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Benfica vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Sep 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-75
28-25 13-16 14-13 17-21
Position#25
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#38
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#7
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A30/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
97-62
97
62
+35
H07/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H08/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
89-59
89
59
+30
A14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A15/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H18/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H22/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A27/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A28/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-14
18-11
18-17
19-17
22-18
27-12
29-15
11-20
17-19
25-24
16-8
28-14
12-22
27-9
22-14
19-20
21-24
18-8
16-24
19-19
10-13
13-20
22-12
29-13
18-19
10-17
15-29
18-23
14-19
30-26
27-16
24-33
25-19
18-22
22-24
25-22
14-23
19-21
27-27
159.9Avg total
83.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.476.5159.9+6.950%
Last 5 (5)84.287.0171.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.187.3167.4-7.114%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.070.6156.6+15.383%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A26/03
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H03/04
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#4
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H06/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H24/04
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#2
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A04/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
15-25
17-19
20-16
24-21
18-25
12-26
28-21
20-19
25-16
26-18
20-25
29-21
26-19
29-24
21-29
21-16
15-15
19-18
24-19
13-21
28-20
13-14
25-15
18-20
26-23
23-12
10-14
31-25
17-28
22-11
21-18
16-15
15-10
16-13
15-28
23-21
16-18
14-29
26-21
161.3Avg total
81.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.679.7161.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.2152.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.879.6152.4-6.938%
vs Similar (20)80.277.3157.4+2.965%
vs Weaker (2)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
BenficaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A30/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H08/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A15/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H18/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A27/05
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/05
LPB
78.4Avg total
39.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.577.6+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.335.476.8+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.937.878.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.178.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)38.341.379.6-3.014%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.035.177.0+6.974%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A26/03
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H03/04
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H06/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/04
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/05
Lega A
82.2Avg total
41.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.377.2+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.437.678.1+2.875%-
Last 30 away (14)37.339.076.3-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.782.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.280.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.241.976.1-7.638%-
vs Similar (20)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
vs Weaker (2)38.030.568.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/16AFC Porto85-93
27/05/16AFC Porto89-98
22/05/16HFC Porto89-84
21/05/16HFC Porto72-78
18/05/16HOliveirense86-82 OT
15/05/16AOliveirense74-76
14/05/16AOliveirense89-59
08/05/16HOliveirense69-71
07/05/16HOliveirense97-62
30/04/16ALusitania84-62
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/16ACantu79-89
01/05/16HFrankfurt62-66
29/04/16HChalon/Saone91-82
24/04/16HReggiana77-69
16/04/16ACremona79-70
10/04/16HVenezia79-68
06/04/16HAntwerp Giants105-93
03/04/16HPistoia91-78
29/03/16AAntwerp Giants82-93
26/03/16AAvellino71-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Champions League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kataja110100%97.058.0+39.0
2 Cluj Napoca110100%78.050.0+28.0
3 Minsk110100%72.058.0+14.0
4 CSM Oradea110100%71.064.0+7.0
5 Igokea110100%71.069.0+2.0
6 Donar Groningen1010%76.076.0+0.0
7 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.076.0+0.0
8 Mornar Bar1010%69.071.0-2.0
9 BC Prievidza1010%64.071.0-7.0
10 Rilski Sportist1010%58.072.0-14.0
11 AEK Larnaca1010%50.078.0-28.0
12 Sodertalje1010%58.097.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2813141772
Varese2516132175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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