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Morehead State vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-66
38-30 36-36
Position#34
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#223
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-24
0-0
40-40
0-0
38-23
0-0
33-35
0-0
39-25
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-24
0-0
40-34
0-0
34-29
0-0
24-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
32-38
0-0
35-55
0-0
38-50
0-0
49-20
0-0
47-20
0-0
29-42
0-0
28-45
137.8Avg total
69.7Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.377.3152.7-2.033%
Season at home (1)96.040.0136.0+56.0100%
Season away (2)65.096.0161.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)69.768.1137.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)70.674.6145.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (19)67.970.2138.1-2.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.359.9137.2+17.489%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H03/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Clarke
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
36-39
38-33
18-40
31-29
36-41
33-31
35-40
29-33
38-37
34-25
38-25
27-10
39-31
32-29
26-44
34-31
30-40
33-30
33-31
130.3Avg total
65.3Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.066.0131.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)64.071.0135.0-7.00%
Season away (1)66.061.0127.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.365.0130.3+0.330%
Last 5 (5)65.259.2124.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)63.472.0135.4-8.611%
vs Similar (14)62.665.4128.1-2.843%
vs Weaker (6)76.855.5132.3+21.3100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -3.9-3.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -3.9-3.9
Morehead StateMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.866.3+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.528.365.9+9.280%-
Last 30 away (15)33.533.266.7+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)34.931.566.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.072.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (19)33.831.965.7+1.863%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.627.067.6+13.6100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#78
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
27-10
27
10
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Clarke
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A10/11
NCAA
59.7Avg total
32.0Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.030.061.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.329.961.1+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)30.730.260.9+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)32.027.759.7+4.390%-
Last 5 (5)32.025.057.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.035.065.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (14)29.629.358.9+0.350%-
vs Weaker (6)35.324.259.5+11.283%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
1
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Mercer v Morehead State79-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23APurdue57-87
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40
07/11/23AAlabama73-105
19/03/23AUAB59-77
15/03/23AClemson68-64
04/03/23HSoutheast Missouri State58-65
25/02/23HUT Martin72-58
23/02/23AEastern Illinois69-63
18/02/23HLindenwood71-58
17/02/23HTennessee State74-64
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23AChicago State66-61
07/11/23HClarke64-71
04/03/23AFurman58-73
03/03/23HCitadel66-41
25/02/23HCitadel72-50
23/02/23AFurman67-70
18/02/23HWestern Carolina68-71
16/02/23AWofford67-70
11/02/23AChattanooga Mocs56-73
09/02/23HSamford69-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game75.396.065.0
Allowed / game77.340.096.0
Point differential-2.0+56.0-31.0
Avg total152.7136.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game65.064.066.0
Allowed / game66.071.061.0
Point differential-1.0-7.0+5.0
Avg total131.0135.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State220100%79.559.5+20.0
2 UT Martin32167%85.778.3+7.3
3 UALR21150%71.076.0-5.0
4 Eastern Illinois31233%69.371.3-2.0
5 Morehead State31233%75.377.3-2.0
6 Siu Edwardsville31233%63.066.0-3.0
7 Western Illinois31233%71.775.7-4.0
8 Lindenwood31233%60.779.3-18.7
9 Southern Indiana3030%60.375.7-15.3
10 Tennessee Tech2020%57.079.0-22.0
11 Southeast Missouri State2020%61.589.5-28.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs220100%85.057.5+27.5
2 Furman220100%91.572.0+19.5
3 Western Carolina330100%81.063.3+17.7
4 NC Greensboro110100%94.078.0+16.0
5 Wofford32167%81.782.7-1.0
6 Mercer21150%65.066.0-1.0
7 VMI31233%75.373.3+2.0
8 East Tennessee St31233%65.372.0-6.7
9 Citadel3030%64.772.7-8.0
10 Samford2020%55.086.5-31.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State383674
Mercer303666
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