Nurnberger vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 95-97 (OT)

24-18 17-17 18-20 13-17 23-25

Position#12

Record10-14

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game81.0

Nurnberger

Bayreuth 🏆

Position#11

Record12-12

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game83.0

Pro ARound 25

Other2023-24

Meetings · Nurnberger v Bayreuth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nurnberger winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayreuth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Munster

62-84

-22

H02/01

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

67-77

-10

A06/01

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

65-79

-14

H13/01

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

83-76

A20/01

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

89-85

H27/01

Pro A

Munster

94-86

A03/02

Pro A

Frankfurt

63-78

-15

H07/02

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

84-70

+14

H11/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

84-89

-5

A17/02

Pro A

Dresden

78-93

-15

H01/03

Pro A

21-24

15-20

16-24

10-16

12-14

25-18

8-16

22-29

19-23

15-15

16-19

15-22

16-18

15-21

23-17

29-20

18-22

27-24

20-17

24-22

23-25

21-20

23-23

27-18

16-19

10-26

14-22

23-11

14-18

16-23

24-15

30-14

12-20

24-27

28-20

20-22

17-18

20-26

25-16

16-33

158.6Avg total

76.9Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	79.8	81.0	160.8	-1.3	42%
Season at home (12)	79.1	78.4	157.5	+0.7	50%
Season away (12)	80.4	83.7	164.1	-3.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	81.7	158.6	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	83.2	163.8	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	74.9	82.4	157.3	-7.5	18%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	83.6	80.2	163.8	+3.5	59%
vs Weaker (2)	82.5	72.5	155.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#14

70-83

-13

A02/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

91-84

H06/01

Pro A

Paderborn

#18

80-84

-4

A13/01

Pro A

Artland

#14

76-92

-16

H20/01

Pro A

Giessen

72-100

100

-28

A27/01

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

76-71

H03/02

Pro A

Jena

86-83

H07/02

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

77-107

107

-30

A10/02

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

77-71

H18/02

Pro A

Bochum

#17

66-98

-32

A01/03

Pro A

16-20

16-17

13-29

25-17

25-16

20-25

24-20

22-23

21-18

23-20

21-21

15-25

17-32

28-19

13-22

18-19

13-17

15-29

17-25

27-29

26-21

12-12

23-21

15-17

25-22

13-17

20-28

28-16

16-32

19-22

29-29

13-24

25-17

17-19

9-15

26-20

21-26

16-31

17-17

12-24

164.4Avg total

77.1Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	82.5	83.0	165.5	-0.6	50%
Season at home (12)	87.2	78.9	166.1	+8.2	83%
Season away (12)	77.8	87.2	164.9	-9.4	17%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	87.3	164.4	-10.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	86.0	162.4	-9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	82.7	85.3	167.9	-2.6	47%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	85.8	87.8	173.6	-1.9	46%
vs Weaker (1)	80.0	84.0	164.0	-4.0	0%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NurnbergerBayreuth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.1	36.9	-3.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.5	19.3	34.8	-3.7	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.2	22.2	43.3	-1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.4	42.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	22.6	42.3	-3.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.5	21.5	43.0	-0.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.2	35.6	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	21.3	40.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	100%	-

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Munster

36-44

-8

H02/01

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

37-32

A06/01

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

34-38

-4

H13/01

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

31-39

-8

A20/01

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

45-46

-1

H27/01

Pro A

Munster

44-45

-1

A03/02

Pro A

Frankfurt

26-45

-19

H07/02

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

30-41

-11

H11/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

36-47

-11

A17/02

Pro A

Dresden

37-44

-7

H01/03

Pro A

77.7Avg total

35.6Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.5	80.5	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	42.1	79.3	-5.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	42.1	77.7	-6.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	44.4	79.0	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.2	41.9	77.1	-6.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.5	41.9	82.4	-1.4	24%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	36.0	83.0	+11.0	100%	-

