Benfica vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 93-74

33-12 15-20 18-23 27-19

Position#1

Record4-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game66.8

Benfica 🏆

Illiabum

Position#8

Record4-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game70.4

LPBRound 5

Other2016-17

Meetings · Benfica v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

85-93

-8

A28/05

LPB

Varese

#38

72-75

-3

H27/09

Champions League

Varese

#38

72-70

A29/09

Champions League

Vitoria

85-64

+21

H12/10

LPB

FC Porto

76-74

A15/10

LPB

Alba Fehervar

#12

77-74 OT

H19/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

87-69

+18

H22/10

LPB

Chalon/Saone

#13

76-90

-14

A25/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Maia

#12

66-60

A29/10

LPB

Basic-Fit Brussels

#35

79-74

A02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

25-22

14-23

19-21

27-27

28-25

13-16

14-13

17-21

20-23

19-16

15-14

18-17

23-14

19-10

24-22

19-18

20-15

23-24

15-23

18-12

13-23

21-11

14-21

20-13

22-11

22-19

26-23

17-16

21-20

18-21

17-24

20-25

15-11

12-16

20-13

19-20

15-12

17-21

22-20

25-21

151.8Avg total

77.5Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.5	66.8	145.2	+11.8	100%
Season at home (2)	86.0	66.5	152.5	+19.5	100%
Season away (2)	71.0	67.0	138.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	74.3	151.8	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	73.4	150.4	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.0	78.0	155.0	-1.0	75%
vs Similar (6)	83.2	88.3	171.5	-5.2	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	83.4	70.6	154.0	+12.8	75%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

62-72

-10

A07/03

LPB

Sampaense

#11

91-84

H14/03

LPB

Maia

65-73

-8

A04/04

LPB

Barcelos

70-75

-5

H11/04

LPB

Ovarense

61-83

-22

A18/04

LPB

Ovarense

72-56

+16

H12/10

LPB

Maia

#12

89-86

A15/10

LPB

Oliveirense

67-75

-8

A22/10

LPB

Electrico FC

91-62

+29

H29/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

87-73

+14

A02/11

LPB

–

20-16

14-18

14-10

17-29

10-16

22-18

23-17

15-24

11-15

13-21

13-34

24-13

16-18

21-11

16-12

19-15

26-26

14-25

22-17

27-18

17-16

19-15

11-18

20-26

21-11

27-16

17-16

26-19

23-23

22-15

18-19

24-16

149.4Avg total

75.5Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.2	70.4	151.6	+10.8	80%
Season at home (2)	81.5	59.0	140.5	+22.5	100%
Season away (3)	81.0	78.0	159.0	+3.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	73.9	149.4	+1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	70.4	151.6	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	68.3	78.9	147.2	-10.7	11%
vs Similar (10)	79.9	80.3	160.2	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	79.5	167.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	17.5	34.8	-0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.9	19.3	37.3	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.2	18.4	34.7	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	24.5	49.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.1	20.1	37.1	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.3	37.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.4	37.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.6	21.1	36.8	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	18.2	37.7	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

39-45

-6

A28/05

LPB

Varese

#38

41-41

H27/09

Champions League

Varese

#38

39-39

A29/09

Champions League

Vitoria

42-24

+18

H12/10

LPB

FC Porto

43-39

A15/10

LPB

Alba Fehervar

#12

34-34

H19/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

44-30

+14

H22/10

LPB

Chalon/Saone

#13

39-41

-2

A25/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Maia

#12

27-27

A29/10

LPB

Basic-Fit Brussels

#35

32-33

-1

A02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

73.3Avg total

38.0Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.6	77.5	+2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	36.1	76.3	+4.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	39.4	78.8	+0.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	35.3	73.3	+2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	33.0	68.2	+2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	42.3	82.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.5	36.4	76.8	+4.1	55%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

34-34

A04/04

LPB

Barcelos

32-34

-2

H11/04

LPB

Ovarense

24-36

-12

A18/04

LPB

Ovarense

37-29

H12/10

LPB

Maia

#12

40-51

-11

A15/10

LPB

Oliveirense

36-31

A22/10

LPB

Electrico FC

48-27

+21

H29/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

45-38

A02/11

LPB

72.0Avg total

37.0Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	35.0	39.4	74.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.6	36.7	72.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	41.6	76.1	-7.1	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	31.9	39.6	71.4	-7.7	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.9	38.0	76.9	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	44.5	87.0	-2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.2	38.2	+1.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.6	26%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	20.9	36.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.8	17.9	34.6	-1.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.4	33.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.3	20.3	36.6	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	17.8	38.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.5	24.8	48.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	17.0	42.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.2	77.2	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	33.9	74.4	+6.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	38.9	80.4	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	39.8	77.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.5	46.0	89.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.9	32.6	73.5	+8.2	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.1	36.9	73.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.2	37.9	76.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.4	39.1	74.5	-3.6	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	35.0	80.5	+10.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/15	Illiabum v Benfica	69-96
08/11/14	Benfica v Illiabum	90-65
10/04/11	Benfica v Illiabum	95-78
09/01/11	Illiabum v Benfica	63-62

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/16	A	Basic-Fit Brussels	79-74
29/10/16	A	Maia	66-60
25/10/16	A	Chalon/Saone	76-90
22/10/16	H	Ovarense	87-69
19/10/16	H	Alba Fehervar	77-74 OT
15/10/16	A	FC Porto	76-74
12/10/16	H	Vitoria	85-64
29/09/16	A	Varese	72-70
27/09/16	H	Varese	72-75
28/05/16	A	FC Porto	85-93

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/16	A	Sampaense	87-73
29/10/16	H	Electrico FC	91-62
22/10/16	A	Oliveirense	67-75
15/10/16	A	Maia	89-86
12/10/16	H	Ovarense	72-56
18/04/15	A	Ovarense	61-83
11/04/15	H	Barcelos	70-75
04/04/15	A	Maia	65-73
14/03/15	H	Sampaense	91-84
07/03/15	A	Lusitania	62-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	78.5	86.0	71.0
Allowed / game	66.8	66.5	67.0
Point differential	+11.8	+19.5	+4.0
Avg total	145.2	152.5	138.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illiabum

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	100%	67%
Points / game	81.2	81.5	81.0
Allowed / game	70.4	59.0	78.0
Point differential	+10.8	+22.5	+3.0
Avg total	151.6	140.5	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	4	4	0	100%	78.5	66.8	+11.8
2	Illiabum	5	4	1	80%	81.2	70.4	+10.8
3	FC Porto	4	3	1	75%	94.5	68.2	+26.2
4	Oliveirense	4	3	1	75%	63.5	54.8	+8.8
5	Galitos	4	3	1	75%	77.5	72.0	+5.5
6	CAB Madeira	4	2	2	50%	69.2	64.0	+5.2
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	50%	75.8	81.2	-5.5
8	Maia	4	1	3	25%	75.0	78.0	-3.0
9	Lusitania	4	1	3	25%	70.8	75.0	-4.2
10	Ovarense	4	1	3	25%	67.5	75.8	-8.2
11	Electrico FC	4	1	3	25%	71.8	87.5	-15.8
12	Sampaense	5	0	5	0%	69.0	96.4	-27.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	33	15	18	27	93
Illiabum	12	20	23	19	74

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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