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BC Kalev/Cramo vs Valmiera Glass Via Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 87-80
Projected total 167.4
Scheduled
Position#27
Record3-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.7
Vs
70%
30%
■ KCR 70%■ VALM 30%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#26
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Unibet Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · BC Kalev/Cramo v Valmiera Glass Via
12 Dec 2026
KCR v VALM
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
KCR v VALM
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
KCR99
VALM87
08 Feb 2025
KCR84
VALM83
21 Oct 2023
KCR108
VALM68
07 Dec 2022
KCR101
VALM73
09 Mar 2022
KCR97
VALM66
16 Jan 2019
KCR88
VALM79
Sections
Game preview & prediction

BC Kalev/Cramo host Valmiera Glass Via on 17 November 2026 in the FIBA Europe Cup, with the model favouring Kalev/Cramo at 70% versus 30% for Valmiera; the projected score is 87-80 and the total is 167.4 points. Kalev/Cramo are 3-3 this season, averaging 80.0 points and conceding 83.7, while Valmiera are also 3-3, scoring 81.0 and allowing 83.3; Kalev/Cramo have won both of their home games, 2-0, with an average of 86.0 points and 81.0 allowed, whereas Valmiera have lost both of their road games, 0-2, scoring 77.0 and conceding 94.0. In the last five games Kalev/Cramo have one win and four losses, including a 75-101 loss to Korfez Basket and a 88-92 loss to BK Ogre, while Valmiera have three wins and two losses, with victories over Bashkimi, Tartu Ulikool and Manchester Basketball. Historically Kalev/Cramo have won seven of ten meetings, though Valmiera won the most recent encounter 82-74 on 14 October 2026. The model estimates a 70% chance for Kalev/Cramo to win and a 30% chance for Valmiera, with a 4% probability of overtime. The game will likely be decided by the home team's recent defensive performance, and the final score will reflect the projected 87-80 outcome.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Kalev/Cramo win
69.8%fair 1.43
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valmiera Glass Via win
30.2%fair 3.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev/Cramo
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
57avg 85
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
L
74-82
74
82
-8
70avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
100-79
100
79
+21
88avg 85
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Bashkimi
#40
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
98-77
98
77
+21
103avg 85
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Manchester Basketball
#42
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
79avg 85
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Korfez Basket
#5
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
18-26
18-24
13-22
17-21
15-18
20-17
22-26
31-18
22-26
25-19
22-16
20-19
19-21
28-24
21-20
23-23
32-12
27-28
16-14
29-23
26-14
12-19
18-33
18-21
20-24
35-22
14-26
9-20
25-13
23-16
17-19
20-26
14-23
23-23
31-20
18-30
22-21
11-29
24-21
169.3Avg total
84.2Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.083.7163.7-3.750%
Season at home (2)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season away (4)77.085.0162.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)84.285.1169.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)81.888.6170.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.686.0162.6-9.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.484.9167.3-2.444%
vs Weaker (16)95.980.9176.8+14.981%
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVia
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
91-87
91
87
+4
78avg 88
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 88
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
81-59
81
59
+22
80avg 88
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
77-109
77
109
-32
68avg 88
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-97
89
97
-8
81avg 88
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Korfez Basket
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 88
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 88
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Bashkimi
#40
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
16-27
27-17
30-23
21-17
18-15
17-20
26-22
21-12
18-19
24-14
18-14
26-31
19-26
19-28
13-24
16-22
17-20
27-27
29-28
18-19
22-21
21-27
24-20
16-13
23-24
22-22
13-17
26-18
19-15
18-27
17-14
30-24
22-21
19-15
22-26
10-16
27-19
23-18
25-24
166.3Avg total
83.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
Season at home (4)83.078.0161.0+5.075%
Season away (2)77.094.0171.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)83.782.6166.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)83.480.0163.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.7179.7-15.70%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.082.8171.8+6.267%
vs Weaker (21)92.778.8171.4+13.986%
This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%10%13%1%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15010%15511%16013%16512%17010%1758%1806%1854%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1356%14510%15513%16510%1756%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (13%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
67.5%
Under 160
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
55.4%
Under 165
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
42.8%
Under 170
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

BC Kalev/Cramo total 80.5
Over 80.5
72.9%
Under 80.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Kalev/Cramo total 84.5
Over 84.5
59.5%
Under 84.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Kalev/Cramo total 88.5
Over 88.5
44.7%
Under 88.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valmiera Glass Via total 76.5
Over 76.5
63.9%
Under 76.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valmiera Glass Via total 80.5
Over 80.5
48.9%
Under 80.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valmiera Glass Via total 84.5
Over 84.5
34.3%
Under 84.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-182%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+010%+310%+610%+98%+127%+156%+185%+213%+242%+272%+301%+331%+36
0%-271%-212%-155%-98%-310%+310%+97%+155%+212%+271%+33
Margin from BC Kalev/Cramo's side (positive = BC Kalev/Cramo win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.6; BC Kalev/Cramo win by 1+ in 64% of simulations.
