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Belmont vs Southern Illinois Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#119
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#154
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Belmont v Southern Illinois
16 Jan 2027
BELM v SOUT
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
BELM67
SOUT68
08 Jan 2025
BELM90
SOUT86
14 Feb 2024
BELM82
SOUT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#299
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
75-45
75
45
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#181
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#79
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-41
24-39
63-31
39-25
48-45
44-29
54-35
40-38
34-43
41-48
38-52
27-14
45-40
33-26
42-19
32-40
43-48
30-33
42-29
153.0Avg total
81.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.562.2135.8+11.275%
Season at home (3)73.053.7126.7+19.3100%
Season away (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.072.0153.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.669.8144.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.269.9149.1+9.488%
vs Weaker (20)84.277.7161.9+6.570%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
82-40
82
40
+42
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#264
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
43-28
28-28
32-42
31-36
35-25
33-30
26-27
36-23
30-32
38-27
43-40
31-27
32-40
34-11
48-29
42-55
51-45
43-32
37-38
138.3Avg total
73.6Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.070.0155.0+15.067%
Season at home (2)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)93.0100.0193.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.664.7138.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)79.868.8148.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.066.8137.8+4.283%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.872.0141.8-2.225%
vs Weaker (7)76.969.4146.3+7.471%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
BelmontSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#299
W
27-14
27
14
+13
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#181
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#79
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.073.9+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.070.1+2.179%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.769.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.233.871.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker (20)38.435.473.7+3.075%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Maryville
#457
W
34-11
34
11
+23
H03/11
NCAA
UMKC
#264
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.764.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.928.161.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.967.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.166.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.468.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.230.261.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.532.263.7-0.744%-
vs Weaker (7)36.334.971.1+1.457%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
3
Southern Illinois wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HFurman72-62
11/11/26ALipscomb75-88
06/11/26HCentre College75-45
03/11/26HSouthern Indiana72-54
06/03/26HDrake79-100
01/03/26AIllinois State74-81
26/02/26HEvansville98-64
22/02/26HIndiana State87-70
15/02/26AMurray State87-70
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HRichmond Spiders80-70
07/11/26AUMKC93-100
03/11/26HMaryville82-40
05/03/26HDrake63-67
01/03/26AEvansville81-67
26/02/26HIndiana State66-55
21/02/26ANorthern Iowa59-57
19/02/26ADrake66-61
15/02/26HBradley60-70
13/02/26HEvansville86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game73.573.075.0
Allowed / game62.253.788.0
Point differential+11.2+19.3-13.0
Avg total135.8126.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.081.093.0
Allowed / game70.055.0100.0
Point differential+15.0+26.0-7.0
Avg total155.0136.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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