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Bendigo W vs Geelong Venom W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 62-55
18-18 22-12 9-12 13-13
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game74.0
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Geelong Venom W
Australia
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game80.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 2· Red Energy Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Bendigo W v Geelong Venom W
05 Dec 2025
BEND93
GEEL58
28 Oct 2025
BEND62
GEEL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong Venom W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
93avg 78
H19/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
65-59
65
59
+6
55avg 78
H24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
81-60
81
60
+21
70avg 78
A29/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
90avg 78
H02/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
61avg 78
A15/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
72avg 78
H23/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
91-74
91
74
+17
91avg 78
A27/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
61avg 78
H05/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
63-55
63
55
+8
58avg 78
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 78
H19/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
16-15
25-13
29-23
20-11
14-20
18-17
13-11
17-18
30-22
17-15
17-5
30-22
21-13
25-13
16-25
17-17
21-22
21-21
15-23
27-15
24-13
16-21
9-18
23-31
30-13
20-23
18-7
16-23
12-10
13-8
29-19
20-21
13-13
13-7
17-14
19-23
15-21
19-10
13-20
145.1Avg total
77.3Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.367.8145.1+9.580%
Last 5 (5)73.266.0139.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (8)78.269.9148.1+8.488%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.472.6158.0+12.986%
This opponent (Geelong Venom W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong Venom WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 70
H18/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
110-76
110
76
+34
no box
H25/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
8-22
22-16
25-21
16-25
32-13
32-22
30-16
174.0Avg total
93.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.580.5174.0+13.050%
Season at home (2)93.580.5174.0+13.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)93.580.5174.0+13.050%
Last 5 (2)93.580.5174.0+13.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)110.076.0186.0+34.0100%
vs Weaker (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +9.0+9.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +9.0+9.0
Bendigo WGeelong Venom W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H19/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A29/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H02/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H23/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/10
NBL W
77.5Avg total
41.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.637.982.5+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.737.381.0+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)45.638.584.1+7.179%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.577.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.676.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.636.677.2+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.638.084.7+8.681%-
This opponent (Geelong Venom W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong Venom WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H18/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/10
NBL W
82.0Avg total
39.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)39.043.082.0-4.050%-
Last 30 at home (2)39.043.082.0-4.050%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (2)39.043.082.0-4.050%-
Last 5 (2)39.043.082.0-4.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)30.048.078.0-18.00%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.6
45.4%
47.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
32.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.214.5
79.7%
73.3%14.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Geelong Venom Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong Venom W: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.0
53.5%
47.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.513.5
49.1%
32.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.015.0
68.2%
73.3%15.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
LWWWWLWWWW
Geelong Venom W
WL
#3
League position
#6
+13.2
Net rating
+20.6
102.2
Offensive rating
128.4
88.9
Defensive rating
107.8
47.9%
Effective FG%
62.3%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.2%
3-point %
49.1%
67.9%
Assist %
78.5%
80%
Form (last 10/2)
50%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 128.4Defence88.9 · 107.8Shooting47.9% · 62.3%3-point %34.2% · 49.1%Ball care16.4% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/2)80% · 50%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Geelong Venom W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bendigo W wins
0
Geelong Venom W wins
No previous meetings.
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HTownsville W66-74
09/03/25ATownsville W63-55
05/03/25HTownsville W70-60
27/02/25ASydney W91-74
23/02/25HSydney W76-67
15/02/25ACanberra Capitals W74-83
02/02/25HSouthside W92-73
29/01/25AGeelong United W81-60
24/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W65-59
19/01/25HGeelong United W95-73
Geelong Venom Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HAdelaide Lightning W110-76
18/10/25HSydney W77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Geelong Venom W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game93.593.5-
Allowed / game80.580.5-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W220100%89.568.0+21.5
2 Perth Lynx W220100%74.069.5+4.5
3 Geelong Venom W21150%93.580.5+13.0
4 Southside W21150%76.078.0-2.0
5 Canberra Capitals W21150%75.088.0-13.0
6 Sydney W31233%76.077.0-1.0
7 Bendigo W1010%66.074.0-8.0
8 Adelaide Lightning W2020%74.092.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W182291362
Geelong Venom W1812121355
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