PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bellarmine vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 51-64
20-22 31-42
Position#342
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#34
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#155
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H17/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A22/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
57-91
57
91
-34
A07/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-29
37-41
36-34
32-33
24-31
39-30
39-38
28-41
37-38
39-36
31-48
25-28
27-35
30-56
31-46
44-37
32-35
32-37
29-21
56-46
140.8Avg total
66.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.278.2148.5-8.025%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)70.278.2148.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)66.874.0140.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)67.477.8145.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)61.974.5136.4-12.614%
vs Similar (11)70.066.6136.6+3.473%
vs Weaker (4)73.855.8129.5+18.075%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-25
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-24
0-0
40-34
0-0
34-29
0-0
24-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
32-38
0-0
35-55
0-0
38-50
0-0
49-20
0-0
47-20
0-0
29-42
0-0
28-45
0-0
38-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
26-37
0-0
25-37
137.6Avg total
67.7Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.274.4144.6-4.240%
Season at home (2)85.053.0138.0+32.0100%
Season away (3)60.388.7149.0-28.30%
Last 10 (10)67.769.9137.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)70.274.4144.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (18)67.569.6137.1-2.161%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.261.7132.9+9.580%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.9-4.91st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -2.8-2.8
BellarmineMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#155
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A22/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A18/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
30.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.563.8-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.331.264.5+2.138%-
Last 30 away (17)29.733.563.2-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.566.1-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.037.067.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.135.863.9-7.77%-
vs Similar (11)30.731.862.5-1.136%-
vs Weaker (4)39.525.565.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.065.4+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.928.364.1+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)33.133.466.5-0.456%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.567.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.872.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (18)33.432.365.7+1.161%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.127.664.7+9.590%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bellarmine wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Morehead State v Bellarmine62-55
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ABowling Green85-67
15/11/23AChattanooga Mocs64-72
11/11/23AKansas State75-83
07/11/23AWashington57-91
01/03/23ALiberty56-76
28/02/23ANorth Florida76-74
25/02/23ANorth Florida67-79
22/02/23AJacksonville63-61
19/02/23HCentral Arkansas68-67
17/02/23HNorth Alabama57-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23APenn State51-74
15/11/23HMercer74-66
11/11/23APurdue57-87
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40
07/11/23AAlabama73-105
19/03/23AUAB59-77
15/03/23AClemson68-64
04/03/23HSoutheast Missouri State58-65
25/02/23HUT Martin72-58
23/02/23AEastern Illinois69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bellarmine
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
Home--
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game70.2-70.2
Allowed / game78.2-78.2
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total148.5-148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%-25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game70.285.060.3
Allowed / game74.453.088.7
Point differential-4.2+32.0-28.3
Avg total144.6138.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama43175%72.866.8+6.0
2 Eastern Kentucky32167%105.075.7+29.3
3 North Florida64267%77.770.8+6.8
4 Lipscomb53260%88.876.2+12.6
5 Stetson42250%74.267.8+6.5
6 Jacksonville42250%77.575.0+2.5
7 Austin Peay52340%67.265.6+1.6
8 Queens Royals52340%67.275.4-8.2
9 Central Arkansas41325%72.267.2+5.0
10 Bellarmine41325%70.278.2-8.0
11 Florida Gulf Coast61517%71.576.2-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State43175%75.269.0+6.2
2 UT Martin53260%80.677.4+3.2
3 Western Illinois42250%75.876.8-1.0
4 Siu Edwardsville63350%66.768.2-1.5
5 Lindenwood63350%63.874.0-10.2
6 Morehead State52340%70.274.4-4.2
7 Eastern Illinois62433%63.567.5-4.0
8 UALR41325%78.084.5-6.5
9 Southern Indiana51420%65.474.2-8.8
10 Tennessee Tech51420%64.878.4-13.6
11 Southeast Missouri State3030%60.085.0-25.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bellarmine203151
Morehead State224264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.