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Bendigo Braves W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 65-79
13-22 16-21 9-13 27-23
Position#8
Record10-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game79.3
Bendigo Braves W
Australia
vs
Keilor Thunder W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game63.3
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Bendigo Braves W v Keilor Thunder W
05 Apr 2025
BEND77
KEIL84
22 Jun 2024
BEND65
KEIL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo Braves WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#13
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H05/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
57-84
57
84
-27
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
105-92
105
92
+13
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A26/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
20-11
30-21
34-17
27-16
23-18
26-10
17-16
26-26
18-26
19-29
18-18
8-23
16-26
19-9
14-26
11-30
26-22
25-4
28-22
26-21
21-26
16-18
15-25
27-33
28-25
17-16
33-18
20-21
19-23
16-18
27-22
24-12
23-14
27-14
21-27
23-22
23-19
21-22
18-24
169.0Avg total
87.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.979.3171.2+12.662%
Season at home (9)91.681.1172.7+10.467%
Season away (7)92.477.0169.4+15.457%
Last 10 (10)87.581.5169.0+6.050%
Last 5 (5)89.084.0173.0+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.780.2160.8+0.550%
vs Weaker (24)93.875.0168.8+18.879%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
18-17
13-23
11-24
23-15
22-22
15-20
19-8
–
–
–
–
13-22
10-18
24-15
22-9
26-20
24-18
18-27
15-10
22-18
16-23
14-8
27-18
30-21
18-16
24-12
22-10
17-19
14-15
11-12
23-19
22-19
19-13
22-22
15-19
25-11
27-21
21-26
11-20
134.9Avg total
71.8Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.863.3141.1+14.594%
Season at home (8)81.058.1139.1+22.9100%
Season away (8)74.668.5143.1+6.188%
Last 10 (10)71.863.1134.9+8.790%
Last 5 (5)82.469.4151.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.976.3143.2-9.423%
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.570.5147.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (15)78.463.3141.7+15.193%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
Bendigo Braves WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo Braves WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
87.3Avg total
43.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.139.285.3+6.969%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.941.187.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (14)46.237.283.4+9.071%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.987.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.290.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.239.384.5+5.867%-
vs Weaker (23)46.339.285.5+7.170%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
75.9Avg total
39.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.437.675.0-0.141%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.977.7+2.057%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.372.4-2.127%-
Last 10 (9)39.936.075.9+3.956%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.277.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.740.573.2-7.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)29.041.570.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker (14)43.034.377.3+8.771%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bendigo Braves W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
No previous meetings.
Bendigo Braves Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24AKnox W85-87
01/06/24HBallarat W95-67
26/05/24ASandringham W82-84
25/05/24HDiamond Valley W105-92
19/05/24ADandenong Rangers W78-90
18/05/24HCasey Cavaliers W90-78
11/05/24HFrankston W57-84
05/05/24HMt. Gambier W81-99
04/05/24AWaverley W93-60
28/04/24HRingwood W109-74
Keilor Thunder Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24ARingwood W84-78
07/06/24HMt. Gambier W78-73
01/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W77-70 OT
25/05/24HKilsyth W94-59
19/05/24ANunawading W79-67
18/05/24HHobart Chargers W83-75
11/05/24ADandenong Rangers W69-64
04/05/24HBallarat W20-0
28/04/24HWaverley W79-65
26/04/24AMt. Gambier W55-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game91.991.692.4
Allowed / game79.381.177.0
Point differential+12.6+10.4+15.4
Avg total171.2172.7169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game77.881.074.6
Allowed / game63.358.168.5
Point differential+14.5+22.9+6.1
Avg total141.1139.1143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W1615194%77.863.3+14.5
2 Knox W1614288%83.270.2+12.9
3 Sandringham W1613381%76.868.9+7.9
4 Mt. Gambier W1712571%78.468.0+10.4
5 Bendigo Braves W1610662%91.979.3+12.6
6 Dandenong Rangers W1610662%78.374.8+3.5
7 Eltham W158753%79.575.8+3.7
8 Frankston W158753%73.371.9+1.5
9 Geelong W158753%79.878.5+1.3
10 Ringwood W179853%78.478.4+0.1
11 Ballarat W157847%68.977.8-8.9
12 Waverley W167944%73.475.6-2.1
13 Melbourne Tigers W167944%79.481.9-2.5
14 Hobart Chargers W1651131%71.675.6-4.0
15 Diamond Valley W1541127%77.883.0-5.2
16 Launceston W1541127%70.380.3-10.0
17 Casey Cavaliers W1641225%73.485.4-12.0
18 Kilsyth W1521313%68.981.8-12.9
19 Nunawading W1521313%68.382.4-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves W131692765
Keilor Thunder W2221132379
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