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BK Ogre vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-87
24-19 19-22 13-22 9-24
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2025
Meetings · BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli
18 Dec 2026
BK O v RZE
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
BK O65
RZE87
22 Jan 2025
BK O76
RZE72
29 Dec 2023
BK O75
RZE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 76
H16/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
70avg 76
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
93avg 76
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 76
A25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 76
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
93avg 76
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 76
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
63avg 76
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
88avg 76
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
70-71
70
71
-1
61avg 76
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
14-17
18-23
32-32
21-34
34-20
23-26
7-17
21-21
30-21
29-25
18-24
21-25
21-25
26-27
12-14
18-23
10-21
23-23
14-19
17-26
36-20
22-19
17-29
31-26
20-12
24-15
22-18
18-14
17-23
17-14
19-9
29-28
17-21
18-9
26-16
15-12
21-23
18-14
16-22
165.8Avg total
82.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.876.0156.8+4.850%
Season at home (3)77.775.0152.7+2.733%
Season away (3)84.077.0161.0+7.067%
Last 10 (10)82.683.2165.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)84.074.0158.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.687.4166.0-8.820%
vs Similar (9)79.673.3152.9+6.267%
vs Weaker (10)86.474.5160.9+11.970%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
109-68
109
68
+41
107avg 80
A24/05
LBL
Dziki Warszawa
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
87avg 80
A29/09
ENBL
Ventspils
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
67avg 80
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 80
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
100-72
100
72
+28
94avg 80
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Peja
#26
W
83-72
83
72
+11
72avg 80
A14/10
ENBL
Keila KK
#12
W
108-73
108
73
+35
110avg 80
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
109-71
109
71
+38
110avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
59avg 80
H29/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
W
97-88
97
88
+9
87avg 80
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
24-23
28-21
29-8
17-21
29-32
29-19
18-19
17-24
21-29
22-22
21-15
30-20
18-24
19-18
16-14
32-16
29-19
19-22
20-15
17-20
30-21
15-15
21-16
23-27
27-18
26-15
32-13
35-15
23-24
26-23
25-9
17-27
20-12
20-24
12-15
30-21
27-22
20-21
20-24
171.1Avg total
93.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.378.3174.7+18.083%
Season at home (3)99.378.0177.3+21.367%
Season away (3)93.378.7172.0+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.277.9171.1+15.380%
Last 5 (5)93.276.4169.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.579.8153.2-6.225%
vs Similar (7)83.686.7170.3-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.173.4163.5+16.784%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +6.6+6.6
BK OgreRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H16/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.2Avg total
42.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.782.7+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.581.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)44.039.983.9+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.786.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.085.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.142.882.9-2.760%-
vs Similar (9)42.138.080.1+4.156%-
vs Weaker (10)44.639.083.6+5.660%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A24/05
LBL
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A29/09
ENBL
Ventspils
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Peja
#26
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/10
ENBL
Keila KK
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H29/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
92.5Avg total
49.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.985.5+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.586.5+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)45.139.384.4+5.760%-
Last 10 (10)49.443.192.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.841.491.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.543.581.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)46.944.191.0+2.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.239.284.4+6.179%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
53.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
69.8%13.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.0
55.3%
53.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.1
36.4%
32.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.519.4
70.5%
69.8%19.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWWLLLWLL
Rigas Zelli
WLWWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#4
+5.6
Net rating
+14.3
108.3
Offensive rating
116.1
102.7
Defensive rating
101.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
37.4%
3-point %
36.4%
56.8%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 116.1Defence102.7 · 101.8Shooting53.4% · 55.0%3-point %37.4% · 36.4%Ball care18.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 37.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Ogre wins
2
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli76-72
26/10/24Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre88-71
27/02/24Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre75-83
29/12/23BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli75-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HVentspils70-71
25/10/25AKeila KK90-74
18/10/25HParnu71-60
10/10/25AKeila Coolbet97-71
04/10/25HVEF Riga92-94
30/09/25AValmiera Glass Via65-86
25/04/25AVentspils80-91
22/04/25HVentspils98-91
19/04/25AVentspils85-97
16/04/25HVentspils78-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AVEF Riga97-88
29/10/25HIraklis69-78
24/10/25HBK Liepaja109-71
18/10/25HKeila KK108-73
14/10/25APeja83-72
11/10/25ABC Kalev/Cramo100-72
08/10/25AParnu83-76
04/10/25HVentspils81-90
29/09/25ADziki Warszawa93-91
24/05/25AValmiera Glass Via109-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game80.877.784.0
Allowed / game76.075.077.0
Point differential+4.8+2.7+7.0
Avg total156.8152.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game96.399.393.3
Allowed / game78.378.078.7
Point differential+18.0+21.3+14.7
Avg total174.7177.3172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valmiera Glass Via660100%90.873.3+17.5
2 Tartu Ulikool770100%86.176.1+10.0
3 Rigas Zelli65183%96.378.3+18.0
4 VEF Riga86275%90.278.8+11.5
5 BC Kalev/Cramo64267%89.778.0+11.7
6 BK Ogre63350%80.876.0+4.8
7 Tal Tech63350%84.082.2+1.8
8 Ventspils63350%81.780.7+1.0
9 Keila Coolbet62433%86.392.3-6.0
10 BK Liepaja72529%78.987.0-8.1
11 Parnu51420%76.479.2-2.8
12 Viimsi61517%75.392.7-17.3
13 Keila KK71614%78.4100.7-22.3
14 Latvijas Universitate6060%74.595.2-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre241913965
Rigas Zelli1922222487
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