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Bellarmine vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-78 (OT)
39-38 32-33 13-7
Position#279
Record5-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#83
Record7-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bellarmine v Central Arkansas
08 Jan 2026
BELL84
CENT78
22 Feb 2024
BELL68
CENT65
19 Feb 2023
BELL68
CENT67
11 Jan 2022
BELL85
CENT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bellarmine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
99-60
99
60
+39
H04/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A23/12
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
49-49
35-31
35-27
35-38
39-31
45-30
54-30
34-47
34-34
38-44
38-36
27-36
52-28
38-46
47-53
37-52
48-35
40-50
36-48
157.3Avg total
79.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.680.9159.6-2.336%
Season at home (6)84.770.3155.0+14.367%
Season away (8)74.188.9163.0-14.812%
Last 10 (10)79.178.2157.3+0.940%
Last 5 (5)80.285.6165.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.283.9157.1-10.812%
vs Similar (11)76.380.5156.7-4.227%
vs Weaker (1)99.060.0159.0+39.0100%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A29/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H04/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A13/12
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#660
W
102-47
102
47
+55
H17/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-27
47-38
43-26
38-34
30-37
–
53-19
32-28
35-32
33-43
31-47
41-36
48-25
54-22
47-51
35-48
37-40
48-43
41-28
52-45
152.9Avg total
81.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.074.7152.7+3.347%
Season at home (8)90.665.2155.9+25.488%
Season away (7)63.685.4149.0-21.90%
Last 10 (10)81.771.2152.9+10.560%
Last 5 (5)86.877.0163.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.680.5146.2-14.98%
vs Similar (9)68.481.9150.3-13.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.766.6154.3+21.186%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
BellarmineCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/12
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A03/01
NCAA
77.0Avg total
35.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.174.5-3.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.336.572.9-0.233%-
Last 30 away (15)34.441.776.1-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.177.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.681.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.239.574.6-4.312%-
vs Similar (11)34.340.775.0-6.527%-
vs Weaker (1)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
53-19
53
19
+34
H04/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/12
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#660
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H17/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H01/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/01
NCAA
74.2Avg total
41.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.971.5-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.633.572.1+5.153%-
Last 30 away (15)30.640.370.9-9.713%-
Last 10 (10)41.033.274.2+7.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.279.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.540.669.1-12.20%-
vs Similar (9)34.838.273.0-3.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.930.073.9+13.986%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bellarmine wins
2
Central Arkansas wins
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AQueens Royals76-98
02/01/26AWest Georgia85-87
23/12/25AKentucky85-99
18/12/25HChattanooga Mocs79-64
13/12/25HNorthern Kentucky76-80
06/12/25AMurray State68-81
04/12/25HMidway99-60
26/11/25HHouston Christian74-69
25/11/25ACitadel70-58
20/11/25ANotre Dame79-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HStetson93-73
01/01/26HFlorida Gulf Coast85-83
21/12/25ASMU Mustangs82-99
17/12/25HKansas Christian102-47
13/12/25AVanderbilt72-83
07/12/25AEast Texas A&M68-75
04/12/25HUALR85-47
29/11/25AEast Tennessee St57-80
26/11/25HEastern Illinois81-60
23/11/25HEast. Washington92-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bellarmine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%67%12%
Points / game78.684.774.1
Allowed / game80.970.388.9
Point differential-2.3+14.3-14.8
Avg total159.6155.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%88%0%
Points / game78.090.663.6
Allowed / game74.765.285.4
Point differential+3.3+25.4-21.9
Avg total152.7155.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay138562%80.569.4+11.1
2 Lipscomb159660%81.374.3+7.0
3 West Georgia148657%77.980.6-2.8
4 Central Arkansas157847%78.074.7+3.3
5 Florida Gulf Coast157847%82.479.1+3.3
6 Queens Royals157847%84.188.1-4.0
7 North Alabama135838%69.274.8-5.6
8 Bellarmine145936%78.680.9-2.3
9 Stetson1551033%69.180.6-11.5
10 Eastern Kentucky1541127%79.580.8-1.3
11 North Florida1521313%78.990.5-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Bellarmine39321384
Central Arkansas3833778
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