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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-60
41-22 29-38
Position#79
Record20-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.3
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#214
Record15-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H20/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
55-37
40-40
31-35
47-46
38-37
37-43
39-35
41-42
45-44
40-24
39-56
47-45
25-38
48-30
44-37
31-45
26-28
51-47
34-24
40-41
157.2Avg total
79.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.778.3159.0+2.467%
Season at home (17)82.378.9161.2+3.465%
Season away (13)78.777.5156.2+1.269%
Last 10 (10)79.877.4157.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.078.2155.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.579.7153.2-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.680.1161.7+1.562%
vs Weaker (10)82.776.0158.7+6.790%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H05/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-55
40-40
25-20
49-58
19-43
37-34
18-32
27-23
33-23
41-33
31-20
32-33
34-37
33-37
33-24
29-36
39-36
36-39
39-40
46-35
139.4Avg total
68.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.569.6142.1+2.950%
Season at home (17)69.964.5134.4+5.459%
Season away (13)75.976.4152.3-0.538%
Last 10 (10)68.670.8139.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)72.069.4141.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.267.2134.3+0.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.672.1144.7+0.450%
vs Weaker (7)71.170.7141.9+0.457%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A27/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.974.8+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.337.576.8+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)36.136.272.2-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.670.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.836.070.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.937.277.1+2.862%-
vs Weaker (10)36.936.673.5+0.370%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
18-32
18
32
-14
H05/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
30.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.364.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.732.164.8+0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)32.532.565.0-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)30.833.063.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.466.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.233.864.0-3.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.433.466.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker (7)29.930.360.1-0.471%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Belmont wins
3
Murray State wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AMissouri State74-65
22/02/25HIndiana State77-75
20/02/25HNorthern Iowa75-82
16/02/25ASouthern Illinois73-68
13/02/25AValparaiso86-101
08/02/25HMissouri State85-68
06/02/25ABradley80-77
02/02/25HEvansville75-80
30/01/25AIllinois State78-81
25/01/25AMurray State95-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HIndiana State85-75
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT
20/02/25HSouthern Illinois62-60
18/02/25HNorthern Iowa67-74
12/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-53
08/02/25AValparaiso74-56
05/02/25HDrake45-55
01/02/25AMissouri State56-77
30/01/25AEvansville74-78
25/01/25HBelmont77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLLWLW65%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%65%69%
Points / game80.782.378.7
Allowed / game78.378.977.5
Point differential+2.4+3.4+1.2
Avg total159.0161.2156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)71% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWLWW59%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%59%38%
Points / game72.569.975.9
Allowed / game69.664.576.4
Point differential+2.9+5.4-0.5
Avg total142.1134.4152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)75% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %13%0%31%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2926390%70.959.2+11.7
2 Bradley3124777%78.269.3+8.9
3 Belmont30201067%80.778.3+2.4
4 Northern Iowa31201165%73.967.3+6.6
5 Illinois State30171357%76.673.0+3.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%77.474.1+3.3
7 Murray State30151550%72.569.6+2.9
8 Indiana State31141745%79.979.3+0.6
9 Valparaiso30131743%75.775.1+0.6
10 Southern Illinois31131842%73.174.3-1.2
11 Evansville30111937%66.970.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont412970
Murray State223860
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