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Murray State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-43
35-17 41-26
Position#4
Record26-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game62.2
Murray State 🏆
USA
vs
Belmont
USA
Position#24
Record24-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Belmont
15 Feb 2026
MURR70
BELM87
25 Jan 2025
MURR77
BELM95
28 Feb 2024
MURR61
BELM83
01 Feb 2023
MURR83
BELM82
24 Feb 2022
MURR76
BELM43
30 Jan 2021
MURR71
BELM72
23 Jan 2020
MURR85
BELM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#329
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
91-56
91
56
+35
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
42-37
39-24
40-29
34-36
46-39
33-28
44-38
35-31
30-22
44-24
35-35
29-36
44-26
24-28
33-25
49-23
42-33
27-33
35-27
134.0Avg total
73.7Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.862.2141.9+17.693%
Season at home (16)86.263.2149.4+22.994%
Season away (12)71.260.8131.9+10.492%
Last 10 (10)73.760.3134.0+13.4100%
Last 5 (5)72.458.0130.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)65.068.0133.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)77.362.0139.3+15.389%
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A28/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
88-61
88
61
+27
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-23
45-33
37-28
38-39
47-27
40-31
41-24
47-37
37-52
47-32
24-31
48-27
22-29
26-18
37-35
44-37
31-20
50-37
37-32
36-30
142.5Avg total
79.5Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.468.5148.9+11.983%
Season at home (15)80.665.5146.1+15.187%
Season away (14)80.171.7151.9+8.479%
Last 10 (10)79.563.0142.5+16.5100%
Last 5 (5)71.059.2130.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)60.082.0142.0-22.00%
vs Similar (10)69.771.8141.5-2.160%
vs Weaker (18)85.065.9150.9+19.194%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +10.0+10.0
Murray StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#329
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A19/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
34.6Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.630.067.6+7.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.129.470.4+11.781%-
Last 30 away (14)33.630.864.4+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)34.629.263.8+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.863.4+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)36.829.666.3+7.263%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A24/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H19/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.8Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.570.7+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.931.169.0+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)38.634.172.7+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)35.830.165.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)30.229.459.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.048.083.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (10)32.334.066.3-1.740%-
vs Weaker (18)41.030.271.2+10.883%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
4
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
15/01/22Belmont v Murray State60-82
31/01/21Murray State v Belmont71-72
31/12/20Belmont v Murray State68-55
08/03/20Belmont v Murray State76-75
07/02/20Belmont v Murray State71-64
24/01/20Murray State v Belmont85-75
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22AUT Martin62-60
18/02/22HAustin Peay91-56
12/02/22AMorehead State57-53
11/02/22ATennessee State73-62
06/02/22HSiu Edwardsville79-59
03/02/22AAustin Peay65-53
29/01/22HMorehead State77-66
28/01/22ATennessee Tech80-75
25/01/22HTennessee Tech79-53
23/01/22HUT Martin74-66
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22HSiu Edwardsville73-62
18/02/22HEastern Illinois81-57
12/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State81-72
11/02/22HMorehead State48-47
08/02/22HAustin Peay72-58
06/02/22ATennessee Tech100-92 OT
04/02/22ATennessee State88-61
29/01/22HUT Martin87-58
28/01/22AAustin Peay75-67
24/01/22AEastern Illinois90-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %93%94%92%
Points / game79.886.271.2
Allowed / game62.263.260.8
Point differential+17.6+22.9+10.4
Avg total141.9149.4131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%81%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)-100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%87%79%
Points / game80.480.680.1
Allowed / game68.565.571.7
Point differential+11.9+15.1+8.4
Avg total148.9146.1151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2826293%79.862.2+17.6
2 Belmont2924583%80.468.5+11.9
3 Drake3021970%74.566.5+7.9
4 Northern Iowa27171063%74.469.9+4.5
5 Bradley29161355%70.965.5+5.3
6 Southern Illinois29161355%64.661.2+3.4
7 Valparaiso29131645%71.470.8+0.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)27121544%71.773.4-1.7
9 Indiana State29111838%71.271.9-0.7
10 Illinois State30111937%74.675.6-1.0
11 Evansville2862221%58.569.8-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State354176
Belmont172643
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