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Bendigo W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 65-59
20-11 14-20 18-17 13-11
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game73.6
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#6
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game76.8
AustraliaNBL WRound 13· Red Energy Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W
19 Dec 2025
BEND75
ADEL67
30 Nov 2025
BEND71
ADEL65
24 Jan 2025
BEND65
ADEL59
02 Nov 2024
BEND84
ADEL70
10 Jan 2024
BEND96
ADEL68
15 Dec 2023
BEND81
ADEL77
10 Dec 2022
BEND84
ADEL75
24 Feb 2022
BEND77
ADEL84
25 Nov 2020
BEND83
ADEL89
01 Nov 2019
BEND67
ADEL54
10 Jan 2019
BEND81
ADEL92
03 Nov 2018
BEND70
ADEL52
27 Oct 2017
BEND66
ADEL79
27 Nov 2016
BEND69
ADEL51
08 Oct 2016
BEND77
ADEL63
14 Feb 2016
BEND78
ADEL92
11 Jan 2015
BEND75
ADEL64
06 Dec 2014
BEND81
ADEL55
30 Nov 2013
BEND78
ADEL65
11 Oct 2013
BEND65
ADEL59
24 Nov 2012
BEND68
ADEL62
04 Feb 2012
BEND87
ADEL97
05 Nov 2011
BEND72
ADEL81
18 Feb 2011
BEND84
ADEL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
64avg 81
A05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 81
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 81
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 81
A22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
95-67
95
67
+28
98avg 81
A27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 81
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
92-71
92
71
+21
89avg 81
A02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 81
H12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
96avg 81
H15/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
93avg 81
H19/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
15-21
15-18
25-13
28-16
24-16
13-29
21-19
16-22
22-12
14-17
16-20
20-25
26-20
11-25
31-21
24-13
28-20
25-14
18-20
15-20
22-14
26-18
13-13
31-24
25-17
26-12
10-18
28-21
17-13
24-14
11-14
23-30
22-23
20-17
30-16
25-22
16-15
25-13
29-23
157.9Avg total
84.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.873.6160.5+13.288%
Season at home (9)86.774.3161.0+12.389%
Season away (8)87.072.9159.9+14.188%
Last 10 (10)84.773.2157.9+11.580%
Last 5 (5)87.671.4159.0+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)78.878.0156.8+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.473.2161.6+15.389%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 65
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
59-69
59
69
-10
54avg 65
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 65
H15/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 65
H20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 65
A22/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
53avg 65
H27/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 65
H03/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
71avg 65
A05/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 65
A11/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
60-84
60
84
-24
40avg 65
A19/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
18-17
23-11
28-26
19-14
7-18
13-16
20-21
17-15
22-13
19-19
10-20
24-19
23-23
21-20
14-10
18-25
13-18
21-19
34-11
13-24
20-28
14-25
20-18
22-16
21-28
23-21
11-23
14-21
21-21
16-28
25-24
14-28
21-15
18-23
23-25
9-30
18-15
19-23
14-16
155.2Avg total
74.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.276.8148.9-4.631%
Season at home (7)74.076.7150.7-2.743%
Season away (9)70.876.8147.6-6.022%
Last 10 (10)74.880.4155.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)71.290.4161.6-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.477.4147.8-7.031%
vs Similar (13)76.277.2153.3-1.046%
vs Weaker (4)70.573.5144.0-3.025%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Bendigo WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H15/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H19/01
NBL W
82.2Avg total
44.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.139.184.2+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.439.484.8+6.069%-
Last 30 away (14)44.838.983.6+5.979%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.882.2+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)41.538.980.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.539.386.8+8.278%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H27/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A19/01
NBL W
76.7Avg total
36.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.475.5-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.338.678.9+1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)34.638.272.8-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)36.240.576.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.279.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.640.278.8-1.631%-
vs Similar (13)36.836.973.7-0.246%-
vs Weaker (4)33.237.070.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.2
49.5%
46.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.6
37.2%
32.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.812.3
83.1%
75.1%12.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.119.8
45.9%
46.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
75.1%11.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
WWWWWWLLWW
Adelaide Lightning W
LLLLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#6
+15.6
Net rating
-7.1
109.0
Offensive rating
90.9
93.4
Defensive rating
98.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
45.7%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.2%
3-point %
30.1%
66.6%
Assist %
70.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 90.9Defence93.4 · 98.1Shooting52.1% · 45.7%3-point %37.2% · 30.1%Ball care15.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.0% · 26.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bendigo W wins
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W67-95
02/11/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-70
10/01/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W96-68
15/12/23Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W81-77
02/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W65-70 OT
14/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W68-86
28/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W66-78
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
05/02/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W62-74
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HGeelong United W95-73
15/01/25HPerth Lynx W95-86
12/01/25HSydney W80-62
02/01/25ASydney W92-71
31/12/24ATownsville W76-65
27/12/24AAdelaide Lightning W95-67
22/12/24ASouthside W88-91
19/12/24HPerth Lynx W68-71
14/12/24HTownsville W86-80
05/12/24APerth Lynx W72-66
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ASydney W60-84
11/01/25ACanberra Capitals W76-91
05/01/25APerth Lynx W76-94
03/01/25HCanberra Capitals W77-88
27/12/24HBendigo W67-95
22/12/24ASydney W86-73
20/12/24HSouthside W82-72
15/12/24HCanberra Capitals W68-67
08/12/24AGeelong United W59-69
06/12/24ASouthside W97-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%89%88%
Points / game86.886.787.0
Allowed / game73.674.372.9
Point differential+13.2+12.3+14.1
Avg total160.5161.0159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%56%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%43%22%
Points / game72.274.070.8
Allowed / game76.876.776.8
Point differential-4.6-2.7-6.0
Avg total148.9150.7147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1715288%86.873.6+13.2
2 Perth Lynx W1713476%86.378.6+7.6
3 Townsville W1611569%80.072.0+8.0
4 Sydney W1661038%77.881.9-4.1
5 Geelong United W1661038%72.681.6-9.1
6 Adelaide Lightning W1651131%72.276.8-4.6
7 Canberra Capitals W1651131%77.285.6-8.4
8 Southside W1641225%80.484.3-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W2014181365
Adelaide Lightning W1120171159
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