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Nassjo vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 100-86
23-25 29-25 20-9 28-27
Position#6
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.5
Nassjo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#3
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game84.2
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall (Nassjo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nassjo v BC Lulea
08 Jan 2027
NASS v LUL
upcoming
23 Sep 2025
NASS84
LUL78
13 Apr 2025
NASS100
LUL96
11 Apr 2025
NASS100
LUL94
18 Oct 2024
NASS95
LUL109
08 Apr 2024
NASS87
LUL100
05 Jan 2024
NASS100
LUL86
08 Dec 2023
NASS69
LUL88
13 Jan 2023
NASS91
LUL76
15 Feb 2022
NASS83
LUL82
09 Nov 2021
NASS119
LUL117
06 Apr 2021
NASS74
LUL100
30 Dec 2020
NASS96
LUL103
14 Feb 2020
NASS75
LUL98
01 Oct 2019
NASS77
LUL83
10 Feb 2019
NASS65
LUL68
09 Nov 2018
NASS85
LUL81
27 Mar 2018
NASS94
LUL97
05 Jan 2018
NASS102
LUL104
27 Jan 2017
NASS90
LUL76
28 Oct 2016
NASS61
LUL70
11 Dec 2015
NASS71
LUL80
07 Nov 2014
NASS83
LUL76
21 Feb 2014
NASS96
LUL90
22 Nov 2013
NASS94
LUL76
09 Oct 2012
NASS69
LUL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
117-79
117
79
+38
124avg 79
H10/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 79
A14/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
99-74
99
74
+25
94avg 79
H17/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
58avg 79
A24/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
87-103
87
103
-16
78avg 79
A01/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 79
A05/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
69-88
69
88
-19
61avg 79
H08/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
78avg 79
A12/12
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 79
H27/12
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 79
A30/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
27-13
34-16
25-32
22-23
21-23
20-24
24-11
20-21
28-26
23-10
28-17
10-16
24-23
12-29
23-18
19-28
26-20
23-31
19-24
25-23
21-29
24-20
20-8
19-18
14-22
23-17
13-31
19-19
24-21
22-34
22-22
20-29
22-23
23-26
19-15
24-26
20-22
18-21
11-25
173.6Avg total
86.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.086.5172.5-0.541%
Season at home (8)87.580.6168.1+6.950%
Season away (9)84.791.8176.4-7.133%
Last 10 (10)86.287.4173.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.690.2170.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.194.7173.7-15.60%
vs Similar (6)85.278.0163.2+7.267%
vs Weaker (9)96.678.8175.3+17.8100%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
91-107
91
107
-16
82avg 84
A04/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 84
H10/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
88-87
88
87
+1
75avg 84
A14/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
105-71
105
71
+34
105avg 84
H01/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
78-94
78
94
-16
60avg 84
H04/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
88-69
88
69
+19
75avg 84
A08/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
95avg 84
A12/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 84
H15/12
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
103-80
103
80
+23
102avg 84
A27/12
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 84
H30/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
18-32
23-24
28-25
21-24
25-23
18-17
16-14
18-35
23-18
22-20
25-14
25-22
30-9
24-20
26-20
10-18
18-26
22-26
28-24
18-19
22-14
17-23
31-13
15-22
25-13
31-18
26-20
24-12
28-17
18-25
19-26
25-24
20-27
33-21
25-8
26-23
25-24
18-16
25-18
173.3Avg total
91.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.384.2175.5+7.171%
Season at home (9)94.185.3179.4+8.867%
Season away (8)88.182.9171.0+5.275%
Last 10 (10)91.382.0173.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)94.276.6170.8+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.697.0174.6-19.40%
vs Similar (11)79.883.6163.5-3.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)96.680.7177.4+15.986%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +6.7+6.7
NassjoBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H10/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H17/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A05/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H08/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H27/12
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/12
Basketligan
87.9Avg total
43.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.087.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.784.4+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)42.947.390.2-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.387.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.488.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.345.387.6-3.127%-
vs Similar (6)41.842.284.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker (9)49.339.789.0+9.767%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A04/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H01/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A08/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H15/12
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A27/12
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H30/12
Basketligan
86.6Avg total
43.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.187.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.940.686.5+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.445.788.1-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.886.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.251.488.6-14.20%-
vs Similar (11)43.040.883.8+2.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.542.089.5+5.571%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.7
55.6%
53.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.1
31.7%
35.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
75.1%16.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.4
55.2%
53.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.2
41.1%
35.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
75.1%13.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
LLLLWLLWWW
BC Lulea
WWWWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#3
-2.2
Net rating
+12.2
108.3
Offensive rating
119.1
110.5
Defensive rating
106.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
57.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.7%
3-point %
41.1%
49.7%
Assist %
49.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 119.1Defence110.5 · 106.8Shooting52.8% · 57.6%3-point %31.7% · 41.1%Ball care16.7% · 13.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 24.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Nassjo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nassjo wins
5
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Nassjo v BC Lulea69-88
20/10/23BC Lulea v Nassjo113-98
17/03/23BC Lulea v Nassjo80-93
13/01/23Nassjo v BC Lulea91-76
28/10/22BC Lulea v Nassjo76-63
15/02/22Nassjo v BC Lulea83-82
30/12/21BC Lulea v Nassjo100-95
09/11/21Nassjo v BC Lulea119-117 OT
01/10/21BC Lulea v Nassjo88-93
06/04/21Nassjo v BC Lulea74-100
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ABoras73-94
27/12/23HBoras84-93
12/12/23ANorrkoping87-96
08/12/23HBC Lulea69-88
05/12/23AKoping Stars90-80
01/12/23AJamtland87-103
24/11/23ABoras69-86
17/11/23HSodertalje99-74
14/11/23AUppsala87-81
10/11/23HUmea117-79
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HUmea94-81
27/12/23AUmea103-80
15/12/23HJamtland89-80
12/12/23AUppsala97-73
08/12/23ANassjo88-69
04/12/23HNorrkoping78-94
01/12/23HKoping Stars105-71
14/11/23ASodertalje88-87
10/11/23HBoras80-78
04/11/23ANorrkoping91-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game86.087.584.7
Allowed / game86.580.691.8
Point differential-0.5+6.9-7.1
Avg total172.5168.1176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game91.394.188.1
Allowed / game84.285.382.9
Point differential+7.1+8.8+5.2
Avg total175.5179.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping1716194%90.578.2+12.3
2 BC Lulea1712571%91.384.2+7.1
3 Jamtland1812667%83.477.8+5.6
4 Sodertalje1711665%84.183.5+0.6
5 Boras179853%85.679.6+5.9
6 Nassjo1771041%86.086.5-0.5
7 Uppsala1761135%82.287.1-4.8
8 Koping Stars1721512%78.690.1-11.4
9 Umea1721512%78.293.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nassjo23292028100
BC Lulea252592786
← all games of the day
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