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Baylor vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 110-88
52-47 58-41
Position#200
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game80.3
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Position#324
Record4-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-24
29-32
39-52
35-24
37-32
38-40
30-47
36-42
46-37
50-44
38-32
40-37
55-42
39-39
44-36
37-38
34-43
47-53
40-36
51-45
158.1Avg total
80.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.880.3167.2+6.583%
Season at home (5)86.080.2166.2+5.880%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.677.5158.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)85.080.2165.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.375.5138.8-12.20%
vs Similar (14)78.173.0151.1+5.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.568.4143.9+7.180%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H05/11
NCAA
William Jessup
#391
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
48-79
48
79
-31
A19/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A22/11
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
37-46
41-39
62-40
37-33
49-43
43-45
44-47
36-34
37-43
27-36
37-26
17-42
31-37
33-47
34-44
49-23
45-23
32-32
22-36
149.9Avg total
74.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.174.4149.6+0.744%
Season at home (5)86.871.0157.8+15.880%
Season away (4)60.578.8139.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)74.675.3149.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)65.469.2134.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.275.5139.7-11.415%
vs Similar (5)68.273.6141.8-5.420%
vs Weaker (4)93.252.5145.8+40.8100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +1.3+1.3
BaylorSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A27/11
NCAA
78.5Avg total
40.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.968.0+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.231.667.8+4.675%-
Last 30 away (14)31.636.668.3-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.178.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.538.367.8-8.817%-
vs Similar (14)33.634.267.8-0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.530.968.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/03
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/11
NCAA
William Jessup
#391
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A19/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A22/11
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
34.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.437.169.5-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.235.167.2-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)32.739.472.1-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.871.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.067.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.238.969.1-8.620%-
vs Similar (5)31.238.870.0-7.620%-
vs Weaker (4)43.827.070.8+16.8100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baylor wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25ASan Diego State91-81
25/11/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)81-96
24/11/25HCreighton81-74
15/11/25HTarleton94-81
10/11/25HWashington78-69
04/11/25HUTRGV96-81
23/03/25ADuke66-89
21/03/25AMississippi St.75-72
13/03/25ATexas Tech74-76
12/03/25HKansas State70-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25APacific54-68
26/11/25HSan Francisco State94-46
22/11/25ACalifornia67-91
19/11/25AUCLA48-79
16/11/25HPresbyterian64-62
15/11/25AUC Davis73-77
12/11/25HUC Santa Barbara87-92
08/11/25HWilliam Jessup86-76
05/11/25HDominican Penguins103-79
09/03/25AWeber State70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%80%100%
Points / game86.886.091.0
Allowed / game80.380.281.0
Point differential+6.5+5.8+10.0
Avg total167.2166.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game75.186.860.5
Allowed / game74.471.078.8
Point differential+0.7+15.8-18.2
Avg total149.6157.8139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona770100%87.367.0+20.3
2 Oklahoma State770100%92.175.3+16.9
3 Colorado880100%88.876.9+11.9
4 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
5 UCF Knights87188%88.276.9+11.4
6 Iowa State76186%88.967.3+21.6
7 Brigham Young76186%84.469.1+15.3
8 Baylor65183%86.880.3+6.5
9 West Virginia86275%71.157.5+13.6
10 Cincinnati86275%75.563.4+12.1
11 Kansas86275%76.264.5+11.8
12 Texas Tech86275%81.471.5+9.9
13 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
14 Utah Utes86275%81.477.9+3.5
15 TCU75271%79.765.9+13.9
16 Kansas State85362%86.580.6+5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado87188%88.870.6+18.1
2 Portland State64267%87.074.5+12.5
3 Northern Arizona64267%81.275.7+5.5
4 Idaho74357%80.172.7+7.4
5 Montana84450%83.874.4+9.4
6 Idaho State84450%73.868.0+5.8
7 Sacramento State94544%75.174.4+0.7
8 Weber State73443%86.973.1+13.7
9 Montana State83538%80.269.1+11.1
10 East. Washington71614%75.384.3-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor5258110
Sacramento State474188
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