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Bendigo Braves W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 77-84
23-25 21-12 19-22 14-25
Position#18
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game72.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Bendigo Braves W v Keilor Thunder W
05 Apr 2025
BEND77
KEIL84
22 Jun 2024
BEND65
KEIL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo Braves WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Rockingham Flames W
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A16/08
NBL 1 W
Central Districts Lions W
#4
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A17/08
NBL 1 W
Waverley W
#1
L
49-97
49
97
-48
H18/08
NBL 1 W
Ballarat W
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
16-21
9-13
27-23
19-26
20-15
18-12
11-11
9-18
19-24
18-24
27-20
21-15
17-19
22-33
20-19
21-17
16-31
20-15
16-13
28-20
20-15
26-11
16-21
26-26
27-23
15-20
21-12
28-13
16-18
25-15
21-22
10-25
12-30
9-15
18-27
24-16
21-20
25-15
12-23
153.7Avg total
75.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.977.8153.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)80.077.4157.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)49.097.0146.0-48.00%
vs Similar (6)80.282.8163.0-2.733%
vs Weaker (23)92.675.4168.0+17.274%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
17-11
14-23
11-20
15-22
14-6
21-11
19-9
23-13
24-20
18-18
23-17
16-16
23-9
14-24
22-23
15-14
11-16
22-18
16-25
20-15
17-21
14-18
17-5
21-21
23-18
26-19
26-17
29-21
19-29
13-20
21-17
32-17
15-17
18-21
25-19
28-23
29-17
24-13
19-17
149.7Avg total
78.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.072.0167.0+23.0100%
Season at home (1)100.070.0170.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)90.074.0164.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.870.9149.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)87.273.0160.2+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.069.0141.0+3.050%
vs Similar (7)72.970.7143.6+2.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.365.2145.5+15.190%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
Bendigo Braves WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo Braves WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Rockingham Flames W
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A16/08
NBL 1 W
Central Districts Lions W
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/08
NBL 1 W
Waverley W
#1
L
22-55
22
55
-33
H18/08
NBL 1 W
Ballarat W
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
79.7Avg total
38.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.386.2+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.544.186.6-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)47.138.885.9+8.275%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.479.7-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)22.055.077.0-33.00%-
vs Similar (6)42.541.784.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker (23)46.640.687.1+6.070%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
76.0Avg total
40.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.635.275.8+5.366%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.135.980.0+8.386%-
Last 30 away (15)37.334.771.9+2.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.576.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.886.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.537.572.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (7)34.636.070.6-1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.334.878.0+8.575%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bendigo Braves W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
22/06/24Bendigo Braves W v Keilor Thunder W65-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ABallarat W82-74
18/08/24HWaverley W49-97
17/08/24ACentral Districts Lions W90-68
16/08/24ARockingham Flames W89-81
13/07/24AKilsyth W90-67
06/07/24ALaunceston W73-76
05/07/24AHobart Chargers W80-86
29/06/24HEltham W73-86
28/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W68-64
22/06/24HKeilor Thunder W65-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HMt. Gambier W100-70
29/03/25ADiamond Valley W90-74
10/08/24HWaverley W82-87
03/08/24HBallarat W96-75
20/07/24HDandenong Rangers W68-59
13/07/24AKnox W64-73
11/07/24HEltham W75-72
07/07/24ASandringham W88-68
05/07/24HDiamond Valley W69-48
29/06/24HDandenong Rangers W56-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.0100.090.0
Allowed / game72.070.074.0
Point differential+23.0+30.0+16.0
Avg total167.0170.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W220100%103.066.5+36.5
2 Dandenong Rangers W220100%98.064.5+33.5
3 Knox W110100%76.047.0+29.0
4 Keilor Thunder W220100%95.072.0+23.0
5 Waverley W110100%84.063.0+21.0
6 Bendigo Braves W110100%82.074.0+8.0
7 Ringwood W110100%82.075.0+7.0
8 Sandringham W330100%77.370.3+7.0
9 Melbourne Tigers W21150%82.077.5+4.5
10 Hobart Chargers W21150%75.573.0+2.5
11 Casey Cavaliers W21150%66.079.0-13.0
12 Eltham W1010%75.082.0-7.0
13 Launceston W1010%66.076.0-10.0
14 Frankston W1010%62.073.0-11.0
15 Ballarat W2020%67.588.0-20.5
16 Diamond Valley W2020%73.594.0-20.5
17 Nunawading W1010%63.084.0-21.0
18 Kilsyth W2020%61.583.0-21.5
19 Mt. Gambier W3030%67.396.0-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves W2321191477
Keilor Thunder W2512222584
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