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Bayreuth vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-106
25-20 28-29 29-32 21-25
Position#13
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bayreuth
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyPro ARound 1· Oberfrankenhalle
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins
10 Jan 2027
BAR v CME
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BAR63
CME79
21 Sep 2024
BAR103
CME106
23 Oct 2022
BAR99
CME77
23 Oct 2021
BAR74
CME86
05 Mar 2021
BAR97
CME78
12 Nov 2020
BAR77
CME81
03 Apr 2020
BAR v CME
upcoming
29 Dec 2018
BAR102
CME85
06 Feb 2016
BAR78
CME70
02 Oct 2014
BAR80
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Nurnberger
#12
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
A03/03
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
H10/03
Pro A
Munster
#8
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
A16/03
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
no box
H23/03
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
A30/03
Pro A
Dresden
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H03/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H07/04
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
L
63-93
63
93
-30
no box
A13/04
Pro A
Paderborn
#18
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H20/04
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
A27/04
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-17
20-18
17-13
12-21
18-19
17-18
15-22
21-27
24-26
20-26
30-16
21-23
21-23
14-21
20-32
18-16
12-28
18-27
19-16
17-22
14-17
26-19
29-22
25-16
21-21
14-29
24-21
17-27
20-21
19-17
7-28
12-27
27-16
17-14
32-21
20-28
19-17
9-23
15-19
169.9Avg total
79.7Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.790.2169.9-10.530%
Last 5 (5)76.885.0161.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.182.8161.9-3.753%
vs Similar (13)82.590.5173.0-8.131%
vs Weaker (2)84.081.0165.0+3.050%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 69
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 69
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 69
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 69
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
67avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
78avg 69
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
82-109
82
109
-27
72avg 69
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
80avg 69
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-103
83
103
-20
64avg 69
H12/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
79-77
79
77
+2
56avg 69
H14/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
21-26
25-24
25-17
31-26
17-27
23-21
25-20
23-30
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
12-18
20-28
13-21
21-19
24-16
12-30
31-21
21-27
16-30
24-24
22-31
20-24
18-24
18-5
27-25
22-16
18-26
25-23
27-26
13-28
25-18
21-21
15-19
18-19
176.6Avg total
85.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.790.9176.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)83.490.6174.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)79.792.7172.4-13.017%
vs Similar (6)89.287.7176.8+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
BayreuthCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nurnberger
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/03
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/03
Pro A
Munster
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A16/03
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/03
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/03
Pro A
Dresden
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/04
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A13/04
Pro A
Paderborn
#18
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H20/04
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A27/04
Pro A
81.0Avg total
37.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.081.2-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.981.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)36.744.280.9-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.681.0-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.480.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.739.377.1-1.647%-
vs Similar (13)40.545.485.9-4.831%-
vs Weaker (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H27/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H04/05
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H12/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H14/09
German Cup
86.7Avg total
41.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.985.8-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.343.985.2-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.148.286.4-10.114%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.586.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)39.445.985.3-6.517%-
vs Similar (6)40.347.287.5-6.833%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.0
53.3%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
-33.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
-14.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.9
56.9%
-39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
-30.6
🏀 Free throws18.614.5
78.0%
-14.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LWLLWLLLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWLLLWLWL
#13
League position
#3
-19.5
Net rating
-6.3
112.0
Offensive rating
107.3
131.5
Defensive rating
113.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.9%
3-point %
34.6%
59.0%
Assist %
58.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayreuth wins
7
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
05/04/23Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth78-73
23/10/22Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins99-77
16/04/22Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth90-85
23/10/21Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins74-86
05/03/21Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins97-78
16/01/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth82-77
12/11/20Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins77-81
06/10/19Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth83-76
13/02/19Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth97-90
29/12/18Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins102-85
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24APhoenix Hagen63-87
20/04/24HPaderborn88-78
13/04/24AKoblenz63-93
07/04/24HBremerhaven84-87
03/04/24HDresden86-80
30/03/24AKirchheim67-87
23/03/24HTrier76-99
16/03/24AMunster111-116 OT
10/03/24HFrankfurt62-80
03/03/24ANurnberger97-95 OT
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/24HRostock79-77
12/05/24HAlba Berlin83-103
08/05/24ARostock85-70
04/05/24HBamberg82-109
30/04/24AHamburg88-94
27/04/24HUlm66-86
20/04/24HBonn98-89
13/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig88-98
06/04/24HVechta102-93
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bochum110100%81.064.0+17.0
2 Dresden110100%84.074.0+10.0
3 Tubingen110100%77.069.0+8.0
4 Trier1010%69.077.0-8.0
5 Dusseldorf1010%74.084.0-10.0
6 Koblenz1010%64.081.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth25282921103
Crailsheim Merlins20293225106
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