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Belfius Mons vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-77
20-25 22-20 17-14 12-18
Position#9
Record17-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#12
Record15-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeBNXT League· Mons.Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belfius Mons v Leiden
07 Nov 2026
BMO v LEI
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
BMO77
LEI72
12 Apr 2025
BMO71
LEI77
12 Mar 2022
BMO74
LEI80
13 Sep 2021
BMO74
LEI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belfius Mons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
92avg 76
H08/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
91avg 76
H15/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 76
A01/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 76
A12/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 76
H15/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
61-92
61
92
-31
44avg 76
A19/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 76
H23/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
94-66
94
66
+28
85avg 76
A29/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
61-78
61
78
-17
47avg 76
A02/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 76
H05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
23-18
21-19
26-19
25-23
17-16
23-18
20-14
27-25
21-27
14-15
15-19
17-17
17-17
19-15
27-18
22-30
31-14
23-19
15-26
15-19
14-27
13-22
19-24
10-23
20-14
21-18
27-14
21-22
30-11
21-19
22-14
17-12
14-22
16-16
14-28
26-23
26-20
15-27
20-15
157.6Avg total
80.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.278.6158.9+1.657%
Season at home (14)85.178.2163.4+6.979%
Season away (16)75.979.0154.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)80.277.4157.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)76.278.0154.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.479.0153.4-4.643%
vs Similar (11)76.475.7152.1+0.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.080.9168.9+7.182%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 69
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 69
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 69
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 69
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 69
H09/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
155.2Avg total
75.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.680.1156.7-3.454%
Season at home (15)77.378.0155.3-0.753%
Season away (13)75.882.5158.3-6.654%
Last 10 (10)75.579.7155.2-4.260%
Last 5 (5)75.079.6154.6-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.982.7155.6-9.936%
vs Similar (7)79.978.1158.0+1.771%
vs Weaker (8)78.475.2153.6+3.175%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Belfius MonsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H15/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A01/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A12/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A19/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H23/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A29/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A02/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H05/04
BNXT League
80.6Avg total
41.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.839.779.6+0.148%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.938.281.2+4.777%-
Last 30 away (16)37.340.978.2-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.580.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.677.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.441.476.9-6.029%-
vs Similar (11)36.940.177.0-3.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.538.383.8+7.373%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
75.1Avg total
37.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.176.4+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.177.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.175.1+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.075.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.474.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.640.476.9-3.843%-
vs Similar (7)41.636.377.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker (8)38.633.672.2+5.075%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.0
53.1%
52.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.2
32.6%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
71.9%16.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
52.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.610.8
74.0%
71.9%10.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belfius Mons
WLWWLWWLWW
Leiden
WWLLWWLWLW
#9
League position
#12
+3.9
Net rating
-3.2
109.3
Offensive rating
106.7
105.4
Defensive rating
109.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.6%
3-point %
33.0%
56.7%
Assist %
70.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 106.7Defence105.4 · 109.9Shooting51.8% · 51.7%3-point %32.6% · 33.0%Ball care15.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Belfius Mons   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belfius Mons wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Leiden v Belfius Mons85-70
13/04/22Leiden v Belfius Mons74-66
12/03/22Belfius Mons v Leiden74-80
13/09/21Belfius Mons v Leiden74-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HQSTA Utd87-85
02/04/25ALimburg61-78
29/03/25ABAL Weert94-66
23/03/25HOostende78-69
19/03/25AKortrijk61-92
15/03/25HDonar Groningen91-89
12/03/25ACircus Brussels80-67
01/03/25ALWD Basket77-86
15/02/25HLeuven Bears85-71
08/02/25HBAL Weert88-71
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %57%79%38%
Points / game80.285.175.9
Allowed / game78.678.279.0
Point differential+1.6+6.9-3.1
Avg total158.9163.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%53%54%
Points / game76.677.375.8
Allowed / game80.178.082.5
Point differential-3.4-0.7-6.6
Avg total156.7155.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)60% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3024680%95.376.8+18.5
2 Oostende3124777%87.475.6+11.8
3 Mechelen2720774%81.976.0+5.9
4 Limburg30201067%80.675.3+5.3
5 Circus Brussels30191163%78.076.0+1.9
6 Antwerp Giants30181260%82.580.7+1.8
7 Spirou Charleroi30171357%81.375.6+5.7
8 Den Bosch30171357%83.180.5+2.6
9 Belfius Mons30171357%80.278.6+1.6
10 Leiden28151354%76.680.1-3.4
11 Leuven Bears30161453%79.874.2+5.6
12 Okapi Aalst29141548%80.779.7+1.0
13 LWD Basket29131645%80.784.6-3.9
14 Zwolle28111739%81.183.4-2.2
15 Den Helder3092130%73.184.4-11.2
16 Donar Groningen2781930%76.686.0-9.4
17 Feyenoord3082227%79.587.1-7.6
18 BAL Weert2962321%70.283.4-13.1
19 QSTA Utd3032710%77.389.7-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belfius Mons2022171271
Leiden2520141877
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