PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bendigo W vs Geelong Venom W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 93-58
25-20 20-7 24-17 24-14
Position#3
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game68.3
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Geelong Venom W
Australia
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 8· Red Energy Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Bendigo W v Geelong Venom W
05 Dec 2025
BEND93
GEEL58
28 Oct 2025
BEND62
GEEL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong Venom W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
W
63-55
63
55
+8
58avg 73
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 73
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
58avg 73
H28/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
89avg 73
H02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
61avg 73
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
54avg 73
A16/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
77avg 73
A18/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
87-58
87
58
+29
83avg 73
H23/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
80-64
80
64
+16
69avg 73
A28/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
57avg 73
H30/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
13-13
13-7
17-14
19-23
15-21
19-10
13-20
18-18
22-12
9-12
13-13
23-18
17-18
30-21
18-18
28-18
16-19
11-21
18-13
19-21
16-17
15-28
14-13
25-19
20-17
22-15
15-23
16-20
21-13
23-10
27-15
26-13
16-19
13-24
25-8
19-19
24-27
19-11
9-8
140.6Avg total
73.6Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.868.3143.1+6.478%
Season at home (6)74.566.3140.8+8.283%
Season away (3)75.372.3147.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)73.667.0140.6+6.680%
Last 5 (5)76.868.0144.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.370.3142.7+2.033%
vs Similar (5)75.867.2143.0+8.6100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.770.7152.4+11.086%
This opponent (Geelong Venom W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong Venom WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 61
H18/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
110-76
110
76
+34
no box
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
55-62
55
62
-7
36avg 61
A28/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
64avg 61
H01/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
no box
H07/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
88-69
88
69
+19
83avg 61
H11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
66-54
66
54
+12
52avg 61
H14/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
38avg 61
A21/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
82avg 61
A26/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
8-22
22-16
25-21
16-25
32-13
32-22
30-16
18-18
12-22
12-9
13-13
15-20
22-20
20-18
19-19
15-25
12-20
24-17
10-24
23-25
15-19
26-14
24-11
20-21
14-9
15-17
17-7
24-27
22-25
21-13
17-19
19-15
24-24
19-22
19-20
158.3Avg total
80.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.078.3158.3+1.733%
Season at home (6)79.774.5154.2+5.250%
Season away (3)80.786.0166.7-5.30%
Last 10 (9)80.078.3158.3+1.733%
Last 5 (5)80.481.0161.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.269.6138.8-0.440%
vs Similar (2)101.587.5189.0+14.050%
vs Weaker (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
Bendigo WGeelong Venom W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H23/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A28/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/11
NBL W
75.9Avg total
39.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.379.6+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.836.878.5+5.071%-
Last 30 away (13)43.037.980.9+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.675.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.338.373.7-3.033%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.137.681.7+6.577%-
This opponent (Geelong Venom W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong Venom WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H18/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H01/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H07/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A21/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/11
NBL W
78.8Avg total
37.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)37.041.878.8-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.740.876.5-5.233%-
Last 30 away (3)39.743.783.3-4.033%-
Last 10 (9)37.041.878.8-4.833%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.239.873.0-6.620%-
vs Similar (2)47.045.092.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)36.543.580.0-7.050%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.1
45.1%
47.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
72.2%
73.3%11.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Geelong Venom Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong Venom W: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.420.8
46.8%
47.8%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
32.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.5
73.6%
73.3%11.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
WWWWLWWWLW
Geelong Venom W
LLWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#6
+9.5
Net rating
+11.1
96.8
Offensive rating
108.2
87.3
Defensive rating
97.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
47.8%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
33.2%
56.6%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/9)
33%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 108.2Defence87.3 · 97.1Shooting46.4% · 47.8%3-point %32.3% · 33.2%Ball care20.0% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.8% · 36.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/9)80% · 33%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Geelong Venom W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bendigo W wins
0
Geelong Venom W wins
DateGameScore
28/10/25Bendigo W v Geelong Venom W62-55
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HAdelaide Lightning W71-65
28/11/25ASydney W80-64
23/11/25HPerth Lynx W87-58
18/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W82-74
16/11/25APerth Lynx W64-79
08/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-71
02/11/25HSydney W88-75
28/10/25HGeelong Venom W62-55
19/10/25HTownsville W66-74
09/03/25ATownsville W63-55
Geelong Venom Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ASydney W94-97 OT
21/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W93-99 OT
14/11/25HSouthside W66-54
11/11/25HPerth Lynx W88-69
07/11/25HTownsville W61-86
01/11/25HPerth Lynx W76-77
28/10/25ABendigo W55-62
25/10/25HAdelaide Lightning W110-76
18/10/25HSydney W77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game74.874.575.3
Allowed / game68.366.372.3
Point differential+6.4+8.2+3.0
Avg total143.1140.8147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong Venom W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game80.079.780.7
Allowed / game78.374.586.0
Point differential+1.7+5.2-5.3
Avg total158.3154.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %22%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W98189%89.468.1+21.3
2 Bendigo W97278%74.868.3+6.4
3 Perth Lynx W96367%74.675.1-0.6
4 Southside W73443%75.377.7-2.4
5 Geelong Venom W93633%80.078.3+1.7
6 Adelaide Lightning W93633%75.684.4-8.9
7 Sydney W103730%74.083.4-9.4
8 Canberra Capitals W82625%71.880.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W2520242493
Geelong Venom W207171458
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.