Benfica vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 98-75

18-27 28-12 24-12 28-24

Position#2

Record19-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game75.4

Benfica 🏆

Illiabum

Position#8

Record8-13

FormWLWLW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game82.3

LPBRound 22

Other2018-19

Meetings · Benfica v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Esgueira

112-66

112

+46

H05/01

LPB

Lusitania

88-76

+12

A12/01

LPB

Vitoria

#10

83-81

H19/01

LPB

Sampaense

#16

99-65

+34

H20/01

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

78-96

-18

A26/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

105-91

105

+14

H02/02

LPB

Oliveirense

82-92

-10

A16/02

LPB

Imortal

#12

88-80

H01/03

LPB

Galitos

81-77

A03/03

LPB

Ovarense

70-55 OT

+15

A08/03

LPB

27-20

20-14

31-11

34-21

27-13

18-23

21-25

22-15

23-26

20-9

26-21

14-25

26-19

20-20

29-10

24-16

19-34

20-22

19-31

20-9

29-19

32-21

25-23

19-28

18-31

25-17

23-27

16-17

26-14

14-22

27-22

21-22

13-20

19-17

19-19

30-21

13-8

5-6

18-15

15-22

166.5Avg total

88.6Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	88.7	75.4	164.1	+13.3	90%
Season at home (10)	94.7	76.3	171.0	+18.4	100%
Season away (11)	83.3	74.5	157.8	+8.7	82%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	77.9	166.5	+10.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	79.0	164.2	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.0	105.5	184.5	-26.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	83.0	87.0	170.0	-4.0	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.8	74.3	164.1	+15.5	95%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

88-69

+19

H06/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

69-72

-3

A12/01

LPB

Imortal

#12

86-76

+10

H19/01

LPB

Barreirense

70-84

-14

A20/01

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

92-85

A27/01

LPB

Terceira

#11

86-84

H02/02

LPB

Lusitania

86-94 OT

-8

A16/02

LPB

FC Porto

90-76

+14

H02/03

LPB

Oliveirense

66-94

-28

A05/03

LPB

Galitos

89-73

+16

H08/03

LPB

29-16

17-17

18-15

24-21

14-18

23-18

18-15

14-21

29-16

21-20

13-22

23-18

21-14

14-21

13-20

22-29

24-24

14-13

21-27

33-21

27-11

21-22

21-27

17-24

11-25

19-11

19-21

27-19

31-19

16-25

17-20

26-12

21-31

14-22

24-21

7-20

29-26

17-21

24-10

19-16

162.9Avg total

82.2Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	79.1	82.3	161.4	-3.1	38%
Season at home (11)	82.0	78.2	160.2	+3.8	64%
Season away (10)	76.0	86.8	162.8	-10.8	10%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	80.7	162.9	+1.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	84.2	167.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	74.4	88.5	162.9	-14.1	14%
vs Similar (12)	81.3	81.6	162.9	-0.2	42%
vs Weaker (2)	82.0	83.0	165.0	-1.0	50%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	22.7	39.4	-6.0	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.5	41.7	-5.2	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.0	43.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.4	24.1	44.6	-3.7	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	21.8	41.1	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	16.5	40.5	+7.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	31.5	46.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.4	21.1	36.6	-5.7	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.6	19.8	39.3	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Esgueira

47-34

+13

H05/01

LPB

Lusitania

45-36

A12/01

LPB

Vitoria

#10

43-35

H19/01

LPB

Sampaense

#16

46-39

H20/01

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

39-56

-17

A26/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

61-40

+21

H02/02

LPB

Oliveirense

43-48

-5

A16/02

LPB

Imortal

#12

40-36

H01/03

LPB

Galitos

32-37

-5

A03/03

LPB

Ovarense

18-14

A08/03

LPB

78.9Avg total

41.4Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.1	80.9	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	40.1	85.3	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	38.1	76.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.5	78.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.0	73.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	56.5	93.5	-19.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	42.7	81.9	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.0	36.0	79.1	+7.0	75%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

