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Bayern vs Unics Kazan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-81
27-27 19-15 23-21 22-18
Position#3
Record15-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game76.9
Bayern 🏆
vs
Unics Kazan
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Quarter-finals
European cup2017
Meetings · Bayern v Unics Kazan
14 Mar 2018
BAY91
UKA81
06 Mar 2018
BAY83
UKA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unics Kazan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A26/01
BBL
Torino
#13
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H31/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#7
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H03/02
BBL
Rytas
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A07/02
Eurocup
Bamberg
#4
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A03/03
BBL
Unics Kazan
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H06/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A09/03
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#14
W
111-91
111
91
+20
H11/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
17-23
25-8
15-29
27-23
17-17
37-14
26-27
28-22
15-20
25-23
28-23
16-19
27-19
16-21
28-26
11-25
18-10
26-19
16-9
17-20
31-18
19-20
24-19
17-13
26-19
27-21
20-20
19-15
14-17
22-20
28-23
22-16
18-14
12-24
21-26
26-22
25-30
30-13
30-26
167.6Avg total
88.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.876.9163.7+9.983%
Season at home (9)91.673.6165.1+18.0100%
Season away (9)82.180.2162.3+1.967%
Last 10 (10)88.978.7167.6+10.290%
Last 5 (5)89.679.2168.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.071.3158.3+15.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.376.4163.8+10.989%
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Unics KazanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#9
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A21/01
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A24/01
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A31/01
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H04/02
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H07/02
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A12/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H03/03
VTB United League
Bayern
#3
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A06/03
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H09/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
24-16
24-16
17-21
30-17
15-21
15-12
15-26
25-12
21-21
19-25
19-12
9-17
20-11
23-23
17-18
25-4
28-21
20-16
14-21
21-18
22-28
22-19
23-13
23-16
12-16
22-20
18-15
22-17
26-19
20-17
25-12
15-19
17-14
20-22
23-28
16-22
14-18
24-12
26-21
154.1Avg total
82.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.976.0154.9+2.967%
Season at home (9)82.776.3159.0+6.378%
Season away (9)75.275.7150.9-0.456%
Last 10 (10)82.172.0154.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)82.273.2155.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.880.2155.0-5.420%
vs Similar (6)80.873.3154.2+7.567%
vs Weaker (19)83.174.3157.3+8.895%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
BayernUnics Kazan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/01
BBL
Torino
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H03/02
BBL
Rytas
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/02
Eurocup
Bamberg
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/03
BBL
Unics Kazan
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H06/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A09/03
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#14
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/03
BBL
79.0Avg total
41.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.881.1+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.938.184.0+7.787%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.478.3+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.679.0+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.738.385.0+8.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.037.780.7+5.374%-
This opponent (Unics Kazan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Unics KazanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/01
Eurocup
Parma Perm
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/01
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H04/02
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/02
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H03/03
VTB United League
Bayern
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A06/03
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H09/03
Eurocup
74.4Avg total
40.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.175.9+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.579.2+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.634.672.1+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.374.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.475.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
vs Similar (6)39.836.876.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (19)40.735.676.3+5.263%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.7
64.2%
55.2%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
34.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.3
77.3%
77.0%19.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unics Kazantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unics Kazan: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.5
45.7%
55.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.3
37.2%
34.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.8
80.5%
77.0%12.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWWWWWW
Unics Kazan
WLWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+5.3
Net rating
-7.8
118.2
Offensive rating
103.7
112.9
Defensive rating
111.5
58.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
22.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.5%
3-point %
37.2%
69.5%
Assist %
61.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 103.7Defence112.9 · 111.5Shooting58.1% · 49.0%3-point %30.5% · 37.2%Ball care22.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds41.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Unics Kazan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
1
Unics Kazan wins
DateGameScore
09/03/18Unics Kazan v Bayern80-73
06/03/18Bayern v Unics Kazan83-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/18HMitteldeutscher111-91
09/03/18AUnics Kazan73-80
06/03/18HUnics Kazan83-75
03/03/18ALudwigsburg90-73
14/02/18HGottingen91-77
11/02/18ABamberg71-63
07/02/18ARytas87-85
03/02/18HBayreuth96-88
31/01/18HTorino107-81
26/01/18As.Oliver Wurzburg80-74
Unics Kazanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/18HBayern80-73
06/03/18ABayern75-83
03/03/18HLokomotiv Kuban93-65
12/02/18ABC Kalev/Cramo75-67
07/02/18HLimoges88-78
04/02/18HMinsk87-62
31/01/18ALyon-Villeurbanne83-77 OT
28/01/18HParma Perm84-70
24/01/18AReggiana75-76
21/01/18AVEF Riga81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game86.891.682.1
Allowed / game76.973.680.2
Point differential+9.9+18.0+1.9
Avg total163.7165.1162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Unics Kazan
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game78.982.775.2
Allowed / game76.076.375.7
Point differential+2.9+6.3-0.4
Avg total154.9159.0150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban18180100%82.968.8+14.1
2 Bayern1815383%86.876.9+9.9
3 Darussafaka1815383%79.370.3+8.9
4 Unics Kazan1812667%78.976.0+2.9
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1610662%85.981.5+4.4
6 Zenit Petersburg1811761%86.885.8+1.1
7 Reggiana1810856%74.773.7+1.1
8 Gran Canaria189950%86.984.6+2.4
9 Alba Berlin168850%83.081.4+1.6
10 Buducnost189950%76.475.2+1.2
11 Trento168850%81.681.4+0.2
12 Rytas167944%86.683.6+3.0
13 Torino167944%79.586.6-7.1
14 Tofas104640%82.686.1-3.5
15 Lietkabelis104640%77.482.2-4.8
16 Galatasaray1661038%78.181.7-3.6
17 Limoges1661038%75.281.1-5.9
18 Cedevita1651131%77.179.5-2.4
19 MoraBanc Andorra103730%78.481.0-2.6
20 Bilbao102820%82.189.9-7.8
21 Levallois102820%75.583.9-8.4
22 Ulm102820%83.091.5-8.5
23 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%76.786.5-9.8
24 Partizan101910%81.195.1-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2719232291
Unics Kazan2715211881
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