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#14

32-37

-5

A02/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

45-41

H06/01

Pro A

Paderborn

#18

44-38

A13/01

Pro A

Artland

#14

45-51

-6

H20/01

Pro A

Giessen

28-46

-18

A27/01

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

38-33

H03/02

Pro A

Jena

38-39

-1

H07/02

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

35-54

-19

A10/02

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

42-36

H18/02

Pro A

Bochum

#17

37-57

-20

A01/03

Pro A

81.6Avg total

38.4Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.0	83.9	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	40.6	84.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.5	83.3	-3.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.2	81.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.8	81.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.0	40.9	80.9	-0.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.1	43.1	86.2	+0.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.5	39.1	+2.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.7	41.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.5	21.8	45.2	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	19.9	42.9	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.8	42.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.3	22.9	42.2	-3.6	15%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	38.4	82.0	+5.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.6	80.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	38.8	84.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.7	40.5	80.2	-0.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.9	37.6	80.5	+5.3	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	36.5	72.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	43.7	85.3	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	40.8	83.3	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	46.5	87.3	-5.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	44.1	82.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	42.2	80.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	41.8	42.9	84.7	-1.1	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.8	44.7	87.5	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	46.0	82.0	-10.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nurnbergertheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.3	37.9%	-	33.9
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.1	71.2%	-	14.1

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.2	60.4%	-	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	12.8	42.2%	-	38.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.4%	-	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	16.1	52.1%	-	32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.6	37.6%	-	31.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.2	57.5%	-	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	11.1	39.4%	-	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.9	74.3%	-	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nurnberger wins

Bayreuth wins

Date	Game	Score
26/12/23	Bayreuth v Nurnberger	92-73

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/24	H	Dresden	78-93
17/02/24	A	Bremerhaven	84-89
11/02/24	H	Dusseldorf	84-70
07/02/24	H	Frankfurt	63-78
03/02/24	A	Munster	94-86
27/01/24	H	Phoenix Hagen	89-85
20/01/24	A	Koblenz	83-76
13/01/24	H	Bremerhaven	65-79
06/01/24	A	Phoenix Hagen	67-77
02/01/24	H	Munster	62-84

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/24	A	Bochum	66-98
18/02/24	H	PS Karlsruhe	77-71
10/02/24	A	Vechta 2	77-107
07/02/24	H	Jena	86-83
03/02/24	H	Dusseldorf	76-71
27/01/24	A	Giessen	72-100
20/01/24	H	Artland	76-92
13/01/24	A	Paderborn	80-84
06/01/24	H	Kirchheim	91-84
02/01/24	A	Artland	70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nurnberger

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	42%
Home	LWLWL	50%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	42%	50%	33%
Points / game	79.8	79.1	80.4
Allowed / game	81.0	78.4	83.7
Point differential	-1.3	+0.7	-3.2
Avg total	160.8	157.5	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Bayreuth

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	83%	17%
Points / game	82.5	87.2	77.8
Allowed / game	83.0	78.9	87.2
Point differential	-0.6	+8.2	-9.4
Avg total	165.5	166.1	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	42%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	75% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Trier	24	20	4	83%	88.3	78.9	+9.5
2	Frankfurt	24	17	7	71%	79.8	72.6	+7.2
3	Jena	24	17	7	71%	86.1	80.2	+5.9
4	Phoenix Hagen	24	17	7	71%	88.5	83.5	+5.0
5	Giessen	24	16	8	67%	86.8	82.1	+4.6
6	Kirchheim	24	15	9	62%	82.2	81.8	+0.5
7	PS Karlsruhe	24	13	11	54%	79.8	77.0	+2.7
8	Munster	24	13	11	54%	81.0	81.6	-0.6
9	Bremerhaven	24	12	12	50%	84.7	84.0	+0.7
10	Bayreuth	24	12	12	50%	82.5	83.0	-0.6
11	Dresden	24	10	14	42%	85.1	83.5	+1.5
12	Nurnberger	24	10	14	42%	79.8	81.0	-1.3
13	Vechta 2	24	9	15	38%	82.2	87.0	-4.8
14	Koblenz	24	9	15	38%	75.5	80.8	-5.2
15	Bochum	24	8	16	33%	85.2	89.5	-4.3
16	Dusseldorf	24	7	17	29%	78.2	84.9	-6.6
17	Artland	24	6	18	25%	80.0	87.1	-7.1
18	Paderborn	24	5	19	21%	77.9	84.9	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Nurnberger	24	17	18	13	23	95
Bayreuth	18	17	20	17	25	97

← all games of the day

Nurnberger vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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