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Belmont vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:45
Final 81-89
31-44 50-45
Position#79
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#183
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game55.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A15/03
NIT
Ohio
#133
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H08/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-35
0-0
44-37
0-0
31-20
0-0
50-37
0-0
37-32
0-0
36-30
0-0
17-35
0-0
26-41
0-0
46-31
0-0
41-36
0-0
21-30
0-0
30-23
0-0
38-39
0-0
33-43
0-0
41-34
0-0
29-35
0-0
37-37
0-0
37-52
0-0
34-37
0-0
41-40
141.0Avg total
70.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.078.3151.3-5.333%
Season at home (1)70.069.0139.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)74.583.0157.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)70.670.4141.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)68.274.0142.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.082.3141.3-23.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)65.764.9130.6+0.856%
vs Weaker (16)85.565.4150.9+20.1100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#345
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H17/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A19/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
30-27
37-37
26-40
35-35
21-34
42-23
37-37
42-22
33-40
31-20
26-29
24-29
26-40
23-26
33-35
29-32
30-30
39-30
56-19
125.9Avg total
64.7Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.055.5132.5+21.550%
Season at home (1)95.049.0144.0+46.0100%
Season away (1)59.062.0121.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)64.761.2125.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)63.458.0121.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)62.369.6131.9-7.320%
vs Similar ◀ (3)65.365.3130.7+0.033%
vs Weaker (12)71.856.8128.6+15.192%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
BelmontTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
17-35
17
35
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/03
NIT
Ohio
#133
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
33.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.632.670.2+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.331.469.8+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.933.970.7+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.066.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.469.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.740.069.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.232.964.1-1.733%-
vs Weaker (16)41.929.971.8+12.088%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#345
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A19/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
61.0Avg total
32.9Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.361.5+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.428.963.4+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)29.629.759.4-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)32.928.161.0+4.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.227.456.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.932.060.9-3.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.031.362.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (12)36.725.462.1+11.283%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22ALipscomb75-77
12/11/22AFurman74-89
08/11/22HOhio70-69
15/03/22AVanderbilt71-82
05/03/22HMorehead State51-53
26/02/22HTennessee State87-67
25/02/22AMurray State43-76
19/02/22HSiu Edwardsville73-62
18/02/22HEastern Illinois81-57
12/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State81-72
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HKansas Christian95-49
08/11/22AArizona State59-62
06/03/22AAbilene Christian56-61
04/03/22ASam Houston St.50-69
27/02/22HLamar57-49
25/02/22HUTRGV75-62
19/02/22AChicago State79-60
17/02/22HUtah Valley State56-69
13/02/22HAbilene Christian63-77
06/02/22HChicago State57-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.070.074.5
Allowed / game78.369.083.0
Point differential-5.3+1.0-8.5
Avg total151.3139.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.095.059.0
Allowed / game55.549.062.0
Point differential+21.5+46.0-3.0
Avg total132.5144.0121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State330100%88.066.3+21.7
2 Drake330100%80.064.0+16.0
3 Southern Illinois43175%66.259.5+6.8
4 Bradley32167%81.368.0+13.3
5 Illinois (Chi.)32167%70.759.3+11.3
6 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
7 Murray State42250%78.873.5+5.2
8 Illinois State42250%64.564.2+0.2
9 Valparaiso31233%75.079.0-4.0
10 Belmont31233%73.078.3-5.3
11 Evansville31233%68.074.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah43175%103.864.8+39.0
2 California Baptist43175%64.560.2+4.2
3 UT Arlington32167%89.765.7+24.0
4 Abilene Christian32167%75.759.7+16.0
5 Tarleton21150%77.055.5+21.5
6 Utah Valley State42250%71.869.0+2.8
7 Utah Tech41325%71.082.2-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont315081
Tarleton444589
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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