Spread BC Kalev/Cramo -3
KCR -3
62.9%
VALM +3
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
KCR
No market prices yet.
VALM
No market prices yet.
Spread BC Kalev/Cramo 0
KCR 0
69.8%
VALM 0
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
KCR
No market prices yet.
VALM
No market prices yet.
Spread BC Kalev/Cramo +3
KCR +3
76.5%
VALM -3
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
KCR
No market prices yet.
VALM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
BC Kalev/CramoValmiera Glass Via
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Bashkimi
#40
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Korfez Basket
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.5Avg total
42.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.786.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.541.186.6+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)44.242.186.4+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.383.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.444.080.4-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.340.782.0+0.756%-
vs Weaker (16)49.441.590.9+7.975%-
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Korfez Basket
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Bashkimi
#40
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.2Avg total
40.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.486.4+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.238.782.9+5.577%-
Last 30 away (17)45.643.589.1+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.980.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.080.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.750.092.7-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.541.581.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (21)46.940.187.0+6.881%-
This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Kalev/Cramotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Kalev/Cramo: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.9
54.7%
53.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.4%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.2
73.6%
72.8%16.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valmiera Glass Viatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valmiera Glass Via: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.5
51.6%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.6
36.2%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
72.8%14.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Kalev/Cramo
LLWLLWWWLL
Valmiera Glass Via
WWWLLLLWWW
#27
League position
#26
+5.6
Net rating
+5.8
96.2
Offensive rating
96.6
90.6
Defensive rating
90.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.4%
3-point %
36.2%
66.3%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 96.6Defence90.6 · 90.9Shooting52.6% · 52.8%3-point %32.4% · 36.2%Ball care15.8% · 15.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ BC Kalev/Cramo   ■ Valmiera Glass Via
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AKorfez Basket75-101
07/11/26ABK Ogre88-92
04/11/26AChalon/Saone74-68
31/10/26HRigas Zelli87-93
28/10/26AManchester Basketball85-89
24/10/26HKeila Coolbet98-77
21/10/26HBashkimi88-84
17/10/26HRigas Juniori100-79
14/10/26AValmiera Glass Via74-82
10/10/26HVentspils73-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBashkimi85-77
07/11/26ATartu Ulikool93-86
04/11/26HManchester Basketball80-74
01/11/26AParnu74-76
28/10/26HKorfez Basket85-87
24/10/26HVEF Riga89-97
20/10/26AChalon/Saone77-109
17/10/26HLatvijas Universitate81-59
14/10/26HBC Kalev/Cramo82-74
11/10/26AViimsi91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Kalev/Cramo
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game80.086.077.0
Allowed / game83.781.085.0
Point differential-3.7+5.0-8.0
Avg total163.7167.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valmiera Glass Via
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game81.083.077.0
Allowed / game83.378.094.0
Point differential-2.3+5.0-17.0
Avg total164.3161.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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