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Belfius Mons vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-93
22-19 18-21 32-28 15-25
Position#16
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 1· Mons.Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Belfius Mons v Donar Groningen
09 Jan 2027
BMO v DGR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
BMO87
DGR93
15 Mar 2025
BMO91
DGR89
23 Apr 2022
BMO74
DGR83
07 Feb 2018
BMO72
DGR96
17 Jan 2018
BMO84
DGR65
10 Nov 2015
BMO90
DGR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belfius Mons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
61-78
61
78
-17
47avg 74
A02/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 74
H05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
74avg 74
H12/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
81-61
81
61
+20
77avg 74
H20/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 74
A27/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
83-86
83
86
-3
79avg 74
H30/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
74avg 74
A04/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
96-71
96
71
+25
102avg 74
H10/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 74
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
43avg 74
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
14-22
16-16
14-28
26-23
26-20
15-27
20-15
20-25
22-20
17-14
12-18
14-20
19-16
31-12
17-13
15-22
20-22
17-22
18-23
22-15
19-23
21-17
21-31
24-24
21-16
19-20
19-20
26-9
25-17
23-21
22-24
17-15
24-17
17-28
22-25
22-20
13-24
17-15
15-33
158.3Avg total
77.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.980.4158.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)81.882.8164.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.177.8151.9-3.744%
vs Similar (9)78.980.2159.1-1.333%
vs Weaker (11)84.577.9162.4+6.573%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
64avg 71
A03/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
104-78
104
78
+26
104avg 71
H07/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 71
H10/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 71
H13/05
DBL
Den Helder
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 71
A15/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
60avg 71
A20/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
59avg 71
H22/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
63avg 71
A24/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
no box
A14/09
Supercup
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
84avg 71
H23/09
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-14
18-21
19-20
22-17
21-25
32-21
29-15
18-8
13-18
18-14
20-25
31-25
15-17
17-19
22-14
27-22
14-21
16-21
21-8
20-22
21-35
23-28
8-20
12-21
18-23
28-23
14-29
26-24
15-29
13-25
14-18
14-21
25-23
21-33
17-31
14-22
20-21
19-21
35-28
164.8Avg total
78.6Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.686.2164.8-7.640%
Last 5 (5)75.499.4174.8-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.585.3160.8-9.835%
vs Similar (6)85.876.7162.5+9.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.380.3164.7+4.033%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Belfius MonsDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A02/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A27/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H10/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
78.8Avg total
40.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.039.479.4+0.648%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.038.081.0+5.071%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.778.0-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.278.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.078.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.239.774.9-4.433%-
vs Similar (9)39.142.381.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker (11)44.736.881.5+7.973%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H10/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/05
DBL
Den Helder
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A15/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A20/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H22/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A24/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/09
Supercup
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/09
ENBL
81.0Avg total
38.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.981.1-4.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.578.4-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.383.9-8.827%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.881.0-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.048.285.2-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.944.081.9-6.140%-
vs Similar (6)39.241.380.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.038.776.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.3
51.8%
54.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.4
30.2%
34.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.5
78.8%
72.4%17.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.4
53.7%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.211.1
32.5%
34.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.811.5
72.8%
72.4%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belfius Mons
LLWWLLWLWL
Donar Groningen
LLLLLWWWWL
#16
League position
#7
-3.0
Net rating
-1.0
103.8
Offensive rating
101.7
106.8
Defensive rating
102.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.6%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.2%
3-point %
32.5%
68.9%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 101.7Defence106.8 · 102.7Shooting49.5% · 51.1%3-point %30.2% · 32.5%Ball care15.7% · 20.6%Off. rebounds23.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Belfius Mons   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belfius Mons wins
4
Donar Groningen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25HMechelen67-92
13/05/25AMechelen80-85
10/05/25HFeyenoord96-71
04/05/25AZwolle83-80
30/04/25HCircus Brussels83-86
27/04/25ADen Bosch70-89
20/04/25HMechelen81-61
12/04/25HLeiden71-77
05/04/25HQSTA Utd87-85
02/04/25ALimburg61-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25HValmiera Glass Via88-92
14/09/25ADen Bosch77-108
24/05/25ADen Bosch68-96
22/05/25HDen Bosch72-96
20/05/25ADen Bosch72-105
15/05/25ADen Helder78-72
13/05/25HDen Helder85-75
10/05/25HSpirou Charleroi69-65
07/05/25HZwolle104-78
03/05/25ALeuven Bears73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden110100%83.064.0+19.0
2 Kortrijk110100%71.069.0+2.0
3 Leuven Bears1010%69.071.0-2.0
4 BAL Weert1010%64.083.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belfius Mons2218321587
Donar Groningen1921282593
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