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BC Lulea vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 95-90 (OT)
20-18 22-21 27-21 12-21 14-9
Position#3
Record22-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game84.3
BC Lulea 🏆
Sweden
vs
Nassjo
Sweden
Position#6
Record15-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game87.0
SwedenBasketliganBasketligan - Quarter-finals· Lulea Energi Arena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · BC Lulea v Nassjo
15 Dec 2026
LUL v NASS
upcoming
13 Oct 2026
LUL91
NASS74
06 Mar 2026
LUL93
NASS100
19 Dec 2025
LUL109
NASS74
15 Apr 2025
LUL103
NASS81
06 Apr 2025
LUL111
NASS82
04 Apr 2025
LUL108
NASS69
03 Feb 2025
LUL88
NASS77
17 Dec 2024
LUL94
NASS104
05 Apr 2024
LUL90
NASS74
03 Apr 2024
LUL95
NASS90
07 Mar 2024
LUL100
NASS85
20 Oct 2023
LUL113
NASS98
17 Mar 2023
LUL80
NASS93
28 Oct 2022
LUL76
NASS63
30 Dec 2021
LUL100
NASS95
01 Oct 2021
LUL88
NASS93
04 Feb 2021
LUL88
NASS71
17 Nov 2020
LUL0
NASS20
07 Jan 2020
LUL85
NASS72
29 Nov 2019
LUL63
NASS60
04 Jan 2019
LUL90
NASS74
25 Sep 2018
LUL96
NASS68
12 Mar 2018
LUL88
NASS81
10 Nov 2017
LUL93
NASS72
10 Mar 2017
LUL82
NASS60
13 Dec 2016
LUL83
NASS61
12 Feb 2016
LUL97
NASS70
01 Oct 2015
LUL79
NASS73
06 Feb 2015
LUL63
NASS64
13 Jan 2015
LUL94
NASS77
10 Jan 2014
LUL103
NASS85
11 Oct 2013
LUL100
NASS90
12 Feb 2013
LUL81
NASS72
23 Nov 2012
LUL98
NASS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Boras
#4
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 85
H01/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
100-76
100
76
+24
100avg 85
H06/02
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
103-76
103
76
+27
98avg 85
A12/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
92avg 85
H16/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 85
A29/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
113-85
113
85
+28
111avg 85
A05/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
100-85
100
85
+15
93avg 85
H07/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H15/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
78avg 85
A19/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 85
A22/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
31-19
27-26
21-25
18-14
28-16
28-26
26-20
24-18
27-20
34-19
18-19
19-14
27-23
20-18
22-23
15-15
16-17
23-18
17-18
31-19
27-24
24-12
31-30
25-22
25-25
29-16
21-22
13-18
21-17
30-25
19-23
25-19
24-15
12-20
16-23
23-19
15-18
26-19
27-28
176.5Avg total
93.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)92.084.3176.3+7.669%
Season at home (16)93.885.1178.8+8.769%
Season away (16)90.283.6173.8+6.669%
Last 10 (10)93.583.0176.5+10.570%
Last 5 (5)96.086.8182.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.894.5184.2-4.850%
vs Similar (7)87.387.0174.3+0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.281.9177.1+13.384%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 80
H02/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
52avg 80
A10/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
83avg 80
H13/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
88-86
88
86
+2
67avg 80
A15/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 80
H01/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
63avg 80
H04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
85-100
85
100
-15
81avg 80
A07/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
87avg 80
H19/03
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
103-74
103
74
+29
108avg 80
H22/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
86avg 80
A26/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
25-19
23-25
15-18
14-15
17-28
15-19
16-26
21-19
18-28
20-20
25-20
24-16
21-26
18-25
25-19
19-19
23-33
32-27
12-16
19-21
15-11
19-22
19-23
22-25
25-25
16-29
22-21
29-26
25-10
15-17
17-18
17-23
27-22
34-14
25-15
29-26
27-24
25-20
17-17
169.9Avg total
85.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.187.0174.0+0.147%
Season at home (16)88.281.6169.8+6.756%
Season away (16)85.992.4178.2-6.538%
Last 10 (10)85.084.9169.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.591.2171.8-10.86%
vs Similar (3)91.081.3172.3+9.7100%
vs Weaker (11)96.783.5180.3+13.291%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
BC LuleaNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H06/02
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A12/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A29/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A05/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H07/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A19/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A22/03
Basketligan
82.8Avg total
44.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.387.7+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.041.787.7+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.742.987.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.082.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.285.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.044.584.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (7)44.942.487.3+2.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.741.888.5+4.868%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A10/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A15/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H01/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A07/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H19/03
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A26/03
Basketligan
87.8Avg total
44.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.045.790.7-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.487.9+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)44.549.093.5-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.887.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.689.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.246.187.3-4.925%-
vs Similar (3)47.043.390.3+3.7100%-
vs Weaker (11)50.145.795.8+4.445%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.426.8
61.8%
53.6%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.7
39.3%
35.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
75.1%13.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.3
53.1%
53.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
35.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.3
73.7%
75.1%12.3
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Lulea
WLLWWWWWWL
Nassjo
WWWLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+17.8
Net rating
+0.7
124.8
Offensive rating
110.2
107.0
Defensive rating
109.5
60.7%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.3%
3-point %
33.9%
45.2%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.8 · 110.2Defence107.0 · 109.5Shooting60.7% · 52.2%3-point %39.3% · 33.9%Ball care15.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ BC Lulea   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Lulea wins
5
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24BC Lulea v Nassjo100-85
05/01/24Nassjo v BC Lulea100-86
08/12/23Nassjo v BC Lulea69-88
20/10/23BC Lulea v Nassjo113-98
17/03/23BC Lulea v Nassjo80-93
13/01/23Nassjo v BC Lulea91-76
28/10/22BC Lulea v Nassjo76-63
15/02/22Nassjo v BC Lulea83-82
30/12/21BC Lulea v Nassjo100-95
09/11/21Nassjo v BC Lulea119-117 OT
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ANorrkoping91-84
19/03/24ABoras85-88 OT
15/03/24HJamtland91-92 OT
07/03/24HNassjo100-85
05/03/24ASodertalje113-85
29/02/24AUppsala71-68
16/02/24HKoping Stars88-78
12/02/24AUmea103-76
06/02/24HUppsala100-76
01/02/24HBoras93-98
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24AKoping Stars98-87
22/03/24HUmea103-74
19/03/24HUppsala86-71
07/03/24ABC Lulea85-100
04/03/24HBoras72-77
01/03/24HNorrkoping86-95
15/02/24ASodertalje88-86
13/02/24HJamtland84-87
10/02/24AJamtland62-88
02/02/24HSodertalje86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Lulea
Basketligan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %69%69%69%
Points / game92.093.890.2
Allowed / game84.385.183.6
Point differential+7.6+8.7+6.6
Avg total176.3178.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game87.188.285.9
Allowed / game87.081.692.4
Point differential+0.1+6.7-6.5
Avg total174.0169.8178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping3328585%92.380.5+11.8
2 Jamtland33231070%84.977.2+7.7
3 Boras32221069%87.179.3+7.8
4 BC Lulea32221069%92.084.3+7.6
5 Nassjo32151747%87.187.0+0.1
6 Sodertalje32151747%83.086.2-3.2
7 Uppsala33112233%81.286.3-5.1
8 Koping Stars3362718%79.890.9-11.2
9 Umea3242812%80.195.8-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BC Lulea202227121495
Nassjo18212121990
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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