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SMU Mustangs vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-82
51-47 48-35
Position#129
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game77.2
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
vs
Central Arkansas
USA
Position#83
Record5-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
37-30
49-42
53-49
38-43
49-42
45-26
61-34
50-30
50-39
46-38
43-34
39-43
35-31
38-48
31-40
41-27
36-50
44-47
33-42
165.2Avg total
87.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.677.2165.8+11.582%
Season at home (8)92.873.9166.6+18.9100%
Season away (3)77.786.0163.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)87.977.3165.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)83.082.0165.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.088.0157.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.176.5157.5+4.655%
vs Weaker (17)81.470.0151.4+11.482%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
56-93
56
93
-37
A12/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
H16/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A29/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H04/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A13/12
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#660
W
102-47
102
47
+55
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
22-50
41-30
27-38
26-28
30-46
45-27
47-38
43-26
38-34
30-37
–
53-19
32-28
35-32
33-43
31-47
41-36
48-25
54-22
145.4Avg total
74.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.872.1147.9+3.842%
Season at home (6)91.261.0152.2+30.283%
Season away (6)60.583.2143.7-22.70%
Last 10 (10)74.670.8145.4+3.840%
Last 5 (5)76.866.4143.2+10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.981.1148.0-14.17%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.679.2145.8-12.733%
vs Weaker (5)87.262.0149.2+25.280%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
SMU MustangsCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A14/12
NCAA
79.4Avg total
42.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.273.4+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.434.273.6+5.378%-
Last 30 away (12)38.934.273.1+4.842%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.279.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.335.775.0+3.564%-
vs Weaker (17)39.632.572.1+7.265%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H16/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
53-19
53
19
+34
H04/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/12
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#660
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H17/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
38.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.436.569.9-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.533.471.9+5.254%-
Last 30 away (17)29.438.968.4-9.518%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.470.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.071.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.139.568.7-10.47%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.937.369.2-5.433%-
vs Weaker (5)45.828.474.2+17.4100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Central Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ALSU77-89
07/12/25HTexas A&M93-80 OT
04/12/25AVanderbilt69-88
29/11/25AMississippi St.87-81 OT
25/11/25HRadford89-72
22/11/25HArkansas State100-69
19/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-60
15/11/25HButler87-85
12/11/25HMurray State102-91
07/11/25HTexas A&M-CC69-58
Central Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HKansas Christian102-47
13/12/25AVanderbilt72-83
07/12/25AEast Texas A&M68-75
04/12/25HUALR85-47
29/11/25AEast Tennessee St57-80
26/11/25HEastern Illinois81-60
23/11/25HEast. Washington92-65
21/11/25ANorth Texas56-74
16/11/25HSamford77-84 OT
12/11/25AArkansas56-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %82%100%33%
Points / game88.692.877.7
Allowed / game77.273.986.0
Point differential+11.5+18.9-8.3
Avg total165.8166.6163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %18%12%33%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%83%0%
Points / game75.891.260.5
Allowed / game72.161.083.2
Point differential+3.8+30.2-22.7
Avg total147.9152.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
2 California1211192%83.867.6+16.2
3 North Carolina1211192%79.964.6+15.3
4 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
5 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
6 Miami (FL)1210283%88.267.8+20.4
7 Virginia1210283%83.871.1+12.7
8 Stanford1210283%81.371.7+9.7
9 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
10 Clemson129375%80.765.9+14.8
11 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
12 NC State139469%88.372.2+16.2
13 Wake Forest139469%83.974.3+9.6
14 Syracuse128467%74.466.2+8.2
15 Georgia Tech128467%75.570.8+4.8
16 Pittsburgh137654%74.067.8+6.2
17 Florida State126650%84.879.6+5.2
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lipscomb127558%83.374.6+8.8
2 West Georgia116555%76.578.6-2.2
3 Austin Peay105550%76.369.2+7.1
4 Bellarmine115645%77.777.2+0.5
5 North Alabama115645%70.775.5-4.8
6 Central Arkansas125742%75.872.1+3.8
7 Florida Gulf Coast125742%83.183.6-0.5
8 Queens Royals125742%84.087.6-3.6
9 Eastern Kentucky124833%80.978.8+2.2
10 Stetson124833%70.078.5-8.5
11 North Florida112918%79.888.9-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs514899
Central Arkansas473582
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