Keilor Thunder W vs Diamond Valley W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jul 2024

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 69-48

15-22 14-6 21-11 19-9

Position#1

Record16-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game64.5

Keilor Thunder W 🏆

Diamond Valley W

Position#12

Record6-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game80.9

NBL1 South Women

Women2024

Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Diamond Valley W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Diamond Valley W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat W

20-0

+20

H04/05

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

69-64

A11/05

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

83-75

H18/05

NBL1 South Women

Nunawading W

#19

79-67

+12

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

94-59

+35

H25/05

NBL1 South Women

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

77-70 OT

A01/06

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

78-73

H07/06

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

84-78

A15/06

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo Braves W

79-65

+14

A22/06

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

56-83

-27

H29/06

NBL1 South Women

–

13-22

10-18

24-15

22-9

26-20

24-18

18-27

15-10

22-18

16-23

14-8

27-18

30-21

18-16

24-12

22-10

17-19

14-15

11-12

23-19

22-19

19-13

22-22

15-19

25-11

27-21

21-26

11-20

22-13

21-16

13-9

23-27

14-29

17-11

14-23

11-20

135.3Avg total

71.9Scored

63.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.7	64.5	141.2	+12.2	89%
Season at home (9)	78.2	60.9	139.1	+17.3	89%
Season away (9)	75.1	68.1	143.2	+7.0	89%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	63.4	135.3	+8.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	73.8	148.6	+1.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	66.5	75.7	142.2	-9.3	27%
vs Similar (4)	72.0	72.2	144.2	-0.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	78.4	63.3	141.7	+15.1	93%

This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Diamond Valley W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong Rangers W

64-76

-12

H18/05

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo Braves W

92-105

105

-13

A25/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

98-57

+41

A26/05

NBL1 South Women

Eltham W

75-84

-9

H01/06

NBL1 South Women

Knox W

59-88

-29

A07/06

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

72-85

-13

H15/06

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

70-85

-15

H16/06

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

75-69

H22/06

NBL1 South Women

Launceston W

#16

69-67

A28/06

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

64-76

-12

A29/06

NBL1 South Women

22-22

18-21

9-17

15-16

33-27

25-28

16-17

18-33

35-8

31-17

14-14

18-18

13-23

20-17

16-21

26-23

13-25

16-33

11-13

19-17

24-23

24-20

13-19

11-23

20-21

21-23

10-13

19-28

15-21

19-24

21-12

20-12

21-14

14-21

19-19

15-13

16-8

19-17

14-26

15-25

153.0Avg total

73.8Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.4	80.9	157.3	-4.6	33%
Season at home (9)	68.9	80.3	149.2	-11.4	11%
Season away (9)	83.9	81.6	165.4	+2.3	56%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	79.2	153.0	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	76.4	146.4	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	72.6	83.8	156.4	-11.2	17%
vs Similar (8)	85.1	79.5	164.6	+5.6	62%
vs Weaker (10)	77.3	76.6	153.9	+0.7	50%

This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Keilor Thunder WDiamond Valley W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	19.1	38.6	+0.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.9	16.6	39.6	+6.3	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.2	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	19.6	41.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	22.1	41.2	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.2	34.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.4	18.5	33.9	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.6	39.6	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	58%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	23.9	43.9	-3.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	30%	-

Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong Rangers W

23-40

-17

A11/05

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

50-38

+12

H18/05

NBL1 South Women

Nunawading W

#19

38-41

-3

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

48-37

+11

H25/05

NBL1 South Women

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

31-34

-3

A01/06

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

41-32

H07/06

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

52-32

+20

A15/06

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo Braves W

43-29

+14

A22/06

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

31-40

-9

H29/06

NBL1 South Women

75.6Avg total

39.7Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	36.8	74.2	+0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	36.8	76.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	36.8	72.4	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.7	35.9	75.6	+3.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	33.4	73.0	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.9	39.5	71.5	-7.6	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	33.0	38.0	71.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.0	34.3	77.3	+8.7	71%	-

This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Diamond Valley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong Rangers W

40-43

-3

H18/05

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo Braves W

58-55

A25/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

66-25

+41

A26/05

NBL1 South Women

Eltham W

33-40

-7

H01/06

NBL1 South Women

Knox W

29-58

-29

A07/06

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

48-43

H15/06

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

41-44

-3

H16/06

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

34-45

-11

H22/06

NBL1 South Women

Launceston W

#16

35-35

A28/06

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

35-25

+10

A29/06

NBL1 South Women

83.2Avg total

41.9Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	40.6	78.1	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	41.3	83.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.3	83.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.7	41.9	81.6	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.9	42.9	84.8	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.6	38.3	77.9	+1.3	40%	-

