BC Lulea host Sodertalje on 13 November 2026 in the Basketligan, with the model favouring BC Lulea and expecting a decisive outing. BC Lulea finish the season 8-2, averaging 97.6 points and allowing 82.7, and remain in second place; they are unbeaten at home, 5-0, with a 101.2 points per game average and 78.4 points allowed, and have won four of their last five games, including a 104-79 victory over Uppsala at home on 6 November. Sodertalje are 9-1, 88.0 points scored and 74.2 allowed, sitting first in the league; their road record is 3-1, 81.8 points per game and 76.5 allowed, and they have also won four of their last five, with a 91-69 win over Nassjo at home on 10 November. Historically, BC Lulea have dominated the rivalry 8-2, but Sodertalje won the most recent meeting 85-82 on 16 October. The model gives BC Lulea a 64% chance of winning versus 36% for Sodertalje, projects a 85-81 score for a total of 166.7 points, and sees a 35% chance that BC Lulea will cover the -8.5 spread and a 51% chance of the over on the 166.0 line, with a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether BC Lulea can maintain their home dominance against a strong Sodertalje side.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 97.6 | 82.7 | 180.3 | +14.9 | 80% |
| Season at home (5) | 101.2 | 78.4 | 179.6 | +22.8 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 94.0 | 87.0 | 181.0 | +7.0 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 97.6 | 82.7 | 180.3 | +14.9 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 96.4 | 81.6 | 178.0 | +14.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 84.3 | 92.0 | 176.3 | -7.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 83.0 | 78.6 | 161.6 | +4.4 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 93.9 | 80.7 | 174.6 | +13.2 | 79% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 88.0 | 74.2 | 162.2 | +13.8 | 90% |
| Season at home (6) | 92.2 | 72.7 | 164.8 | +19.5 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 81.8 | 76.5 | 158.2 | +5.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.0 | 74.2 | 162.2 | +13.8 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 73.0 | 160.0 | +14.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 79.8 | 89.8 | 169.7 | -10.0 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 77.0 | 77.4 | 154.4 | -0.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 88.2 | 71.8 | 160.0 | +16.4 | 88% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.2 | 40.2 | 86.4 | +5.9 | 63% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 47.3 | 38.6 | 85.9 | +8.6 | 65% | 65% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 44.7 | 42.3 | 87.0 | +2.4 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 49.6 | 41.5 | 91.1 | +8.1 | 70% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.0 | 41.6 | 90.6 | +7.4 | 60% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 42.5 | 40.7 | 83.2 | +1.8 | 33% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 44.2 | 41.0 | 85.2 | +3.2 | 60% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 47.8 | 39.9 | 87.7 | +7.9 | 74% | 74% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.1 | 38.8 | 80.9 | +3.3 | 60% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.1 | 37.2 | 81.3 | +6.9 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.1 | 40.4 | 80.5 | -0.3 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.7 | 34.6 | 77.3 | +8.1 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 36.2 | 76.8 | +4.4 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 41.2 | 48.8 | 90.0 | -7.7 | 17% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 39.6 | 38.0 | 77.6 | +1.6 | 57% | 29% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 43.5 | 35.6 | 79.1 | +7.9 | 76% | 29% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodertalje +13 | 79.2% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +20.3pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +14 | 81.6% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +11 | 73.6% | 1.59 | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.54 | - | - | +17.0pp | Push |
| Sodertalje +12 | 76.5% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +11.5 | 74.4% | 1.53 | 1.59 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.51 | 1.44 | +16.0pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +12.5 | 77.2% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +13.5 | 79.7% | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | - | +13.9pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +10 | 70.6% | 1.65 | 1.68 | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | +13.7pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje +16.5 | 86.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +14.5 | 82.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +18.5 | 89.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +10.5 | 71.5% | 1.60 | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.59 | 1.58 | 1.53 | +12.9pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje +15.5 | 84.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 91.5 | 72.7% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 92.5 | 75.8% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 93.5 | 78.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 94.5 | 81.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 96.5 | 86.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 98.5 | 90.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Sodertalje +23.5 | 95.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 97.5 | 88.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 100.5 | 92.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Sodertalje over 74.5 | 74.2% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.32 | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje over 69.5 | 87.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| BC Lulea under 102.5 | 95.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Sodertalje over 70.5 | 85.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Sodertalje over 73.5 | 77.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje over 72.5 | 80.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje over 75.5 | 70.9% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Lost |
