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BC Lulea vs Nassjo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record4-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.8
SwedenBasketligan· Lulea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · BC Lulea v Nassjo
15 Dec 2026
LUL v NASS
upcoming
13 Oct 2026
LUL91
NASS74
06 Mar 2026
LUL93
NASS100
19 Dec 2025
LUL109
NASS74
15 Apr 2025
LUL103
NASS81
06 Apr 2025
LUL111
NASS82
04 Apr 2025
LUL108
NASS69
03 Feb 2025
LUL88
NASS77
17 Dec 2024
LUL94
NASS104
05 Apr 2024
LUL90
NASS74
03 Apr 2024
LUL95
NASS90
07 Mar 2024
LUL100
NASS85
20 Oct 2023
LUL113
NASS98
17 Mar 2023
LUL80
NASS93
28 Oct 2022
LUL76
NASS63
30 Dec 2021
LUL100
NASS95
01 Oct 2021
LUL88
NASS93
04 Feb 2021
LUL88
NASS71
17 Nov 2020
LUL0
NASS20
07 Jan 2020
LUL85
NASS72
29 Nov 2019
LUL63
NASS60
04 Jan 2019
LUL90
NASS74
25 Sep 2018
LUL96
NASS68
12 Mar 2018
LUL88
NASS81
10 Nov 2017
LUL93
NASS72
10 Mar 2017
LUL82
NASS60
13 Dec 2016
LUL83
NASS61
12 Feb 2016
LUL97
NASS70
01 Oct 2015
LUL79
NASS73
06 Feb 2015
LUL63
NASS64
13 Jan 2015
LUL94
NASS77
10 Jan 2014
LUL103
NASS85
11 Oct 2013
LUL100
NASS90
12 Feb 2013
LUL81
NASS72
23 Nov 2012
LUL98
NASS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Lulea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 84
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
108-77
108
77
+31
106avg 84
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
107avg 84
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 84
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 84
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
108-71
108
71
+37
100avg 84
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
81avg 84
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
86avg 84
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
21-20
17-19
28-27
29-11
27-18
30-19
22-29
26-25
25-24
22-16
40-16
21-16
28-14
25-13
17-31
21-26
22-20
17-22
22-17
33-20
21-10
37-17
17-24
21-25
20-20
24-23
16-13
28-16
20-27
18-13
26-24
32-22
27-22
16-20
29-15
20-20
16-18
22-13
24-20
177.0Avg total
96.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.281.6177.8+14.582%
Season at home (6)98.077.2175.2+20.8100%
Season away (5)94.087.0181.0+7.060%
Last 10 (10)96.380.7177.0+15.680%
Last 5 (5)96.478.8175.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
vs Similar (5)83.479.6163.0+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.980.7174.6+13.279%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 78
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 78
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 78
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 78
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 78
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 78
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 78
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
A10/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
19-27
12-25
28-16
17-17
25-23
15-28
24-17
16-21
14-28
13-25
31-17
16-28
25-24
22-21
11-7
27-25
20-17
21-19
20-17
23-19
25-10
9-21
26-23
18-25
18-30
23-19
15-18
17-21
18-18
12-28
34-22
23-16
16-28
13-19
17-28
23-31
19-22
23-22
28-15
165.4Avg total
79.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.584.8164.4-5.336%
Season at home (6)83.083.2166.2-0.250%
Season away (5)75.486.8162.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)79.685.8165.4-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.087.0167.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.794.7175.4-14.021%
vs Similar (6)90.290.8181.0-0.750%
vs Weaker (5)95.286.6181.8+8.660%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +5.4+5.4
BC LuleaNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/11
Basketligan
88.3Avg total
47.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.040.386.3+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.938.885.7+8.259%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.387.0+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.940.488.3+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.087.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.540.783.2+1.833%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.484.4+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.839.987.7+7.974%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H13/11
Basketligan
85.0Avg total
39.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.747.990.5-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.546.291.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.449.789.1-10.314%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.185.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.150.190.2-10.016%-
vs Similar (6)47.845.593.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.3
57.8%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.2
39.7%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
74.1%17.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
74.1%15.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Lulea
WWWWWLWWWL
Nassjo
WLLLWWLLLL
#1
League position
#7
+13.2
Net rating
-6.5
108.4
Offensive rating
93.2
95.2
Defensive rating
99.7
58.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.7%
3-point %
35.5%
47.2%
Assist %
55.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 93.2Defence95.2 · 99.7Shooting58.5% · 52.3%3-point %39.7% · 35.5%Ball care12.2% · 16.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ BC Lulea   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BC Lulea wins
4
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26BC Lulea v Nassjo91-74
06/03/26BC Lulea v Nassjo93-100
19/12/25BC Lulea v Nassjo109-74
23/09/25Nassjo v BC Lulea84-78
15/04/25BC Lulea v Nassjo103-81
13/04/25Nassjo v BC Lulea100-96
11/04/25Nassjo v BC Lulea100-94
06/04/25BC Lulea v Nassjo111-82
04/04/25BC Lulea v Nassjo108-69
03/02/25BC Lulea v Nassjo88-77
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSodertalje82-71
06/11/26HUppsala104-79
30/10/26ANorrkoping92-80
27/10/26AUmea96-93 OT
23/10/26HHogsbo108-71
16/10/26ASodertalje82-85
13/10/26HNassjo91-74
09/10/26ABoras113-81
02/10/26HSloga Uppsala108-77
29/09/26AJamtland87-96
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNorrkoping93-90
10/11/26ASodertalje69-91
06/11/26HKoping Stars81-89
30/10/26AJamtland74-92
27/10/26HSloga Uppsala83-73
19/10/26HUmea88-78
16/10/26HUppsala74-80
13/10/26ABC Lulea74-91
09/10/26AHogsbo81-85
29/09/26HNorrkoping79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Lulea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game96.298.094.0
Allowed / game81.677.287.0
Point differential+14.5+20.8+7.0
Avg total177.8175.2181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game79.583.075.4
Allowed / game84.883.286.8
Point differential-5.3-0.2-11.4
Avg total164.4166.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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