46-33

+13

H06/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

37-36

A12/01

LPB

Imortal

#12

50-36

+14

H19/01

LPB

Barreirense

35-35

A20/01

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

38-37

A27/01

LPB

Terceira

#11

48-33

+15

H02/02

LPB

Lusitania

30-36

-6

A16/02

LPB

FC Porto

47-44

H02/03

LPB

Oliveirense

35-53

-18

A05/03

LPB

Galitos

46-47

-1

H08/03

LPB

80.2Avg total

41.2Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	41.2	80.2	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	44.7	81.0	-8.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.9	45.3	81.1	-9.4	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	37.5	80.5	+5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.5	42.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.8	19.3	44.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.2	19.4	42.6	+3.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.1	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	27.5	46.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	18.8	41.3	+3.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.2	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.3	42.5	-0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.3	41.9	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	57%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	39.3	84.3	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.4	38.9	85.3	+7.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	39.8	83.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	40.0	85.3	+5.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.2	85.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	49.0	91.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.8	38.1	83.9	+7.7	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.5	81.3	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	40.8	80.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	42.1	81.9	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.9	79.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.6	43.2	81.8	-4.6	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.7	38.5	80.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	45.5	84.5	-6.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/18	Illiabum v Benfica	64-71
15/04/18	Benfica v Illiabum	100-58
23/03/18	Illiabum v Benfica	86-101
10/03/18	Benfica v Illiabum	104-95
13/12/17	Illiabum v Benfica	67-80
29/04/17	Benfica v Illiabum	106-68
01/04/17	Illiabum v Benfica	79-76
22/01/17	Illiabum v Benfica	85-71
05/11/16	Benfica v Illiabum	93-74
07/02/15	Illiabum v Benfica	69-96

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/19	A	Ovarense	70-55 OT
03/03/19	A	Galitos	81-77
01/03/19	H	Imortal	88-80
16/02/19	A	Oliveirense	82-92
02/02/19	H	CAB Madeira	105-91
26/01/19	A	FC Porto	78-96
20/01/19	H	Sampaense	99-65
19/01/19	H	Vitoria	83-81
12/01/19	A	Lusitania	88-76
05/01/19	H	Esgueira	112-66

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/19	H	Galitos	89-73
05/03/19	A	Oliveirense	66-94
02/03/19	H	FC Porto	90-76
16/02/19	A	Lusitania	86-94 OT
02/02/19	H	Terceira	86-84
27/01/19	A	Ovarense	92-85
20/01/19	A	Barreirense	70-84
19/01/19	H	Imortal	86-76
12/01/19	A	CAB Madeira	69-72
06/01/19	H	Vitoria	88-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	90%	100%	82%
Points / game	88.7	94.7	83.3
Allowed / game	75.4	76.3	74.5
Point differential	+13.3	+18.4	+8.7
Avg total	164.1	171.0	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	60%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Illiabum

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	38%
Home	WWWWW	64%
Away	LLWLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	38%	64%	10%
Points / game	79.1	82.0	76.0
Allowed / game	82.3	78.2	86.8
Point differential	-3.1	+3.8	-10.8
Avg total	161.4	160.2	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	21	20	1	95%	88.2	72.0	+16.1
2	Benfica	21	19	2	90%	88.7	75.4	+13.3
3	FC Porto	21	15	6	71%	89.1	81.3	+7.8
4	Ovarense	21	12	9	57%	78.9	76.6	+2.2
5	Lusitania	21	10	11	48%	80.9	82.7	-1.9
6	CAB Madeira	21	9	12	43%	78.9	80.4	-1.5
7	Terceira	21	9	12	43%	78.6	83.2	-4.6
8	Illiabum	21	8	13	38%	79.1	82.3	-3.1
9	Vitoria	21	8	13	38%	80.0	83.6	-3.6
10	Esgueira	21	8	13	38%	78.9	84.8	-6.0
11	Galitos	21	5	16	24%	77.8	86.0	-8.2
12	Imortal	21	3	18	14%	75.7	86.4	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	18	28	24	28	98
Illiabum	27	12	12	24	75

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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