| BC Lulea +16.5 | 95.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 92.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 99.5 | 95.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 98.5 | 94.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 81.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 88.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 72.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 96.5 | 92.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 88.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 72.5 | 89.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| BC Lulea +11.5 | 90.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 81.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 94.5 | 89.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 73.5 | 87.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 74.5 | 85.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 72.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje under 92.5 | 85.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 76.5 | 80.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 89.5 | 78.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 77.5 | 77.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 90.5 | 81.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -1.1pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 75.5 | 83.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Sodertalje under 88.5 | 75.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea over 78.5 | 74.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| BC Lulea +6.5 | 81.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -4.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.6 | 22.3 | 52.7% | 44.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 11.2 | 33.9% | 33.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.8 | 17.7 | 74.1% | 17.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.2 | 22.6 | 52.7% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 9.3 | 33.9% | 27.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.1 | 14.0 | 74.1% | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 | Sodertalje v BC Lulea | 85-82 |
| 06/02/26 | BC Lulea v Sodertalje | 72-67 |
| 14/01/26 | BC Lulea v Sodertalje | 80-66 |
| 23/10/25 | Sodertalje v BC Lulea | 78-79 |
| 13/02/25 | Sodertalje v BC Lulea | 76-70 |
| 17/01/25 | BC Lulea v Sodertalje | 91-70 |
| 12/11/24 | BC Lulea v Sodertalje | 90-74 |
| 05/03/24 | Sodertalje v BC Lulea | 85-113 |
| 12/01/24 | BC Lulea v Sodertalje | 82-71 |
| 14/11/23 | Sodertalje v BC Lulea | 87-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Uppsala | 104-79 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Norrkoping | 92-80 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Umea | 96-93 OT |
| 23/10/26 | H | Hogsbo | 108-71 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 82-85 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Nassjo | 91-74 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Boras | 113-81 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Sloga Uppsala | 108-77 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Jamtland | 87-96 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Koping Stars | 95-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Nassjo | 91-69 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Boras | 76-81 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Uppsala | 104-57 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Koping Stars | 79-76 |
| 16/10/26 | H | BC Lulea | 85-82 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Hogsbo | 93-85 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Norrkoping | 94-85 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Jamtland | 91-76 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Umea | 78-64 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Sloga Uppsala | 89-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 80% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | LWLWW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Points / game | 97.6 | 101.2 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.7 | 78.4 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | +14.9 | +22.8 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 180.3 | 179.6 | 181.0 |
| Over 167.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 90% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 6 | 4 |
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Points / game | 88.0 | 92.2 | 81.8 |
| Allowed / game | 74.2 | 72.7 | 76.5 |
| Point differential | +13.8 | +19.5 | +5.2 |
| Avg total | 162.2 | 164.8 | 158.2 |
| Over 167.5 | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 88.0 | 74.2 | +13.8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 97.6 | 82.7 | +14.9 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 91.0 | 82.4 | +8.6 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 91.7 | 83.2 | +8.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.3 | 83.6 | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 86.5 | 87.8 | -1.3 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 74.9 | 87.4 | -12.5 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 78.2 | 84.3 | -6.1 | |
| 9 | Hogsbo | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.1 | 89.0 | -7.9 |
| 10 | Sloga Uppsala | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 80.7 | 94.0 | -13.3 |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 77.8 | 88.0 | -10.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 16 | 22 | 24 | 82 | |
| 20 | 18 | 13 | 20 | 71 |
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