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Leuven Bears vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-73
20-18 14-18 21-18 20-19
Position#7
Record20-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#14
Record11-22
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Donar Groningen
17 Feb 2027
LEUV v DGR
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
LEUV86
DGR78
03 May 2025
LEUV75
DGR73
09 Apr 2022
LEUV88
DGR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
54avg 72
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
86-61
86
61
+25
81avg 72
A21/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
98-63
98
63
+35
104avg 72
H29/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
54-73
54
73
-19
36avg 72
A01/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 72
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
86-55
86
55
+31
90avg 72
A12/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 72
A17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 72
H21/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
88avg 72
H26/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
73-67
73
67
+6
64avg 72
A30/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
24-19
13-24
20-21
19-14
25-18
23-10
19-19
25-7
22-18
25-15
26-23
15-22
15-13
15-27
9-11
25-10
24-21
10-23
17-18
17-13
29-17
31-11
9-14
11-17
22-23
15-15
24-14
24-16
23-21
22-17
18-22
28-20
17-17
23-13
22-25
20-25
19-20
20-10
14-12
148.0Avg total
79.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.973.9153.9+6.059%
Season at home (17)83.574.1157.6+9.471%
Season away (17)76.373.8150.1+2.547%
Last 10 (10)79.368.7148.0+10.680%
Last 5 (5)81.668.4150.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.075.3142.3-8.333%
vs Similar (11)80.476.5156.9+3.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.874.9157.8+7.969%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 71
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
59-96
59
96
-37
54avg 71
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 71
A12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 71
A15/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 71
H17/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 71
A20/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 71
A27/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
95-62
95
62
+33
96avg 71
H30/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-15
19-22
20-21
24-28
23-30
9-19
24-15
21-22
12-24
16-28
10-22
20-22
22-15
18-26
28-19
15-25
14-31
22-19
11-10
23-16
22-20
29-12
18-23
20-28
15-9
21-13
17-28
17-20
18-25
26-12
20-22
22-16
24-15
6-19
16-27
27-10
21-16
34-15
13-21
159.5Avg total
78.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.984.1161.0-7.133%
Season at home (16)79.082.3161.3-3.338%
Season away (17)75.085.7160.7-10.729%
Last 10 (10)78.381.2159.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)81.873.4155.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.690.2167.8-12.624%
vs Similar (7)82.076.4158.4+5.657%
vs Weaker (5)79.879.2159.0+0.660%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Leuven BearsDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H29/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A01/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H21/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H26/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A30/04
BNXT League
76.1Avg total
41.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.378.3+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.437.578.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.639.177.7-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.834.376.1+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.879.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.741.074.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (11)39.341.180.4-1.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.735.977.6+5.862%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/03
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A02/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A20/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A27/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H30/04
BNXT League
79.8Avg total
39.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.881.8-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.180.8-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.544.482.9-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.379.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.076.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.645.783.4-8.135%-
vs Similar (7)39.939.379.1+0.643%-
vs Weaker (5)40.639.680.2+1.040%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.1
50.6%
52.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
71.9%14.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.8
55.6%
52.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
34.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.710.3
70.1%
71.9%10.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWWWLWWL
Donar Groningen
WLWLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#14
+13.6
Net rating
-3.7
106.3
Offensive rating
104.3
92.7
Defensive rating
108.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
54.4%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
35.4%
57.9%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 104.3Defence92.7 · 108.1Shooting50.0% · 54.4%3-point %32.9% · 35.4%Ball care16.5% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 25.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leuven Bears wins
1
Donar Groningen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25AKortrijk73-67
26/04/25HOkapi Aalst90-75
21/04/25HAntwerp Giants87-76
17/04/25ASpirou Charleroi72-69
12/04/25AQSTA Utd86-55
05/04/25HFeyenoord76-72
01/04/25AOostende54-73
29/03/25HLeiden98-63
21/03/25ALimburg86-61
16/03/25AZwolle71-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HFeyenoord95-62
27/04/25ACircus Brussels68-77
20/04/25ALeiden81-79
17/04/25HDen Helder73-78
15/04/25ABAL Weert92-71
12/04/25AMechelen62-85
06/04/25HAntwerp Giants88-82
02/04/25ADen Bosch59-96
29/03/25HLimburg80-92
23/03/25ADen Bosch85-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game79.983.576.3
Allowed / game73.974.173.8
Point differential+6.0+9.4+2.5
Avg total153.9157.6150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game76.979.075.0
Allowed / game84.182.385.7
Point differential-7.1-3.3-10.7
Avg total161.0161.3160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende3425974%86.575.2+11.3
2 Kortrijk35251071%93.277.9+15.3
3 Limburg35251071%81.375.4+5.9
4 Mechelen34241071%81.575.3+6.2
5 Circus Brussels34231168%78.375.9+2.4
6 Antwerp Giants35221363%84.081.0+3.0
7 Leuven Bears34201459%79.973.9+6.0
8 Den Bosch34191556%83.681.2+2.4
9 Spirou Charleroi35191654%79.975.2+4.7
10 Belfius Mons34181653%79.878.6+1.2
11 LWD Basket34181653%82.183.3-1.3
12 Leiden34171750%77.480.3-2.9
13 Okapi Aalst33151845%80.080.2-0.2
14 Zwolle33122136%82.084.9-2.9
15 Den Helder34122235%73.683.1-9.5
16 Donar Groningen33112233%76.984.1-7.1
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3462818%70.384.3-13.9
19 QSTA Utd3443012%76.288.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2014212075
Donar Groningen1818181973
← all games of the day
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