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BC Olimpas Palanga vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-111
28-21 16-36 19-37 18-17
Position#13
Record0-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#3
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game85.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · BC Olimpas Palanga v Neptunas
22 Nov 2012
OPA81
NEP111
17 Dec 2011
OPA73
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Olimpas Palanga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Olimpas PalangaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
44-88
44
88
-44
H05/10
Baltic League
Atyrau
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H07/10
Baltic League
Siauliai
#6
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H10/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
59-93
59
93
-34
A13/10
LKL
Siauliai
#5
L
71-95
71
95
-24
A22/10
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
36-96
36
96
-60
A27/10
LKL
Ventspils
#2
L
50-83
50
83
-33
A30/10
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#19
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H02/11
Baltic League
Lietkabelis
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H09/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
8-12
11-25
12-29
14-22
25-16
26-19
17-18
14-23
19-19
14-19
16-11
19-27
19-20
11-26
10-20
22-26
17-24
13-27
19-18
8-28
14-31
6-24
8-13
16-22
7-22
12-25
15-14
22-13
15-11
20-17
21-19
6-23
18-14
20-14
24-31
16-21
25-16
21-21
12-26
145.3Avg total
62.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)62.991.1154.0-28.30%
Season at home (4)66.084.8150.8-18.80%
Season away (3)58.799.7158.3-41.00%
Last 10 (10)62.582.8145.3-20.320%
Last 5 (5)61.281.0142.2-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.289.5157.7-21.35%
vs Similar (9)79.474.8154.2+4.778%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A29/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H03/10
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H07/10
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#8
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H16/10
VTB United League
Skycop
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A23/10
LKL
Nymburk
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A28/10
VTB United League
Minsk
#19
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
H31/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
H04/11
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#12
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H07/11
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#10
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A19/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-16
23-22
20-29
24-23
28-13
12-20
20-22
13-24
23-22
14-13
22-24
16-28
19-13
17-18
8-27
15-21
19-30
15-20
20-21
20-17
18-25
13-26
27-16
19-25
33-22
17-20
21-23
18-23
14-26
12-20
18-21
25-17
25-15
26-17
16-22
16-26
16-18
16-20
15-20
164.5Avg total
77.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.685.2166.8-3.640%
Season at home (3)83.780.3164.0+3.367%
Season away (2)78.592.5171.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)77.886.7164.5-8.930%
Last 5 (5)81.087.0168.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.688.7160.3-17.10%
vs Similar (10)88.190.2178.3-2.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.383.2174.5+8.180%
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
BC Olimpas PalangaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Olimpas PalangaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H05/10
Baltic League
Atyrau
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Baltic League
Siauliai
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H10/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/10
LKL
Siauliai
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/10
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
22-59
22
59
-37
A27/10
LKL
Ventspils
#2
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A30/10
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#19
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/11
Baltic League
Lietkabelis
#10
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/11
LKL
72.9Avg total
31.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.842.877.7-8.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.939.072.9-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.846.782.5-10.97%-
Last 10 (10)31.741.272.9-9.530%-
Last 5 (5)29.440.269.6-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.045.078.0-12.010%-
vs Similar (9)39.137.977.0+1.256%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A29/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H03/10
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/10
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H16/10
VTB United League
Skycop
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/10
LKL
Nymburk
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/10
VTB United League
Minsk
#19
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H31/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H04/11
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/11
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/11
VTB United League
83.6Avg total
40.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.584.6-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.141.485.4+2.753%-
Last 30 away (13)39.543.983.5-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.083.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.846.683.4-9.80%-
vs Similar (10)44.144.388.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.436.581.9+8.980%-
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Olimpas Palanga wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
10/04/12Neptunas v BC Olimpas Palanga109-101
17/12/11BC Olimpas Palanga v Neptunas73-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/12HNevezis74-84
06/11/12HLietkabelis68-82
02/11/12HTal Tech78-60
30/10/12AVentspils50-83
27/10/12AJuventus36-96
22/10/12ASiauliai71-95
13/10/12APieno Zvaigzdes59-93
10/10/12HSiauliai63-72
07/10/12HAtyrau82-75
05/10/12HVentspils44-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/12ANizhny Novgorod63-84
07/11/12HLSU Atletas92-71
04/11/12HZalgiris Kaunas62-90
31/10/12HMinsk110-106 OT
28/10/12ANymburk78-84
23/10/12ASkycop69-92
16/10/12HVEF Riga60-86
07/10/12HCSKA Moscow72-83
03/10/12HLietkabelis84-78
29/09/12AJuventus88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Olimpas Palanga
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.966.058.7
Allowed / game91.184.899.7
Point differential-28.3-18.8-41.0
Avg total154.0150.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game81.683.778.5
Allowed / game85.280.392.5
Point differential-3.6+3.3-14.0
Avg total166.8164.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.351.7+36.7
2 Skycop660100%94.768.2+26.5
3 Rytas330100%90.065.7+24.3
4 Siauliai54180%77.872.8+5.0
5 Juventus64267%79.869.5+10.3
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes63350%76.078.5-2.5
7 Nevezis73443%72.381.4-9.1
8 Lietkabelis52340%74.674.2+0.4
9 Neptunas52340%81.685.2-3.6
10 LSU Atletas51420%64.079.8-15.8
11 Sakalai61517%64.273.7-9.5
12 BC Olimpas Palanga7070%62.991.1-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Olimpas Palanga2816191881
Neptunas21363717111
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