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Murray State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-87
39-24 31-63
Position#102
Record19-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.2
Murray State
USA
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#25
Record23-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Belmont
15 Feb 2026
MURR70
BELM87
25 Jan 2025
MURR77
BELM95
28 Feb 2024
MURR61
BELM83
01 Feb 2023
MURR83
BELM82
24 Feb 2022
MURR76
BELM43
30 Jan 2021
MURR71
BELM72
23 Jan 2020
MURR85
BELM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
60-89
60
89
-29
H10/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
47-43
47-37
38-44
41-44
49-57
38-37
38-44
29-35
36-35
40-54
46-49
40-33
41-41
43-34
48-47
31-39
29-50
43-21
31-51
163.1Avg total
80.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.979.2164.1+5.670%
Season at home (15)85.174.1159.1+11.087%
Season away (12)84.685.7170.2-1.150%
Last 10 (10)80.083.1163.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)78.483.8162.2-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.387.3166.6-8.029%
vs Similar (15)82.978.1160.9+4.867%
vs Weaker (8)86.168.8154.9+17.4100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
103-86
103
86
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
84-95 OT
84
95
-11
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-44
53-32
41-39
37-35
32-24
41-44
44-36
36-33
42-38
36-39
54-40
49-46
51-43
52-47
38-26
30-36
33-31
47-49
45-45
46-41
161.9Avg total
83.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.573.6156.1+8.982%
Season at home (15)86.173.8159.9+12.387%
Season away (13)78.473.4151.8+5.077%
Last 10 (10)83.678.3161.9+5.390%
Last 5 (5)89.883.8173.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%
vs Similar (8)81.470.8152.1+10.6100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.674.2156.8+8.476%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
Murray StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A13/02
NCAA
76.7Avg total
39.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.674.6+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.132.973.9+8.288%-
Last 30 away (14)36.838.675.4-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.076.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.140.375.4-5.157%-
vs Similar (15)38.336.674.9+1.753%-
vs Weaker (8)44.029.573.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H01/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
77.1Avg total
40.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.472.3+3.483%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.334.473.7+4.981%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.570.6+1.686%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.677.1+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.081.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.021.051.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (8)38.233.571.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.035.473.5+2.686%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murray State wins
7
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Belmont v Murray State103-86
02/03/25Belmont v Murray State70-60
25/01/25Murray State v Belmont77-95
29/02/24Murray State v Belmont61-83
08/02/24Belmont v Murray State69-64
02/02/23Murray State v Belmont83-82
18/01/23Belmont v Murray State80-65
25/02/22Murray State v Belmont76-43
15/01/22Belmont v Murray State60-82
31/01/21Murray State v Belmont71-72
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AIndiana State74-72
10/02/26HNorthern Iowa60-89
07/02/26ASouthern Illinois91-81
04/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)81-74
01/02/26ABelmont86-103
29/01/26HIllinois State65-70
24/01/26ANorthern Iowa76-81
22/01/26ADrake90-101
17/01/26HIndiana State85-81
10/01/26HValparaiso92-79
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86
10/02/26ABradley84-95 OT
07/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)68-62
04/02/26HDrake103-90
01/02/26HMurray State103-86
29/01/26AValparaiso78-77
24/01/26HIllinois State80-69
18/01/26ASouthern Illinois73-68
14/01/26HValparaiso78-74
10/01/26ADrake78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLWL87%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %70%87%50%
Points / game84.985.184.6
Allowed / game79.274.185.7
Point differential+5.6+11.0-1.1
Avg total164.1159.1170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %82%87%77%
Points / game82.586.178.4
Allowed / game73.673.873.4
Point differential+8.9+12.3+5.0
Avg total156.1159.9151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2823582%82.573.6+8.9
2 Murray State2719870%84.979.2+5.6
3 Bradley2718967%77.172.4+4.7
4 Illinois State27171063%76.468.1+8.3
5 Northern Iowa27171063%69.161.2+7.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)27151256%75.169.7+5.3
7 Valparaiso27141352%71.371.0+0.4
8 Southern Illinois27121544%74.171.1+3.0
9 Drake28121643%76.875.5+1.2
10 Indiana State27101737%75.174.9+0.2
11 Evansville2662023%67.475.0-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State393170
Belmont246387
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