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BK Ogre vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-68
21-14 14-23 28-18 9-13
Position#7
Record12-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.8
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record4-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · BK Ogre v Tallinna Kalev
25 Nov 2023
BK O101
TALL73
28 Jan 2023
BK O72
TALL68
11 Dec 2021
BK O106
TALL80
09 Jan 2019
BK O94
TALL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
17-21
23-16
27-21
14-11
13-16
17-10
19-19
18-32
21-21
17-14
23-19
15-20
24-22
25-17
15-19
10-13
24-13
17-20
12-15
28-21
16-25
32-9
16-20
9-18
20-27
25-17
26-17
13-31
20-27
20-21
25-21
25-32
18-18
29-20
25-6
13-22
21-20
26-26
25-19
157.6Avg total
80.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.978.8157.7+0.155%
Season at home (12)84.278.2162.5+6.058%
Season away (10)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)80.477.2157.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)86.483.4169.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.694.2167.8-20.60%
vs Similar (9)79.978.7158.6+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.770.3148.0+7.475%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
62-97
62
97
-35
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-22
13-23
30-13
11-14
16-13
10-17
19-19
13-19
18-24
15-23
14-27
18-26
20-24
12-24
12-23
25-21
24-28
16-20
16-23
19-20
11-24
21-18
21-16
16-21
12-12
13-27
22-14
21-23
20-19
14-29
26-12
20-22
9-17
14-11
18-17
13-12
24-10
33-19
22-18
149.4Avg total
70.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.679.2152.8-5.720%
Season at home (12)74.277.5151.8-3.225%
Season away (8)72.681.9154.5-9.212%
Last 10 (10)70.678.8149.4-8.210%
Last 5 (5)73.872.2146.0+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.384.6155.9-13.411%
vs Similar (8)79.478.9158.2+0.538%
vs Weaker (3)85.773.0158.7+12.767%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
BK OgreTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
78.6Avg total
36.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.978.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.342.583.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.437.073.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.678.6-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.648.284.8-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.452.888.2-17.40%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.182.3-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.034.174.1+5.962%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
74.0Avg total
34.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.677.1-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.538.875.3-2.429%-
Last 30 away (13)36.642.879.5-6.215%-
Last 10 (10)34.539.574.0-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.069.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.842.677.4-7.816%-
vs Similar (8)40.538.979.4+1.625%-
vs Weaker (3)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BK Ogre wins
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23AValmiera Glass Via85-87
21/01/23HKeila KK97-76
14/01/23HBC Kalev/Cramo78-100
11/01/23ATal Tech80-79
07/01/23HRapla92-75
30/12/22ALatvijas Universitate63-61
20/12/22AVentspils79-78
17/12/22HPrometey79-86
10/12/22ATallinna Kalev63-56
07/12/22HViimsi88-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HRakvere Tarvas92-59
21/01/23HVEF Riga61-67
13/01/23HBK Liepaja81-83
10/01/23ARapla63-74
06/01/23HTartu Ulikool72-78
28/12/22HViimsi81-92
21/12/22HParnu62-97
13/12/22AVEF Riga60-93
10/12/22HBK Ogre56-63
07/12/22HKeila KK78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%58%50%
Points / game78.984.272.5
Allowed / game78.878.279.5
Point differential+0.1+6.0-7.0
Avg total157.7162.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %20%25%12%
Points / game73.674.272.6
Allowed / game79.277.581.9
Point differential-5.7-3.2-9.2
Avg total152.8151.8154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey2019195%96.572.6+23.9
2 VEF Riga2319483%83.867.5+16.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo1714382%87.273.4+13.9
4 Tartu Ulikool2115671%82.075.7+6.3
5 Ventspils2114767%85.078.2+6.9
6 Viimsi2012860%80.978.5+2.4
7 BK Ogre22121055%78.978.8+0.1
8 Rapla23121152%76.575.9+0.7
9 Parnu189950%79.377.2+2.1
10 BK Liepaja2291341%78.183.2-5.1
11 Latvijas Universitate2281436%74.176.6-2.5
12 Tal Tech1861233%76.180.4-4.3
13 Keila KK2161529%78.887.9-9.1
14 Tallinna Kalev2041620%73.679.2-5.7
15 Valmiera Glass Via2041620%73.694.7-21.1
16 Rakvere Tarvas201195%69.694.4-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre211428972
Tallinna Kalev1423181368
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