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Belfius Mons vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-86
22-15 19-23 21-17 21-31
Position#9
Record18-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.4
Belfius Mons
vs
Circus Brussels 🏆
Position#5
Record22-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeBNXT League· Mons.Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belfius Mons v Circus Brussels
30 Apr 2025
BMO83
CIRC86
22 Mar 2024
BMO78
CIRC72
17 Feb 2024
BMO76
CIRC88
08 Oct 2022
BMO110
CIRC85
29 Sep 2021
BMO103
CIRC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belfius Mons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 75
A12/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 75
H15/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
61-92
61
92
-31
44avg 75
A19/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 75
H23/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
94-66
94
66
+28
85avg 75
A29/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
61-78
61
78
-17
47avg 75
A02/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 75
H05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
74avg 75
H12/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
81-61
81
61
+20
77avg 75
H20/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 75
A27/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
17-17
19-15
27-18
22-30
31-14
23-19
15-26
15-19
14-27
13-22
19-24
10-23
20-14
21-18
27-14
21-22
30-11
21-19
22-14
17-12
14-22
16-16
14-28
26-23
26-20
15-27
20-15
20-25
22-20
17-14
12-18
14-20
19-16
31-12
17-13
15-22
20-22
17-22
18-23
154.7Avg total
77.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.778.4158.0+1.355%
Season at home (16)84.077.1161.1+6.975%
Season away (17)75.679.6155.2-4.035%
Last 10 (10)77.477.3154.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)74.078.0152.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.276.8152.0-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.877.5153.4-1.736%
vs Weaker (10)86.381.7168.0+4.670%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 71
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 71
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 71
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
61avg 71
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 71
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
88avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
61-67
61
67
-6
54avg 71
A12/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 71
H18/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 71
A20/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
62avg 71
H27/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
17-17
15-19
18-27
21-20
25-19
24-18
12-11
19-17
19-13
14-22
21-20
21-28
25-23
16-16
12-20
16-16
17-19
18-21
32-23
21-12
29-19
18-21
29-20
15-17
20-14
13-17
13-19
21-14
21-19
15-19
27-25
22-28
28-13
13-15
13-14
16-22
15-24
19-6
27-16
151.4Avg total
77.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.175.6153.7+2.467%
Season at home (17)77.274.7151.9+2.565%
Season away (16)79.076.6155.6+2.469%
Last 10 (10)77.474.0151.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)79.070.8149.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.075.3155.3+4.7100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.481.5158.9-4.246%
vs Weaker (14)79.370.5149.8+8.879%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
Belfius MonsCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A12/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A19/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H23/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A29/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A02/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A27/04
BNXT League
78.6Avg total
39.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.340.579.8-1.238%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.039.282.2+3.864%-
Last 30 away (15)35.841.777.5-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.678.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.140.875.9-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.341.578.7-4.227%-
vs Weaker (10)44.839.284.0+5.660%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H06/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A12/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H18/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H27/04
BNXT League
77.6Avg total
40.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.278.7+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.578.2+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.239.979.1-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.177.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.039.080.0+2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.042.380.3-4.323%-
vs Weaker (14)40.436.476.9+4.050%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.5
51.0%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.2
31.8%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws23.416.8
71.8%
71.9%16.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.6
48.6%
52.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.1%
71.9%13.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belfius Mons
LWLWLWWLWW
Circus Brussels
WWWLWWLWWL
#9
League position
#5
-0.1
Net rating
+5.3
104.1
Offensive rating
106.6
104.2
Defensive rating
101.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
36.8%
59.2%
Assist %
48.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 106.6Defence104.2 · 101.3Shooting49.9% · 51.1%3-point %31.8% · 36.8%Ball care15.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Belfius Mons   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Belfius Mons wins
3
Circus Brussels wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Circus Brussels v Belfius Mons67-80
22/03/24Belfius Mons v Circus Brussels78-72
17/02/24Belfius Mons v Circus Brussels76-88
29/10/23Circus Brussels v Belfius Mons90-76
10/02/23Circus Brussels v Belfius Mons114-110 OT
08/10/22Belfius Mons v Circus Brussels110-85
19/11/21Circus Brussels v Belfius Mons85-88
29/09/21Belfius Mons v Circus Brussels103-69
Belfius Monslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ADen Bosch70-89
20/04/25HMechelen81-61
12/04/25HLeiden71-77
05/04/25HQSTA Utd87-85
02/04/25ALimburg61-78
29/03/25ABAL Weert94-66
23/03/25HOostende78-69
19/03/25AKortrijk61-92
15/03/25HDonar Groningen91-89
12/03/25ACircus Brussels80-67
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HDonar Groningen77-68
20/04/25AOostende76-70
18/04/25HKortrijk84-77
12/04/25ABAL Weert61-67
06/04/25HDen Helder97-72
02/04/25ASpirou Charleroi83-79
28/03/25HMechelen74-87
23/03/25HLimburg73-72
15/03/25AOkapi Aalst82-68
12/03/25HBelfius Mons67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%75%35%
Points / game79.784.075.6
Allowed / game78.477.179.6
Point differential+1.3+6.9-4.0
Avg total158.0161.1155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%65%69%
Points / game78.177.279.0
Allowed / game75.674.776.6
Point differential+2.4+2.5+2.4
Avg total153.7151.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won92% (12)100% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3325876%93.977.4+16.5
2 Mechelen3224875%81.874.7+7.1
3 Oostende3425974%86.575.2+11.3
4 Limburg34241071%80.874.8+6.0
5 Circus Brussels33221167%78.175.6+2.4
6 Antwerp Giants33201361%83.181.1+2.1
7 Leuven Bears33191458%80.174.2+6.0
8 Den Bosch33191458%83.780.7+3.0
9 Belfius Mons33181555%79.778.4+1.3
10 Spirou Charleroi34181653%79.675.2+4.4
11 LWD Basket34181653%82.183.3-1.3
12 Leiden33171652%77.379.7-2.4
13 Okapi Aalst32141844%80.080.3-0.2
14 Zwolle33122136%82.084.9-2.9
15 Donar Groningen33112233%76.984.1-7.1
16 Den Helder33112233%73.383.5-10.2
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3462818%70.384.3-13.9
19 QSTA Utd3342912%76.588.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belfius Mons2219212183
Circus Brussels1523173186
← all games of the day
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