This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.8	38.2	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	55%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	15.8	36.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.3	16.4	35.6	+2.9	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.2	36.4	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.5	19.5	35.0	-4.0	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	17.1	31.4	-2.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.8	33.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.5	18.7	34.2	-3.2	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.2	20.5	37.7	-3.3	30%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	15.7	33.8	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	16.9	35.7	+1.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	17.5	35.2	+0.1	64%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.4	23.2	40.7	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	16.4	37.1	+4.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.2	34.4	71.6	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.5	33.5	72.0	+5.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	35.2	71.3	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.7	34.0	70.7	+2.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	39.4	72.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.5	36.2	70.7	-1.6	55%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	34.2	73.2	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.7	33.1	71.9	+5.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	38.8	75.4	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.4	40.0	74.4	-5.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	37.7	76.2	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.9	37.9	69.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	38.0	69.4	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	32.9	41.9	74.8	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.8	34.6	75.4	+6.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.7	38.3	76.0	-0.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keilor Thunder W wins

Diamond Valley W wins

Date	Game	Score
09/04/24	Diamond Valley W v Keilor Thunder W	53-72
24/06/23	Keilor Thunder W v Diamond Valley W	58-76
29/04/23	Diamond Valley W v Keilor Thunder W	94-64
23/07/22	Keilor Thunder W v Diamond Valley W	76-46

Keilor Thunder Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/06/24	H	Dandenong Rangers W	56-83
22/06/24	A	Bendigo Braves W	79-65
15/06/24	A	Ringwood W	84-78
07/06/24	H	Mt. Gambier W	78-73
01/06/24	A	Melbourne Tigers W	77-70 OT
25/05/24	H	Kilsyth W	94-59
19/05/24	A	Nunawading W	79-67
18/05/24	H	Hobart Chargers W	83-75
11/05/24	A	Dandenong Rangers W	69-64
04/05/24	H	Ballarat W	20-0

Diamond Valley Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/06/24	A	Hobart Chargers W	64-76
28/06/24	A	Launceston W	69-67
22/06/24	H	Ringwood W	75-69
16/06/24	H	Mt. Gambier W	70-85
15/06/24	H	Waverley W	72-85
07/06/24	A	Knox W	59-88
01/06/24	H	Eltham W	75-84
26/05/24	A	Ballarat W	98-57
25/05/24	A	Bendigo Braves W	92-105
18/05/24	H	Dandenong Rangers W	64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W

NBL1 South Women 2024

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	89%
Home	WWWWL	89%
Away	WWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	89%	89%	89%
Points / game	76.7	78.2	75.1
Allowed / game	64.5	60.9	68.1
Point differential	+12.2	+17.3	+7.0
Avg total	141.2	139.1	143.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	67%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Diamond Valley W

NBL1 South Women 2024

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	33%
Home	LLLLW	11%
Away	LWLWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	11%	56%
Points / game	76.4	68.9	83.9
Allowed / game	80.9	80.3	81.6
Point differential	-4.6	-11.4	+2.3
Avg total	157.3	149.2	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox W	19	17	2	89%	85.5	70.9	+14.6
2	Keilor Thunder W	18	16	2	89%	76.7	64.5	+12.2
3	Sandringham W	18	13	5	72%	76.6	70.3	+6.2
4	Dandenong Rangers W	19	13	6	68%	78.9	72.4	+6.5
5	Mt. Gambier W	19	12	7	63%	76.3	69.9	+6.4
6	Geelong W	18	11	7	61%	81.7	77.1	+4.6
7	Bendigo Braves W	19	11	8	58%	88.3	78.8	+9.4
8	Eltham W	19	11	8	58%	80.9	76.1	+4.8
9	Ballarat W	19	11	8	58%	71.7	76.1	-4.4
10	Waverley W	19	10	9	53%	74.8	74.8	+0.0
11	Frankston W	19	9	10	47%	74.1	74.8	-0.7
12	Ringwood W	21	9	12	43%	76.7	78.3	-1.6
13	Hobart Chargers W	19	7	12	37%	71.5	74.6	-3.1
14	Melbourne Tigers W	19	7	12	37%	76.2	79.9	-3.7
15	Diamond Valley W	18	6	12	33%	76.4	80.9	-4.6
16	Kilsyth W	19	5	14	26%	69.5	79.5	-10.0
17	Launceston W	19	4	15	21%	70.2	81.0	-10.8
18	Casey Cavaliers W	19	4	15	21%	74.2	85.5	-11.3
19	Nunawading W	20	4	16	20%	70.0	82.8	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keilor Thunder W	15	14	21	19	69
Diamond Valley W	22	6	11	9	48

← all games of the day

Keilor Thunder W vs Diamond Valley W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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