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BK Ogre vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-68
10-20 23-19 22-15 26-14
Position#7
Record16-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.9
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record12-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · BK Ogre v Parnu
10 Mar 2027
BK O v PAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
BK O71
PAR60
17 Nov 2024
BK O76
PAR87
20 Dec 2023
BK O93
PAR72
12 Mar 2023
BK O81
PAR68
10 Apr 2022
BK O77
PAR84
16 Feb 2022
BK O74
PAR71
08 Apr 2021
BK O77
PAR68
29 Sep 2018
BK O99
PAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
99-68
99
68
+31
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
68-99
68
99
-31
A16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
20-27
25-17
26-17
13-31
20-27
20-21
25-21
25-32
18-18
29-20
25-6
13-22
21-20
26-26
25-19
21-14
14-23
28-18
9-13
16-18
25-22
9-20
25-21
23-20
27-19
25-11
24-18
20-24
17-26
15-26
16-23
24-22
25-14
23-19
21-11
20-14
19-18
24-15
17-18
161.6Avg total
82.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.477.9157.3+1.557%
Season at home (14)84.076.6160.6+7.464%
Season away (14)74.879.1153.9-4.450%
Last 10 (10)82.778.9161.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)83.075.8158.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.790.7164.4-17.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.978.7158.6+1.256%
vs Weaker (14)80.668.1148.7+12.686%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
22-18
14-16
17-28
13-28
19-23
15-24
12-19
26-19
28-15
21-21
28-25
20-12
11-19
20-19
21-10
18-26
19-14
14-18
17-21
16-22
22-23
21-17
11-18
19-26
18-16
17-18
25-25
19-16
24-14
22-15
16-20
19-17
17-24
21-23
27-27
18-20
29-26
18-20
22-21
159.9Avg total
79.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.378.7158.0+0.644%
Season at home (13)80.974.2155.1+6.862%
Season away (14)77.883.0160.8-5.229%
Last 10 (10)79.080.9159.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)82.484.6167.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.683.3152.9-13.614%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.276.4150.6-2.138%
vs Weaker (8)93.174.4167.5+18.875%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
BK OgreParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
81.9Avg total
39.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.480.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.841.783.5+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.176.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.981.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.149.485.6-13.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.243.182.3-3.933%-
vs Weaker (14)41.834.175.9+7.664%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#6
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
78.9Avg total
40.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.977.9+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.535.976.4+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.741.579.2-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.978.9+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.881.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.640.775.4-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.936.875.6+2.138%-
vs Weaker (8)46.837.884.5+9.075%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
69.4%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BK Ogre wins
3
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
08/04/21BK Ogre v Parnu77-68
18/01/19Parnu v BK Ogre79-86
29/09/18BK Ogre v Parnu99-74
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/23ATartu Ulikool80-65
04/03/23HRakvere Tarvas93-66
16/02/23ABC Kalev/Cramo68-99
10/02/23ABK Liepaja99-68
03/02/23ARakvere Tarvas75-81
28/01/23HTallinna Kalev72-68
25/01/23AValmiera Glass Via85-87
21/01/23HKeila KK97-76
14/01/23HBC Kalev/Cramo78-100
11/01/23ATal Tech80-79
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ABK Liepaja98-102 OT
08/03/23AVentspils84-91
04/03/23HLatvijas Universitate81-65
01/03/23ATal Tech79-85
19/02/23AViimsi70-80
14/02/23ATartu Ulikool68-79
04/02/23HValmiera Glass Via72-60
01/02/23HRakvere Tarvas103-80
28/01/23APrometey59-94
24/01/23ARapla76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game79.484.074.8
Allowed / game77.976.679.1
Point differential+1.5+7.4-4.4
Avg total157.3160.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%62%29%
Points / game79.380.977.8
Allowed / game78.774.283.0
Point differential+0.6+6.8-5.2
Avg total158.0155.1160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey2928197%95.171.0+24.1
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2722581%86.572.8+13.7
3 VEF Riga2721678%83.269.2+14.0
4 Ventspils2819968%86.579.6+6.9
5 Tartu Ulikool29191066%80.775.6+5.1
6 Rapla29171259%79.275.1+4.2
7 BK Ogre28161257%79.477.9+1.5
8 Viimsi28151354%80.780.2+0.4
9 Parnu27121544%79.378.7+0.6
10 BK Liepaja29121741%78.384.7-6.4
11 Tal Tech28111739%76.879.5-2.7
12 Keila KK29101934%78.487.7-9.3
13 Latvijas Universitate2891932%72.877.3-4.5
14 Tallinna Kalev2752219%75.381.0-5.6
15 Valmiera Glass Via2752219%71.992.8-20.9
16 Rakvere Tarvas262248%70.794.0-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre1023222681
Parnu2019151468
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