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FC Porto vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 93-86
16-26 24-19 32-27 21-14
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game71.0
PortugalLPBRound 2· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v Benfica
11 Oct 2026
POR93
BEN86
14 Jun 2026
POR75
BEN71
12 Jun 2026
POR87
BEN63
21 Mar 2026
POR88
BEN72
15 Jun 2025
POR71
BEN93
13 Jun 2025
POR82
BEN75
22 Mar 2025
POR94
BEN84
15 Feb 2025
POR103
BEN89
07 Jun 2024
POR62
BEN73
05 Jun 2024
POR66
BEN89
05 May 2024
POR66
BEN72
21 Oct 2023
POR79
BEN62
08 Apr 2023
POR92
BEN89
05 Nov 2022
POR105
BEN112
11 Jun 2022
POR63
BEN91
09 Jun 2022
POR65
BEN47
23 Apr 2022
POR65
BEN60
31 Oct 2021
POR81
BEN71
28 Feb 2021
POR79
BEN87
06 Feb 2021
POR80
BEN76
07 Oct 2020
POR81
BEN74
26 Oct 2019
POR87
BEN79
31 May 2019
POR v BEN
upcoming
05 May 2019
POR73
BEN76
26 Jan 2019
POR96
BEN78
03 Jun 2018
POR91
BEN74
01 Jun 2018
POR90
BEN96
22 Apr 2018
POR98
BEN85
13 Jan 2018
POR89
BEN81
04 Jun 2017
POR81
BEN83
02 Jun 2017
POR70
BEN73
11 Mar 2017
POR85
BEN74
15 Oct 2016
POR74
BEN76
28 May 2016
POR93
BEN85
27 May 2016
POR98
BEN89
13 Mar 2016
POR97
BEN94
03 Jan 2016
POR81
BEN62
23 May 2012
POR53
BEN56
13 May 2012
POR80
BEN82
12 May 2012
POR77
BEN71
24 Mar 2012
POR67
BEN76
22 May 2011
POR86
BEN76
18 May 2011
POR91
BEN79
12 May 2011
POR95
BEN69
10 May 2011
POR93
BEN60
13 Nov 2010
POR91
BEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
72avg 79
A23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
58avg 79
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 79
H29/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
93avg 79
H31/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
56avg 79
A07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
no box
A09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
87-63
87
63
+24
91avg 79
H12/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
75-71
75
71
+4
63avg 79
H14/06
LPB
CA Queluz
#7
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 79
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 79
A07/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-19
17-18
18-13
20-30
20-27
14-14
19-17
21-20
27-21
21-19
17-16
30-14
27-33
19-28
18-11
12-23
15-23
19-28
27-15
31-24
24-31
19-22
20-17
27-13
20-22
17-14
23-14
18-17
19-18
18-22
20-14
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
166.7Avg total
85.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)110.093.0203.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)110.093.0203.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.581.2166.7+4.370%
Last 5 (5)89.680.6170.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.081.0162.0+0.057%
vs Similar (5)83.279.2162.4+4.080%
vs Weaker (17)91.479.8171.2+11.576%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-61
86
61
+25
90avg 88
H23/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
76avg 88
A28/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 88
H07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 88
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 88
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 88
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 88
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 88
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 88
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
24-14
19-16
26-13
15-23
23-23
25-16
23-16
23-12
23-15
28-19
15-27
24-31
31-24
22-19
17-20
13-27
22-20
14-17
14-23
17-18
18-19
22-18
14-20
25-17
20-21
17-17
25-23
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
19-19
19-22
19-13
27-17
19-16
19-20
27-14
26-31
164.7Avg total
84.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.071.0155.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)84.071.0155.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.380.4164.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)84.280.6164.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.087.0150.0-24.00%
vs Similar (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)93.377.6170.9+15.781%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
FC PortoBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H31/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/06
LPB
CA Queluz
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
88.4Avg total
44.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.687.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.137.985.0+9.292%-
Last 30 away (17)44.844.489.1+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.188.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.443.081.4-4.629%-
vs Similar (5)46.645.291.8+1.460%-
vs Weaker (17)49.139.688.8+9.588%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.0Avg total
42.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.839.085.8+7.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.838.887.6+10.182%-
Last 30 away (13)44.139.383.4+4.854%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.883.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.238.886.0+8.369%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
51.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
31.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.9
66.5%
71.1%11.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.6
53.6%
51.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
31.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
71.1%16.9
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LWWWWLWWLW
Benfica
WWLWLLLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+6.8
Net rating
+7.1
96.4
Offensive rating
93.3
89.6
Defensive rating
86.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
33.8%
63.1%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 93.3Defence89.6 · 86.2Shooting53.4% · 52.5%3-point %35.1% · 33.8%Ball care15.0% · 17.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FC Porto wins
5
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
14/06/26FC Porto v Benfica75-71
12/06/26FC Porto v Benfica87-63
09/06/26Benfica v FC Porto98-102 OT
07/06/26Benfica v FC Porto89-73
21/03/26FC Porto v Benfica88-72
21/12/25Benfica v FC Porto91-65
15/11/25Benfica v FC Porto109-80
15/06/25FC Porto v Benfica71-93
13/06/25FC Porto v Benfica82-75
10/06/25Benfica v FC Porto89-81
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
14/06/26HBenfica75-71
12/06/26HBenfica87-63
09/06/26ABenfica102-98 OT
07/06/26ABenfica73-89
31/05/26HSporting CP94-86
29/05/26HSporting CP86-76
25/05/26ASporting CP73-88
23/05/26ASporting CP81-70
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26ABakken Bears91-81
03/10/26HSporting CP84-71
17/09/26HVechta88-98
15/09/26HGeneva Lions87-78
14/06/26AFC Porto71-75
12/06/26AFC Porto63-87
09/06/26HFC Porto98-102 OT
07/06/26HFC Porto89-73
28/05/26AOliveirense86-78
23/05/26HOliveirense86-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game110.0-110.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total203.0-203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Benfica
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%110.093.0+17.0
2 Ovarense220100%91.577.0+14.5
3 Benfica110100%84.071.0+13.0
4 CD Povoa220100%78.566.5+12.0
5 Oliveirense110100%91.082.0+9.0
6 Sporting CP21150%79.572.0+7.5
7 Vitoria21150%77.082.5-5.5
8 CAB Madeira2020%73.578.0-4.5
9 Portimonense1010%82.091.0-9.0
10 Braga1010%83.096.0-13.0
11 CA Queluz1010%93.0110.0-17.0
12 Esgueira2020%62.086.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1624322193
Benfica2619271486
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