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Belmont vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-72
36-33 51-39
Position#25
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game67.9
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#156
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
51-99
51
99
-48
A06/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A16/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
29-38
41-18
35-45
30-21
20-36
39-38
40-25
24-64
27-35
34-32
53-47
42-39
41-21
25-24
50-44
46-25
50-24
36-28
58-29
141.6Avg total
76.1Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.767.9148.6+12.986%
Season at home (5)86.263.2149.4+23.0100%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.550%
Last 10 (10)76.165.5141.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)87.062.6149.6+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.476.0143.4-8.620%
vs Similar (12)80.177.0157.1+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.071.6152.6+9.485%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caja 87
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Troy
#84
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
16-16
17-11
17-17
0-0
26-39
0-0
48-37
0-0
40-30
0-0
33-55
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
0-0
34-39
0-0
47-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
49-46
20-25
19-27
22-19
18-12
0-0
41-35
0-0
51-40
18-16
22-17
17-25
24-15
0-0
30-36
0-0
45-32
155.6Avg total
80.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.876.3157.2+4.567%
Season at home (4)82.279.8162.0+2.550%
Season away (2)78.069.5147.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.475.2155.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)83.476.4159.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.188.3169.4-7.244%
vs Similar (13)75.575.5151.0-0.138%
vs Weaker (8)88.276.2164.5+12.088%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +5.0+5.0
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +5.0+5.0
BelmontToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H07/03
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A06/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H24/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.571.9+2.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.131.670.7+7.688%-
Last 30 away (14)35.437.973.2-2.557%-
Last 10 (10)35.831.166.9+4.790%-
Last 5 (5)36.629.666.2+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.432.667.0+1.860%-
vs Similar (12)39.434.173.5+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.635.672.2+1.085%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caja 87
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Troy
#84
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/11
NCAA
74.0Avg total
37.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.076.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.136.775.8+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)35.542.177.5-6.623%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.974.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.676.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.244.080.2-7.833%-
vs Similar (13)34.739.474.1-4.723%-
vs Weaker (8)43.632.976.5+10.888%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)94-57
22/11/25HFisk96-49
20/11/25HLipscomb75-68
16/11/25AOral Roberts83-60
09/11/25HTennessee State87-79
06/11/25AElon51-99
04/11/25HAir Force79-63
08/03/25ADrake50-57
07/03/25HIllinois State76-63
02/03/25HMurray State70-60
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25ATroy75-68
22/11/25HLogrono81-73
20/11/25HYoungstown State92-75
16/11/25AIraurgi SB79-83
15/11/25HDetroit90-83
12/11/25AWright State81-71
09/11/25HJaen97-68
08/11/25HMarshall73-85
04/11/25HSouth Alabama74-76
02/11/25ACaja 8762-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game80.786.267.0
Allowed / game67.963.279.5
Point differential+12.9+23.0-12.5
Avg total148.6149.4146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.882.278.0
Allowed / game76.379.869.5
Point differential+4.5+2.5+8.5
Avg total157.2162.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa660100%72.257.7+14.5
2 Belmont76186%80.767.9+12.9
3 Valparaiso54180%70.271.6-1.4
4 Drake64267%78.863.0+15.8
5 Illinois State64267%80.065.7+14.3
6 Illinois (Chi.)64267%82.271.3+10.8
7 Indiana State64267%72.770.5+2.2
8 Murray State85362%89.480.5+8.9
9 Southern Illinois63350%83.773.0+10.7
10 Bradley73443%75.972.0+3.9
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)550100%95.867.4+28.4
2 Buffalo660100%81.072.0+9.0
3 Akron75271%94.974.1+20.7
4 Bowling Green75271%85.665.7+19.9
5 Kent State75271%92.686.4+6.1
6 Toledo64267%80.876.3+4.5
7 UMass74357%78.072.9+5.1
8 Eastern Michigan63350%72.576.2-3.7
9 Central Michigan73443%75.974.0+1.9
10 Northern Illinois73443%77.476.4+1.0
11 Western Michigan73443%77.378.9-1.6
12 Ball State52340%65.668.4-2.8
13 Ohio71614%71.184.4-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont365187
Toledo333972
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