be
1.55
Spread Bayern -15.5 · main line
BAY -15.5
39.6%
@ 1.92-10.1pp
SMB +15.5
60.4%
@ 1.95+10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.82
SMB
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Be
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Spread Bayern -12.5
BAY -12.5
49.2%
@ 1.55-11.0pp
SMB +12.5
50.8%
@ 2.50+11.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BAY
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Be
1.55
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
SMB
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.26
Marathon Be
2.26
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
BayernSyntainics MBC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winner
BAY win
73.9%
@ 1.26-1.2pp
SMB win
26.1%
@ 3.80+1.2pp
2nd half Spread Bayern -6.5 · main line
BAY -6.5
47.4%
@ 1.85-5.2pp
SMB +6.5
52.6%
@ 1.97+5.2pp
2nd half Over/Under 82 · main line
Over
61.8%
@ 1.86+11.6pp
Under
38.2%
@ 1.88-11.6pp
Bayern 2nd half total 45 · main line
Over
53.3%
@ 1.83+2.2pp
Under
46.7%
@ 1.91-2.2pp
Syntainics MBC 2nd half total 38 · main line
Over
59.9%
@ 1.87+9.9pp
Under
40.1%
@ 1.87-9.9pp
2nd half Over/Under 83.5
Over
56.2%
@ 1.93+6.5pp
Under
43.8%
@ 1.86-6.5pp
2nd half Spread Bayern -7.5
BAY -7.5
43.1%
@ 1.93-6.1pp
SMB +7.5
56.9%
@ 1.84+6.1pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
BAY
71.3%
@ 1.29-0.3pp
Draw
3.6%
@ 20.00-1.0pp
SMB
25.2%
@ 3.84+1.3pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Bayern: 86.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
35.3
20.3
57.5%
55.6%
40.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.9
10.5
36.3%
33.7%
31.5
🏀Free throws
19.3
14.8
76.7%
73.4%
14.8
Their opponents take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Syntainics MBCtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Syntainics MBC: 79.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.7
20.3
53.8%
55.6%
40.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.2
8.6
32.8%
33.7%
25.8
🏀Free throws
18.5
12.9
69.7%
73.4%
12.9
Their opponents take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Bayern: 80.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
35.2
19.1
54.1%
55.6%
38.1
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
29.4
9.8
33.5%
33.7%
29.5
🏀Free throws
17.1
12.7
73.9%
73.4%
12.7
Their opponents take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Syntainics MBCtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Syntainics MBC: 83.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
36.3
19.1
52.5%
55.6%
38.1
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.2
9.5
39.3%
33.7%
28.5
🏀Free throws
22.3
16.6
74.4%
73.4%
16.6
Their opponents take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
Syntainics MBC
WWWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+2.0
Net rating
+13.8
101.7
Offensive rating
106.6
99.7
Defensive rating
92.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
57.0%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
36.6%
66.1%
Assist %
52.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%
Profile
■ Bayern■ Syntainics MBC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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