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Circus Brussels vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 77-68
16-22 15-24 19-6 27-16
Position#5
Record21-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.9
Circus Brussels 🏆
vs
Donar Groningen
Position#14
Record10-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 71
H02/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 71
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 71
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 71
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
61avg 71
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 71
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
88avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
61-67
61
67
-6
54avg 71
A12/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 71
H18/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 71
A20/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
26-21
18-11
15-17
17-17
17-17
15-19
18-27
21-20
25-19
24-18
12-11
19-17
19-13
14-22
21-20
21-28
25-23
16-16
12-20
16-16
17-19
18-21
32-23
21-12
29-19
18-21
29-20
15-17
20-14
13-17
13-19
21-14
21-19
15-19
27-25
22-28
28-13
13-15
13-14
152.7Avg total
77.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.175.9154.0+2.266%
Season at home (16)77.275.1152.3+2.162%
Season away (16)79.076.6155.6+2.469%
Last 10 (10)77.775.0152.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)80.273.0153.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.075.3155.3+4.7100%
vs Similar (14)76.680.4157.0-3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.570.7150.2+8.877%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 72
A15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H21/03
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 72
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
59-96
59
96
-37
54avg 72
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 72
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 72
A12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 72
A15/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 72
H17/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 72
A20/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
14-31
19-23
26-15
13-16
12-20
25-14
27-19
16-16
19-15
19-22
20-21
24-28
23-30
9-19
24-15
21-22
12-24
16-28
10-22
20-22
22-15
18-26
28-19
15-25
14-31
22-19
11-10
23-16
22-20
29-12
18-23
20-28
15-9
21-13
17-28
17-20
18-25
26-12
20-22
161.9Avg total
78.6Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.685.0161.6-8.432%
Season at home (15)77.983.7161.6-5.733%
Season away (16)75.486.2161.7-10.831%
Last 10 (10)78.683.3161.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.889.9167.7-12.224%
vs Similar (6)79.878.8158.7+1.050%
vs Weaker (6)81.277.3158.5+3.867%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Circus BrusselsDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H02/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H06/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A12/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H18/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/04
BNXT League
79.6Avg total
42.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.978.6+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.237.878.0+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.239.979.1-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.579.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.276.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.039.080.0+2.067%-
vs Similar (14)38.141.879.9-3.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.235.776.8+5.554%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H21/03
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A20/04
BNXT League
80.5Avg total
37.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.482.2-4.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.641.781.3-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.945.483.3-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.580.5-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.279.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.445.983.2-8.535%-
vs Similar (6)38.541.580.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker (6)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.9
50.8%
52.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
71.9%14.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.1
53.8%
52.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.611.3
72.4%
71.9%11.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WWLWWLWWLW
Donar Groningen
WLWLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#14
+4.6
Net rating
-10.8
106.4
Offensive rating
100.8
101.8
Defensive rating
111.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.4%
3-point %
32.7%
52.4%
Assist %
63.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 100.8Defence101.8 · 111.6Shooting51.7% · 51.5%3-point %35.4% · 32.7%Ball care15.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds22.9% · 25.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Circus Brussels wins
0
Donar Groningen wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Donar Groningen v Circus Brussels71-73
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25AOostende76-70
18/04/25HKortrijk84-77
12/04/25ABAL Weert61-67
06/04/25HDen Helder97-72
02/04/25ASpirou Charleroi83-79
28/03/25HMechelen74-87
23/03/25HLimburg73-72
15/03/25AOkapi Aalst82-68
12/03/25HBelfius Mons67-80
02/03/25HZwolle80-78
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25ALeiden81-79
17/04/25HDen Helder73-78
15/04/25ABAL Weert92-71
12/04/25AMechelen62-85
06/04/25HAntwerp Giants88-82
02/04/25ADen Bosch59-96
29/03/25HLimburg80-92
23/03/25ADen Bosch85-90 OT
21/03/25HLeiden77-69
15/03/25ABelfius Mons89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%62%69%
Points / game78.177.279.0
Allowed / game75.975.176.6
Point differential+2.2+2.1+2.4
Avg total154.0152.3155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won92% (12)100% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW32%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %32%33%31%
Points / game76.677.975.4
Allowed / game85.083.786.2
Point differential-8.4-5.7-10.8
Avg total161.6161.6161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3225778%94.376.5+17.8
2 Mechelen3224875%81.874.7+7.1
3 Oostende3324973%86.275.5+10.6
4 Limburg33231070%80.774.9+5.7
5 Circus Brussels32211166%78.175.9+2.2
6 Antwerp Giants33201361%83.181.1+2.1
7 Leuven Bears33191458%80.174.2+6.0
8 Den Bosch32181456%83.581.0+2.5
9 Belfius Mons32181456%80.078.0+1.9
10 Leiden32171553%77.179.4-2.3
11 Spirou Charleroi34181653%79.675.2+4.4
12 LWD Basket32161650%81.283.4-2.3
13 Okapi Aalst32141844%80.080.3-0.2
14 Zwolle32122038%82.485.0-2.5
15 Den Helder33112233%73.383.5-10.2
16 Donar Groningen31102132%76.685.0-8.4
17 Feyenoord3492526%78.486.8-8.4
18 BAL Weert3362718%70.583.9-13.4
19 QSTA Utd3342912%76.588.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels1615192777
Donar Groningen222461668
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